Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
50.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
57.1%
|
- |
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AEK Athens FC
43 matches
PAOK
41 matches
| AEK Athens FC | Statistic | PAOK |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wins | 22 |
| 10 | Draws | 11 |
| 5 | Losses | 8 |
| 80 | Goals For | 76 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 22 | Clean Sheets | 22 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.7 | Shots On Goal | 4.68 |
| 14.14 | Total Shots | 12.37 |
| 5.02 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 54.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring PAOK. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AEK Athens FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and PAOK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward PAOK having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
AEK Athens FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 63 points after 27 matches. The return of 19 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 50:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Luka Jović (16 goals), B. Varga (5 goals), Orbelín Pineda (4 goals), with creative support from R. Marin (7 assists), Lazaros Rota (5 assists), Robert Ljubičić (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 11 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
PAOK come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 58 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 52:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Konstantelias (7 goals), Giorgos Giakoumakis (7 goals), M. Ozdoev (7 goals), with creative support from A. Zivkovic (9 assists), Taison (6 assists), M. Ozdoev (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AEK Athens FC won 4 times, PAOK won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from AEK Athens FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
AEK Athens FC
6
1
8
6
6
1
Lineups
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Kifisia
AEK Athens FC
Celje
AEK Athens FC
Atromitos
AEK Athens FC
Celje
AEK Athens FC
Larisa
AEK Athens FC
Volos NFC
AEK Athens FC
Levadiakos
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
Panserraikos
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Asteras Tripolis
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
Aris Thessalonikis
PAOK
Panathinaikos
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Panathinaikos
PAOK
Volos NFC
PAOK
Levadiakos
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Kifisia
PAOK
Asteras Tripolis
PAOK
Celta Vigo
PAOK
Larisa
PAOK
Celta Vigo
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
PAOK
Panserraikos
PAOK
Lyon
PAOK
Real Betis
PAOK
OFI
PAOK
Panetolikos
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Kifisia
AEK Athens FC
Celje
AEK Athens FC
Larisa
AEK Athens FC
Levadiakos
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
OFI
AEK Athens FC
Universitatea Craiova
AEK Athens FC
Atromitos
AEK Athens FC
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
Shamrock Rovers
AEK Athens FC
Panetolikos
AEK Athens FC
Aberdeen
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
Volos NFC
AEK Athens FC
Asteras Tripolis
AEK Athens FC
Anderlecht
PAOK
Panathinaikos
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Volos NFC
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Kifisia
PAOK
Celta Vigo
PAOK
Larisa
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
PAOK
Lyon
PAOK
Panetolikos
PAOK
Atromitos
PAOK
Ludogorets
PAOK
Levadiakos
PAOK
Panathinaikos
PAOK
Panserraikos
PAOK
Lille
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
Celta Vigo
PAOK
Asteras Tripolis
PAOK
OFI
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AEK Athens FC
Home
|
26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 58 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
PAOK
Away
|
26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 52:17 | 35 | 57 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
| 4 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 49 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 32 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:38 | -12 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 30 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 29 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:42 | -10 | 27 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 26 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 23 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 17 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
W
D
W
D
W
|