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24.10.2026 17:00
Allwyn Arena
Referee: Vasilios Fitsas
AEK Athens FC
Match Timeline
Panetolikos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
H. Moukoudi · Assist: P. Mantalos
AEK Athens FC
⚽
23'
A. Koita · Assist: M. Vitalis
AEK Athens FC
🟨
25'
Kwadwo Opoku
Panetolikos
⚽
38'
Zini · Assist: A. Koita
AEK Athens FC
🟨
45'
Nikola Stajic
Panetolikos
🔄
46'
M. Nakamba ↔ E. Nikolaou
Panetolikos
🔄
46'
A. Bassi ↔ K. Aleksic
Panetolikos
🟨
51'
Christian Manrique
Panetolikos
VAR
53'
Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador
AEK Athens FC
⚽
56'
B. Varga
AEK Athens FC
🔄
62'
K. Kairinen ↔ R. Marin
AEK Athens FC
🔄
63'
P. Mantalos ↔ D. Kutesa
AEK Athens FC
🔄
63'
B. Varga ↔ L. Jovic
AEK Athens FC
🔄
68'
Zini ↔ O. Zubkov
AEK Athens FC
🔄
74'
M. Mejia ↔ M. Djenepo
Panetolikos
🔄
74'
M. Opoku ↔ Y. Badji
Panetolikos
🔄
80'
S. Pilo ↔ C. Lykogiannis
AEK Athens FC
🔄
86'
N. Erakovic ↔ E. Olsson
Panetolikos
⚽
90'
O. Zubkov · Assist: L. Rota
AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AEK Athens FC Win 80.2%
Draw 3.8%
Panetolikos Win 16%
Expected Goals (xG)
AEK Athens FC1.89
Panetolikos1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
L L W W D
8 GF / 10 GA
Panetolikos Panetolikos
L L L L W
3 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.11
Average Goals Scored
1.11
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
9
BTTS Yes
4
13
Over 2.5
4
5.09
Shots on Goal
2.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 18 matches
Panetolikos Panetolikos 9 matches
AEK Athens FC Statistic Panetolikos
11 Wins 3
4 Draws 1
3 Losses 5
38 Goals For 10
17 Goals Against 14
2.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
9 BTTS Yes 4
15 Over 1.5 9
13 Over 2.5 4
7 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
5.09 Shots On Goal 2.57
16 Total Shots 9.43
4.36 Corners 3.43
53.6% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by AEK Athens FC's more proactive style and Panetolikos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AEK Athens FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Panetolikos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Panetolikos having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Panetolikos. AEK Athens FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 14 points compared to Panetolikos in 8 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Panetolikos arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

AEK Athens FC Analysis

AEK Athens FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 14 points after 6 matches. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 16:3, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Varga (3 goals), L. Jović (2 goals), R. Marin (1 goals), with creative support from L. Majer (3 assists), R. Marin (2 assists), M. Gaćinović (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Panetolikos Analysis

Panetolikos sit 8 with 9 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 8:9 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Opoku (2 goals), Diego Esteban (1 goals), C. Mavrias (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Esteban (2 assists), Christian Manrique (2 assists), Y. Kucherenko (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AEK Athens FC won 11 times, Panetolikos won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:9 from AEK Athens FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: AEK Athens FC 4-4-2 / Panetolikos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AEK Athens FC wins 11, draws 2, Panetolikos wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 20:4 16 24
W W W L W
2 9 7 1 1 15:4 11 22
W W W W W
3 9 6 0 3 18:12 6 18
W L W L W
4 8 5 2 1 21:5 16 17
L W W W D
5 9 5 1 3 13:17 -4 16
L W W W D
6 9 5 1 3 14:12 2 16
W W L L D
7 9 3 2 4 12:14 -2 11
L W L W W
8 9 3 2 4 14:18 -4 11
D L W W L
9 9 2 4 3 10:12 -2 10
D L L W D
10 9 3 0 6 8:17 -9 9
L L L L L
11 9 1 3 5 3:11 -8 6
W D D L L
12 9 1 3 5 8:17 -9 6
L D L W D
13 8 1 2 5 9:12 -3 5
W L L L D
14 9 0 3 6 6:16 -10 0
L L D L L
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Super League (Relegation Group)