AEK Larnaca
Match Timeline
Pafos
AEK Larnaca vs Pafos Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
66.8%
|
1.40 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
2.03 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.43 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Probability Distribution
AEK Larnaca Win 48.1%
Draw 18.7%
Pafos Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
AEK Larnaca1.4
Pafos1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
AEK Larnaca
WWDLW
14 GF / 11 GA
Pafos
WLDWL
17 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
2.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AEK Larnaca
9 matches
Pafos
12 matches
| AEK Larnaca | Statistic | Pafos |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 14 | Goals For | 17 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 2.67 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 5.83 |
| 0 | Corners | 2.17 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 33.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AEK Larnaca won 5 times, Pafos won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from AEK Larnaca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.3%)
Predicted formations: AEK Larnaca 4-2-3-1 / Pafos 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: AEK Larnaca wins 5, draws 7, Pafos wins 3
Standings
1-division
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AEK Larnaca
Home
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 8 |
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
Pafos
Away
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 6 |
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 5 |
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)