Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
AF Elbasani
Tirana
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AF Elbasani
35 matches
Tirana
35 matches
| AF Elbasani | Statistic | Tirana |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 10 |
| 11 | Draws | 11 |
| 7 | Losses | 14 |
| 47 | Goals For | 33 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by AF Elbasani's more proactive style and Tirana's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tirana. AF Elbasani arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 63 points compared to Tirana in 7 on 39, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tirana having the stronger overall control.
AF Elbasani come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 63 points after 35 matches. With 17 wins, 12 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 46:32, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Blaise Tsague (9 goals), X. Lajthia (9 goals), I. Diallo (8 goals), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
From their first 35 matches, Tirana have collected 39 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 12 draws, and 14 losses, while the 32:45 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Bregu (10 goals), S. Tabekou (8 goals), L. Vila (5 goals), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, AF Elbasani won 3 times, Tirana won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from AF Elbasani's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.
Lineups
AF Elbasani
Bate Borisov
AF Elbasani
Bate Borisov
AF Elbasani
Petrovac
AF Elbasani
Vllaznia Shkodër
AF Elbasani
Dinamo Tirana
AF Elbasani
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
AF Elbasani
Bylis
AF Elbasani
Vora
AF Elbasani
Vllaznia Shkodër
AF Elbasani
Teuta Durrës
AF Elbasani
Partizani
AF Elbasani
Dinamo Tirana
AF Elbasani
Skenderbeu Korce
AF Elbasani
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
AF Elbasani
Flamurtari
AF Elbasani
Tirana
AF Elbasani
Bylis
AF Elbasani
Vora
AF Elbasani
Vllaznia Shkodër
AF Elbasani
Teuta Durrës
Tirana
Vllaznia Shkodër
Tirana
Teuta Durrës
Tirana
Partizani
Tirana
Dinamo Tirana
Tirana
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Tirana
Flamurtari
Tirana
Vora
Tirana
Bylis
Tirana
AF Elbasani
Tirana
Vllaznia Shkodër
Tirana
Teuta Durrës
Tirana
Partizani
Tirana
Dinamo Tirana
Tirana
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Tirana
Flamurtari
Tirana
Vora
Tirana
Bylis
Tirana
AF Elbasani
Tirana
Vllaznia Shkodër
Tirana
Teuta Durrës
AF Elbasani
Bate Borisov
AF Elbasani
Petrovac
AF Elbasani
Dinamo Tirana
AF Elbasani
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
AF Elbasani
Vllaznia Shkodër
AF Elbasani
Partizani
AF Elbasani
Skenderbeu Korce
AF Elbasani
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
AF Elbasani
Bylis
AF Elbasani
Vora
AF Elbasani
Teuta Durrës
AF Elbasani
Dinamo Tirana
AF Elbasani
Flamurtari
AF Elbasani
Tirana
AF Elbasani
Vllaznia Shkodër
AF Elbasani
Partizani
AF Elbasani
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
AF Elbasani
Bylis
AF Elbasani
Vora
AF Elbasani
Teuta Durrës
Tirana
Teuta Durrës
Tirana
Dinamo Tirana
Tirana
Flamurtari
Tirana
Vllaznia Shkodër
Tirana
Partizani
Tirana
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Tirana
Vora
Tirana
Bylis
Tirana
AF Elbasani
Tirana
Teuta Durrës
Tirana
Dinamo Tirana
Tirana
Flamurtari
Tirana
Vllaznia Shkodër
Tirana
Partizani
Tirana
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Tirana
Vora
Tirana
Bylis
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 42:27 | 15 | 63 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
AF Elbasani
Home
|
36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 62 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 3 | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 42:34 | 8 | 57 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 43:33 | 10 | 49 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 38:48 | -10 | 48 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Tirana
Away
|
36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 44 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 38:50 | -12 | 41 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 39:45 | -6 | 36 |
L
D
W
W
W
|