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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
10.10.2026 14:00
Mill Farm
AFC Fylde
Match Timeline
Scunthorpe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
M. Matthews Lewis
AFC Fylde
⚽
20'
D. Mayor
AFC Fylde
🟨
52'
J. Starbuck
Scunthorpe
🟨
64'
T. Whelan
AFC Fylde
⚽
66'
A. Drewe
AFC Fylde
🔄
67'
K. Hurst ↔ J. Richards
Scunthorpe
🔄
68'
P. Jones ↔ W. Evans
Scunthorpe
🔄
68'
J. Butterfield ↔ J. Gale
Scunthorpe
🔄
68'
R. Clayton ↔ T. Denton
Scunthorpe
🔄
74'
D. Mayor ↔ H. Broad
AFC Fylde
🔄
74'
G. Olley ↔ T. Upton
AFC Fylde
🔄
77'
T. Sellars-Fleming ↔ H. Parker
Scunthorpe
🔄
82'
M. Matthews Lewis ↔ C. Main
AFC Fylde
🔄
87'
M. Taylor ↔ L. Butterfield
AFC Fylde

AFC Fylde vs Scunthorpe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AFC Fylde Win 57%
Draw 23.3%
Scunthorpe Win 19.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Fylde1.67
Scunthorpe1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Fylde AFC Fylde
L L W L W
5 GF / 8 GA
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe
L W L L W
7 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
13
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 19 matches
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 17 matches
AFC Fylde Statistic Scunthorpe
8 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 8
32 Goals For 32
30 Goals Against 28
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
13 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 14
14 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by AFC Fylde's more proactive style and Scunthorpe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Scunthorpe. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Scunthorpe having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. AFC Fylde arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 20 points compared to Scunthorpe in 21 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

AFC Fylde Analysis

AFC Fylde sit 7 with 20 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 22:18 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Scunthorpe Analysis

With 10 points from 11 games and a place of 21, Scunthorpe still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 15:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80.3%)

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 2 0 34:13 21 35
W W W W W
2 13 9 1 3 29:17 12 28
W W W W L
3 13 8 3 2 31:19 12 27
W W D L W
4 13 7 4 2 32:15 17 25
W W D W W
5 13 7 3 3 27:18 9 24
W W D W W
6 13 8 0 5 20:19 1 24
W L W W W
7 13 7 2 4 24:18 6 23
W L L W L
8 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
W W W W W
9 13 7 0 6 15:19 -4 21
W L W L W
10 13 6 2 5 22:15 7 20
W W D L D
11 13 5 5 3 15:12 3 20
D D L L D
12 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
L L L W L
13 13 5 3 5 14:18 -4 18
L D L D D
14 13 4 5 4 23:20 3 17
D W W L L
15 13 4 3 6 20:20 0 15
L W L W D
16 12 4 3 5 19:22 -3 15
L D D L D
17 13 4 3 6 14:20 -6 15
L L D L W
18 13 4 2 7 21:30 -9 14
L W W L W
19 13 3 3 7 17:24 -7 12
L L D W L
20 13 4 0 9 12:19 -7 12
W L L L L
21 13 3 3 7 15:23 -8 12
L L D L W
22 12 3 1 8 15:21 -6 10
L L W L L
23 13 2 1 10 13:35 -22 7
L L W L L
24 13 1 1 11 8:31 -23 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation