ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
19.09.2026 14:00
Mill Farm

AFC Fylde vs Altrincham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AFC Fylde Win 45.1%
Draw 21%
Altrincham Win 33.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Fylde1.89
Altrincham1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Fylde AFC Fylde
WWDLW
27 GF / 22 GA
Altrincham Altrincham
WLDWL
13 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
10
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 14 matches
Altrincham Altrincham 11 matches
AFC Fylde Statistic Altrincham
6 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
5 Losses 5
27 Goals For 13
22 Goals Against 20
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
10 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 7
11 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights AFC Fylde's more proactive style and Altrincham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Altrincham having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Altrincham. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

AFC Fylde Analysis

From their first 6 matches, AFC Fylde have collected 11 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 13:9 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Altrincham Analysis

Altrincham sit 11 with 9 points after 6 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 7:8 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, AFC Fylde won 2 times, Altrincham won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:14 from AFC Fylde's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79%)
H2H summary: AFC Fylde wins 2, draws 2, Altrincham wins 2

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 17:9 8 17
D W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 18:10 8 16
W W W L D
3 7 4 2 1 17:10 7 14
W D W W L
4 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W W D W D
5 7 4 2 1 14:10 4 14
D W D L W
6 7 4 2 1 9:5 4 14
W W D W D
7 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
W W L L L
8 7 4 0 3 10:11 -1 12
L L W W L
9 7 4 0 3 7:8 -1 12
L L L W W
10 7 3 2 2 13:12 1 11
L L W W W
11 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
D L D W W
12 7 2 3 2 15:12 3 9
D L W D W
13 7 3 0 4 12:10 2 9
W L W L W
14 7 3 0 4 5:6 -1 9
L W L L L
15 7 3 0 4 8:13 -5 9
L W W W L
16 7 2 2 3 13:14 -1 8
D D L L W
17 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
W L W D L
18 7 2 1 4 10:12 -2 7
W L L W L
19 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
W L D L W
20 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
L D L L W
21 7 1 3 3 10:11 -1 6
D W D L D
22 7 1 2 4 13:19 -6 5
L D L W L
23 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
L D L L L
24 7 0 1 6 7:19 -12 1
L D L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation