CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Alphamega Stadium
Referee: A. Rapuano
AEL
Match Timeline
Olympiakos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
Z. Sawo
AEL
🟨
10'
Thapelo Maseko
AEL
11'
I. Pikis
Olympiakos
🟨
34'
Thapelo Maseko
AEL
🟥
34'
Thapelo Maseko
AEL
42'
V. Kovalenko
Olympiakos
🟨
57'
Sérgio Conceição
AEL
🔄
59'
Joao Mario ↔ A. Loucoubar
Olympiakos
🔄
59'
V. Kovalenko ↔ R. Moreira
Olympiakos
61'
L. Konomis
Olympiakos
🔄
62'
B. Z. Jradi ↔ A. Makris
AEL
🔄
74'
N. Glavcic ↔ D. Zdravkovski
AEL
🔄
74'
P. Panagi ↔ V. Papafotis
AEL
🔄
74'
F. R. Mughe ↔ D. Paroutis
AEL
🔄
75'
Vieirinha ↔ M. Charalampous
Olympiakos
🔄
81'
Jean Felipe ↔ G. Tocka
Olympiakos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
AEL Win 48.2%
Draw 25.9%
Olympiakos Win 25.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
AEL1.29
Olympiakos1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
AEL AEL
WWDLW
38 GF / 42 GA
Olympiakos Olympiakos
WLDWL
28 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
0.9
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
13
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
13
1.64
Shots on Goal
0.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AEL AEL 31 matches
Olympiakos Olympiakos 31 matches
AEL Statistic Olympiakos
12 Wins 8
5 Draws 10
14 Losses 13
38 Goals For 28
42 Goals Against 43
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
13 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 22
16 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 12
1.64 Shots On Goal 0.5
4.32 Total Shots 2.29
1.57 Corners 0.68
19.4% Ball Possession 13.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Olympiakos arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AEL expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Olympiakos in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Olympiakos having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Olympiakos.

AEL Analysis

AEL sit 8 with 41 points after 31 league matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 38:42 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luther Singh (9 goals), Z. Sawo (7 goals), Leo Natel (5 goals), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Olympiakos Analysis

Olympiakos sit 12 with 34 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 28:43, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Joao Mario (6 goals), I. Pikis (5 goals), J. Tavares (3 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AEL won 5 times, Olympiakos won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from AEL's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.1%)
Predicted formations: AEL 4-2-3-1 / Olympiakos 5-3-2
H2H summary: AEL wins 5, draws 6, Olympiakos wins 4
Stats
AEL AEL
Olympiakos Olympiakos
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
6
1 Corner Kicks 5
9 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 5
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 6
7 Shots insidebox 13
3 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
394 Total passes 478
326 Passes accurate 425
1.12 expected_goals 0.97
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

AEL
Formation
Olympiakos
P. Kyriakou
P. Kyriakou
Sergio Conceicao
Sergio Conceicao
A. Panagiotou Filiotis
A. Panagiotou Filiotis
E. Imanishimwe
E. Imanishimwe
I. Milosavljevic
I. Milosavljevic
T. Maseko
T. Maseko
F. R. Mughe
F. R. Mughe
P. Panagi
P. Panagi
N. Glavcic
N. Glavcic
B. Z. Jradi
B. Z. Jradi
Z. Sawo
Z. Sawo
C. Talichmanidis
C. Talichmanidis
Jean Felipe
Jean Felipe
L. Konomis
L. Konomis
Mauricio
Mauricio
H. Gomes
H. Gomes
O. Dzepar
O. Dzepar
Joao Mario
Joao Mario
V. Kovalenko
V. Kovalenko
Vieirinha
Vieirinha
V. Bradonjic
V. Bradonjic
I. Pikis
I. Pikis
AEL 5-4-1
Starting XI
98
P. Kyriakou
G
35
Sergio Conceicao
🟨 57'
D
25
A. Panagiotou Filiotis
24
E. Imanishimwe
D
19
I. Milosavljevic
D
40
T. Maseko
🟨 10' 🟨 34' 🟥 34'
D
63
F. R. Mughe
↓ 74'
M
90
P. Panagi
↓ 74'
26
N. Glavcic
↓ 74'
M
10
B. Z. Jradi
↓ 62'
M
27
Z. Sawo
⚽ 5'
F
Substitutes
99
A. Keravnos
G
6
D. Zdravkovski
↑ 74'
M
8
V. Papafotis
↑ 74'
M
14
S. Christofi
22
K. Neofytou
D
95
C. Neofytidis
G
29
D. Paroutis
↑ 74'
M
15
D. Stevanovic
D
45
F. Forestieri
F
84
A. Karamanis
33
A. Makris
↑ 62'
F
Olympiakos 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
C. Talichmanidis
G
12
Jean Felipe
↓ 81'
D
37
L. Konomis
⚽ 61'
D
94
Mauricio
D
55
H. Gomes
D
6
O. Dzepar
M
34
Joao Mario
↓ 59'
M
21
V. Kovalenko
⚽ 42' ↓ 59'
M
17
Vieirinha
↓ 75'
M
99
V. Bradonjic
M
9
I. Pikis
⚽ 11'
F
Substitutes
32
M. Kyriakou
5
A. Loucoubar
↑ 59'
D
8
R. Moreira
↑ 59'
10
A. Bajrovic
F
11
G. Tocka
↑ 81'
D
16
L. Kalogirou
D
18
F. Eftychidis
F
31
R. Injgia
M
40
M. Charalampous
↑ 75'
42
C. Wheeler
D
88
S. Charalampous
93
R. Omorowa
F
Last matches: AEL
15.05.26
1.
AEL
Akritas
2
1
W
02.05.26
1.
AEL
Krasava Ypsonas
1
1
D
27.04.26
1.
AEL
Anorthosis
0
1
L
17.04.26
1.
AEL
Enosis
2
1
W
04.04.26
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
3
0
W
22.03.26
1.
AEL
Ethnikos Achna
1
1
D
14.03.26
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
1
2
L
08.03.26
1.
AEL
Apollon Limassol
1
2
L
28.02.26
1.
AEL
Apoel Nicosia
2
3
L
20.02.26
1.
AEL
Enosis
2
0
W
15.02.26
1.
AEL
Pafos
0
1
L
09.02.26
1.
AEL
Krasava Ypsonas
0
3
L
01.02.26
1.
AEL
Aris
2
1
W
25.01.26
1.
AEL
Anorthosis
1
2
L
17.01.26
1.
AEL
Akritas
2
0
W
09.01.26
1.
AEL
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
03.01.26
1.
AEL
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
22.12.25
1.
AEL
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
14.12.25
1.
AEL
Olympiakos
0
0
D
07.12.25
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
3
1
W
Last matches: Olympiakos
15.05.26
1.
Olympiakos
Anorthosis
1
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Olympiakos
Omonia Aradippou
2
1
W
26.04.26
1.
Olympiakos
Ethnikos Achna
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Olympiakos
Akritas
0
1
L
04.04.26
1.
Olympiakos
Enosis
3
1
W
21.03.26
1.
Olympiakos
Krasava Ypsonas
0
1
L
15.03.26
1.
Olympiakos
Omonia Nicosia
0
5
L
07.03.26
1.
Olympiakos
Ethnikos Achna
2
1
W
01.03.26
1.
Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
21.02.26
1.
Olympiakos
Akritas
1
3
L
15.02.26
1.
Olympiakos
Omonia Aradippou
0
0
D
08.02.26
1.
Olympiakos
Apollon Limassol
1
3
L
31.01.26
1.
Olympiakos
Apoel Nicosia
0
2
L
26.01.26
1.
Olympiakos
Enosis
2
0
W
17.01.26
1.
Olympiakos
Pafos
2
0
W
12.01.26
1.
Olympiakos
Krasava Ypsonas
0
1
L
04.01.26
1.
Olympiakos
Aris
0
0
D
20.12.25
1.
Olympiakos
Anorthosis
0
0
D
14.12.25
1.
Olympiakos
AEL
0
0
D
06.12.25
1.
Olympiakos
Omonia Nicosia
0
3
L
H2H: AEL vs Olympiakos
09.05.26
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
1
3
L
14.12.25
H2H
Olympiakos
AEL
0
0
D
22.08.25
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
2
0
W
30.04.23
H2H
Olympiakos
AEL
1
1
D
26.04.23
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
1
0
W
05.04.23
H2H
Olympiakos
AEL
0
0
D
13.03.23
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
0
1
L
23.12.22
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
2
0
W
12.09.22
H2H
Olympiakos
AEL
0
0
D
29.04.22
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
0
4
L
11.03.22
H2H
Olympiakos
AEL
0
1
W
19.12.21
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
3
0
W
18.09.21
H2H
Olympiakos
AEL
1
1
D
15.07.21
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
2
2
D
09.05.21
H2H
Olympiakos
AEL
2
1
L
Last matches: AEL
27.04.26
1.
AEL
Anorthosis
0
1
L
17.04.26
1.
AEL
Enosis
2
1
W
22.03.26
1.
AEL
Ethnikos Achna
1
1
D
14.03.26
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
1
2
L
28.02.26
1.
AEL
Apoel Nicosia
2
3
L
15.02.26
1.
AEL
Pafos
0
1
L
01.02.26
1.
AEL
Aris
2
1
W
09.01.26
1.
AEL
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
22.12.25
1.
AEL
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
30.11.25
1.
AEL
Apollon Limassol
2
2
D
07.11.25
1.
AEL
Enosis
3
0
W
26.10.25
1.
AEL
Krasava Ypsonas
1
0
W
04.10.25
1.
AEL
Anorthosis
4
1
W
27.09.25
1.
AEL
Akritas
0
2
L
14.09.25
1.
AEL
Ethnikos Achna
2
2
D
22.08.25
1.
AEL
Olympiakos
2
0
W
H2H at home: AEL
09.05.26
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
1
3
L
22.08.25
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
2
0
W
26.04.23
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
1
0
W
13.03.23
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
0
1
L
23.12.22
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
2
0
W
29.04.22
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
0
4
L
19.12.21
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
3
0
W
15.07.21
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
2
2
D
Last matches: Olympiakos
26.04.26
1.
Olympiakos
Ethnikos Achna
1
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Olympiakos
Enosis
3
1
W
21.03.26
1.
Olympiakos
Krasava Ypsonas
0
1
L
15.03.26
1.
Olympiakos
Omonia Nicosia
0
5
L
01.03.26
1.
Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
08.02.26
1.
Olympiakos
Apollon Limassol
1
3
L
26.01.26
1.
Olympiakos
Enosis
2
0
W
12.01.26
1.
Olympiakos
Krasava Ypsonas
0
1
L
20.12.25
1.
Olympiakos
Anorthosis
0
0
D
29.11.25
1.
Olympiakos
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
08.11.25
1.
Olympiakos
Akritas
1
1
D
01.11.25
1.
Olympiakos
Omonia Aradippou
1
0
W
19.10.25
1.
Olympiakos
Apoel Nicosia
2
2
D
27.09.25
1.
Olympiakos
Pafos
1
2
L
15.09.25
1.
Olympiakos
Aris
0
2
L
22.08.25
1.
Olympiakos
AEL
0
2
L
H2H away: Olympiakos
09.05.26
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
1
3
W
22.08.25
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
2
0
L
26.04.23
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
1
0
L
13.03.23
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
0
1
W
23.12.22
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
2
0
L
29.04.22
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
0
4
W
19.12.21
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
3
0
L
15.07.21
H2H
AEL
Olympiakos
2
2
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 6 3 88:24 64 87
W W D W W
2 36 20 9 7 62:33 29 69
W D D W L
3 36 20 7 9 52:41 11 67
L W W L W
4 36 18 8 10 66:38 28 62
W D W L L
5 36 15 7 14 53:45 8 52
L L L L W
6 36 14 9 13 61:45 16 51
L L L W L
7 33 11 12 10 35:40 -5 45
L W W W D
8
AEL Home
33 13 5 15 41:46 -5 44
W L D L W
9 33 12 6 15 31:42 -11 42
W W L D D
10 33 11 7 15 36:44 -8 40
D L D D W
11 33 10 10 13 32:44 -12 40
W W W L L
12 33 10 5 18 31:58 -27 35
L L W W W
13 33 10 3 20 34:53 -19 33
L W L W L
14 33 1 2 30 11:80 -69 5
D L L L L