ROMANIA LIGA I
--.--.---- --:--
Stadionul Municipal
Referee: I. Coza
AFC Hermannstadt
Match Timeline
FCSB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
B. Chorbadzhiyski · Assist: S. Balaure
AFC Hermannstadt
🟨
40'
Mamadou Thiam
FCSB
🟨
45+2'
Kevin Ciubotaru
AFC Hermannstadt
🔄
46'
D. Popa ↔ M. Toma
FCSB
🟨
57'
Mihai Lixandru
FCSB
70'
S. Bus · Assist: C. Negut
AFC Hermannstadt
🟨
72'
Aviel Zargari
AFC Hermannstadt
🔄
74'
A. Pantea ↔ I. Cercel
FCSB
🔄
83'
S. Bus ↔ M. Gjorgjievski
AFC Hermannstadt
🔄
83'
S. Balaure ↔ C. Afalna
AFC Hermannstadt
🔄
83'
M. Lixandru ↔ A. Panait
FCSB
🔄
84'
O. Arad ↔ D. Colibasanu
FCSB
🔄
84'
M. Thiam ↔ D. Avram
FCSB
🔄
90+1'
A. Zargary ↔ S. Issah
AFC Hermannstadt
🔄
90+1'
K. Ciubotaru ↔ L. Stancu
AFC Hermannstadt

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AFC Hermannstadt Win 39.7%
Draw 14.4%
FCSB Win 45.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Hermannstadt1.18
FCSB1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Hermannstadt AFC Hermannstadt
WWDLW
40 GF / 60 GA
FCSB FCSB
WLDWL
86 GF / 74 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
21
BTTS Yes
32
18
Over 2.5
31
3.74
Shots on Goal
5.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Hermannstadt AFC Hermannstadt 38 matches
FCSB FCSB 54 matches
AFC Hermannstadt Statistic FCSB
7 Wins 23
12 Draws 11
19 Losses 20
40 Goals For 86
60 Goals Against 74
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
21 BTTS Yes 32
31 Over 1.5 39
18 Over 2.5 31
10 Over 3.5 22
5 Clean Sheets 14
13 Failed To Score 11
3.74 Shots On Goal 5.19
12.42 Total Shots 14.83
5.24 Corners 5.83
46.3% Ball Possession 52.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FCSB's more proactive style and AFC Hermannstadt's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AFC Hermannstadt expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FCSB in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FCSB having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FCSB carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 46 points while AFC Hermannstadt sit 15 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FCSB.

AFC Hermannstadt Analysis

AFC Hermannstadt approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 23 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 29:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Chitu (9 goals), S. Bus (7 goals), Cristian Neguț (6 goals), with creative support from S. Balaure (6 assists), Cristian Neguț (5 assists), A. Chitu (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FCSB Analysis

FCSB sit 7 with 46 points after 30 league matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 48:40 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Tanase (15 goals), D. Olaru (10 goals), D. Birligea (7 goals), with creative support from F. Tanase (8 assists), D. Olaru (7 assists), R. Radunovic (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AFC Hermannstadt won 3 times, FCSB won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:31 from AFC Hermannstadt's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: AFC Hermannstadt 4-3-3 / FCSB 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AFC Hermannstadt wins 3, draws 5, FCSB wins 7
Stats
AFC Hermannstadt AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB FCSB
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 2
0 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 3
1 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
402 Total passes 559
338 Passes accurate 493
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

AFC Hermannstadt
Formation
FCSB
D. Lazar
D. Lazar
T. Capusa
T. Capusa
B. Chorbadzhiyski
B. Chorbadzhiyski
I. Stoica
I. Stoica
K. Ciubotaru
K. Ciubotaru
S. Balaure
🎯
S. Balaure
A. Zargary
A. Zargary
D. Albu
D. Albu
C. Negut
🎯
C. Negut
A. Chitu
A. Chitu
S. Bus
S. Bus
S. Tarnovanu
S. Tarnovanu
A. Pantea
A. Pantea
S. Ngezana
S. Ngezana
A. Duarte
A. Duarte
D. Kiki
D. Kiki
O. Arad
O. Arad
M. Lixandru
M. Lixandru
D. Popa
D. Popa
B. Alhassan
B. Alhassan
O. Popescu
O. Popescu
M. Thiam
M. Thiam
AFC Hermannstadt 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
D. Lazar
G
66
T. Capusa
D
2
B. Chorbadzhiyski
⚽ 38'
D
4
I. Stoica
D
98
K. Ciubotaru
↓ 90+1' 🟨 45+2'
D
96
S. Balaure
🎯 38' ↓ 83'
M
36
A. Zargary
↓ 90+1' 🟨 72'
M
8
D. Albu
M
10
C. Negut
🎯 70'
M
9
A. Chitu
F
11
S. Bus
⚽ 70' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
31
V. Mutiu
G
22
I. Pop
G
3
A. Karo
D
19
M. Gjorgjievski
↑ 83'
F
20
I. Gindila
M
16
S. Issah
↑ 90+1'
D
15
C. Afalna
↑ 83'
F
77
L. Stancu
↑ 90+1'
M
FCSB 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
32
S. Tarnovanu
G
28
A. Pantea
↓ 74'
D
30
S. Ngezana
D
3
A. Duarte
D
12
D. Kiki
D
15
O. Arad
↓ 84'
M
16
M. Lixandru
↓ 83' 🟨 57'
M
98
D. Popa
↓ 46'
M
42
B. Alhassan
M
37
O. Popescu
M
93
M. Thiam
↓ 84' 🟨 40'
F
Substitutes
38
L. Zima
G
1
R. Andrei
G
20
L. Ilie
F
22
M. Toma
↑ 46'
M
23
I. Cercel
↑ 74'
D
14
D. Colibasanu
↑ 84'
F
29
A. Panait
↑ 83'
M
77
D. Avram
↑ 84'
D
Last matches: AFC Hermannstadt
01.06.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Voluntari
0
3
L
24.05.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Voluntari
3
2
W
11.05.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Metaloglobus
2
2
D
04.05.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Unirea Slobozia
2
2
D
24.04.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Csikszereda
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Farul Constanta
1
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Oţelul
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Botosani
3
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Uta Arad
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Oţelul
2
0
W
27.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Botosani
3
1
W
23.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Csikszereda
1
2
L
16.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
1
L
06.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Arges Pitesti
1
3
L
03.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Rapid
0
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Unirea Slobozia
3
2
W
23.01.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Farul Constanta
1
1
D
12.01.26
Fri
AFC Hermannstadt
Napredak
2
2
D
Last matches: FCSB
23.07.26
UEF
FCSB
Auda
2
3
L
17.07.26
Lig
FCSB
Arges Pitesti
2
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
FCSB
Union St. Gilloise
0
4
L
29.05.26
Lig
FCSB
Dinamo Bucuresti
2
1
W
24.05.26
Lig
FCSB
FC Botosani
4
3
W
11.05.26
Lig
FCSB
Unirea Slobozia
0
0
D
01.05.26
Lig
FCSB
Csikszereda
0
1
L
24.04.26
Lig
FCSB
Petrolul Ploiesti
3
1
W
20.04.26
Lig
FCSB
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
11.04.26
Lig
FCSB
Oţelul
4
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
3
L
20.03.26
Lig
FCSB
Uta Arad
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
FCSB
Metaloglobus
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
FCSB
Universitatea Cluj
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
FCSB
Uta Arad
4
2
W
23.02.26
Lig
FCSB
Metaloglobus
4
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
FCSB
Universitatea Craiova
0
1
L
08.02.26
Lig
FCSB
Oţelul
4
1
W
05.02.26
Lig
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
FCSB
Csikszereda
1
0
W
H2H: AFC Hermannstadt vs FCSB
18.05.26
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
2
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
3
3
D
12.07.25
H2H
FCSB
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
17.01.25
H2H
FCSB
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
25.08.24
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
2
0
W
16.12.23
H2H
FCSB
AFC Hermannstadt
3
0
L
21.09.23
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
2
2
D
22.01.23
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
0
1
L
28.08.22
H2H
FCSB
AFC Hermannstadt
2
2
D
14.02.21
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
1
0
W
26.10.20
H2H
FCSB
AFC Hermannstadt
5
0
L
05.03.20
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
1
2
L
26.10.19
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
0
4
L
14.07.19
H2H
FCSB
AFC Hermannstadt
4
3
L
11.02.19
H2H
FCSB
AFC Hermannstadt
3
0
L
Last matches: AFC Hermannstadt
24.05.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Voluntari
3
2
W
24.04.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Csikszereda
0
0
D
10.04.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Farul Constanta
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Botosani
3
0
W
27.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Botosani
3
1
W
16.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
1
L
03.02.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Rapid
0
3
L
23.01.26
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
2
L
21.12.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
1
D
14.12.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Universitatea Craiova
0
2
L
30.11.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Uta Arad
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
3
3
D
02.11.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Oţelul
1
3
L
20.10.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Csikszereda
0
2
L
26.09.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Arges Pitesti
0
1
L
15.09.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Unirea Slobozia
0
2
L
25.08.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Farul Constanta
1
0
W
03.08.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Universitatea Cluj
2
2
D
18.07.25
Lig
AFC Hermannstadt
Metaloglobus
2
2
D
H2H at home: AFC Hermannstadt
18.05.26
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
2
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
3
3
D
25.08.24
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
2
0
W
21.09.23
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
2
2
D
22.01.23
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
0
1
L
14.02.21
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
1
0
W
05.03.20
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
1
2
L
26.10.19
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
0
4
L
Last matches: FCSB
05.07.26
Fri
FCSB
Union St. Gilloise
0
4
L
29.05.26
Lig
FCSB
Dinamo Bucuresti
2
1
W
01.05.26
Lig
FCSB
Csikszereda
0
1
L
20.04.26
Lig
FCSB
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
03.04.26
Lig
FCSB
FC Botosani
2
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
FCSB
Uta Arad
4
2
W
15.02.26
Lig
FCSB
Universitatea Craiova
0
1
L
08.02.26
Lig
FCSB
Oţelul
4
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
FCSB
Dinamo Zagreb
1
4
L
16.01.26
Lig
FCSB
Arges Pitesti
0
1
L
09.01.26
Fri
FCSB
Beşiktaş
1
2
L
15.12.25
Lig
FCSB
Unirea Slobozia
2
0
W
30.11.25
Lig
FCSB
Farul Constanta
2
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
FCSB
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
1
L
09.11.25
Lig
FCSB
AFC Hermannstadt
3
3
D
06.11.25
UEF
FCSB
FC Basel 1893
1
3
L
01.11.25
Lig
FCSB
Universitatea Cluj
2
0
W
18.10.25
Lig
FCSB
Metaloglobus
1
2
L
25.09.25
UEF
FCSB
GO Ahead Eagles
1
0
W
19.09.25
Lig
FCSB
FC Botosani
1
3
L
H2H away: FCSB
18.05.26
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
2
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
3
3
D
25.08.24
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
2
0
L
21.09.23
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
2
2
D
22.01.23
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
0
1
W
14.02.21
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
1
0
L
05.03.20
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
1
2
W
26.10.19
H2H
AFC Hermannstadt
FCSB
0
4
W

Standings

Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 2 2 14:7 7 39
W W D D L
2
FCSB Away
9 4 2 3 13:9 4 37
W W L D L
3 9 4 2 3 17:15 2 35
W W D D W
4 9 3 3 3 13:17 -4 33
L L D D D
5 9 5 2 2 11:8 3 33
W L W D W
6 9 2 3 4 9:15 -6 25
L D D L D
7 9 1 3 5 8:11 -3 25
W D L L D
8 9 3 4 2 13:10 3 25
L W W D D
9 9 2 3 4 11:13 -2 22
L D D D L
10 9 2 4 3 10:14 -4 16
W D D D L
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation