GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Allwyn Arena
Referee: H. Osmers
AEK Athens FC
Match Timeline
Panathinaikos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Harold Moukoudi
AEK Athens FC
🟨
34'
Filipe Relvas
AEK Athens FC
🟨
42'
Davide Calabria
Panathinaikos
🟨
61'
Andreas Tetteh
Panathinaikos
62'
A. Tetteh
Panathinaikos
🟨
64'
Thomas Strakosha
AEK Athens FC
🔄
66'
R. Pereyra ↔ Zini
AEK Athens FC
72'
Zini
AEK Athens FC
🔄
73'
P. Pantelidis ↔ A. Zaroury
Panathinaikos
🔄
74'
S. Kontouris ↔ M. Siopis
Panathinaikos
🔄
79'
S. Andino ↔ A. Jagusic
Panathinaikos
🔄
84'
V. Taborda ↔ F. Djuricic
Panathinaikos
🔄
84'
A. Tetteh ↔ M. Pantovic
Panathinaikos
🟨
85'
Orbelín Pineda
AEK Athens FC
🔄
86'
A. Koita ↔ P. Mantalos
AEK Athens FC
🔄
86'
R. Marin ↔ Joao Mario
AEK Athens FC
🔄
90+6'
L. Jovic ↔ R. Ljubicic
AEK Athens FC
90'
Joao Mario
AEK Athens FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
AEK Athens FC Win 67%
Draw 0%
Panathinaikos Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
AEK Athens FC1.51
Panathinaikos1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
WWDLW
83 GF / 34 GA
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
WLDWL
62 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1.32
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.02
17
BTTS Yes
24
21
Over 2.5
21
4.73
Shots on Goal
4.34

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 45 matches
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 47 matches
AEK Athens FC Statistic Panathinaikos
29 Wins 19
11 Draws 18
5 Losses 10
83 Goals For 62
34 Goals Against 48
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.02
17 BTTS Yes 24
31 Over 1.5 34
21 Over 2.5 21
16 Over 3.5 11
24 Clean Sheets 17
7 Failed To Score 14
4.73 Shots On Goal 4.34
14.29 Total Shots 12.32
5.09 Corners 4.6
51% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. AEK Athens FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 67 points compared to Panathinaikos in 4 on 51, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AEK Athens FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Panathinaikos in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Panathinaikos having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Panathinaikos. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

AEK Athens FC Analysis

AEK Athens FC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 67 points after 29 outings. With 20 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 53:17, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Luka Jović (16 goals), B. Varga (5 goals), Orbelín Pineda (5 goals), with creative support from R. Marin (7 assists), Lazaros Rota (5 assists), Robert Ljubičić (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 12 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Panathinaikos Analysis

Placed 4 with 51 points from 29 outings, Panathinaikos continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, while the 44:28 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alexander Jeremejeff (8 goals), Anastasios Bakasetas (5 goals), K. Swiderski (5 goals), with creative support from D. Calabria (4 assists), Anastasios Bakasetas (3 assists), Tete (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: AEK Athens FC 4-4-2 / Panathinaikos 5-4-1
Stats
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
8 Corner Kicks 1
11 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 1
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 1
14 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
443 Total passes 287
361 Passes accurate 209
2.16 expected_goals 0.45
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

AEK Athens FC
Formation
Panathinaikos
T. Strakosha
T. Strakosha
L. Rota
L. Rota
H. Moukoudi
H. Moukoudi
F. Relvas
F. Relvas
S. Pilios
S. Pilios
A. Koita
A. Koita
O. Pineda
O. Pineda
R. Marin
R. Marin
R. Pereyra
R. Pereyra
B. Varga
B. Varga
L. Jovic
L. Jovic
A. Lafont
A. Lafont
D. Calabria
D. Calabria
E. Palmer-Brown
E. Palmer-Brown
A. Touba
A. Touba
G. Kyriakopoulos
G. Kyriakopoulos
P. Pantelidis
P. Pantelidis
S. Kontouris
S. Kontouris
A. Gnezda Cerin
A. Gnezda Cerin
S. Andino
S. Andino
A. Tetteh
A. Tetteh
V. Taborda
V. Taborda
AEK Athens FC 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
T. Strakosha
🟨 64'
G
12
L. Rota
D
2
H. Moukoudi
🟨 18'
D
44
F. Relvas
🟨 34'
D
3
S. Pilios
D
11
A. Koita
↓ 86'
M
13
O. Pineda
🟨 85'
M
18
R. Marin
↓ 86'
M
37
R. Pereyra
↓ 66'
M
25
B. Varga
F
9
L. Jovic
↓ 90+6'
F
Substitutes
91
A. Brignoli
G
81
A. Angelopoulos
G
20
P. Mantalos
↑ 86'
M
19
N. Eliasson
M
7
D. Kutesa
M
29
J. Penrice
D
10
Joao Mario
⚽ 90' ↑ 86'
M
21
D. Vida
D
4
M. Grujic
M
23
R. Ljubicic
↑ 90+6'
M
90
Zini
⚽ 72' ↑ 66'
F
15
M. Georgiev
D
Panathinaikos 4-4-2
Starting XI
40
A. Lafont
G
2
D. Calabria
🟨 42'
D
14
E. Palmer-Brown
D
5
A. Touba
D
77
G. Kyriakopoulos
D
23
P. Pantelidis
↓ 73'
18
S. Kontouris
↓ 74'
M
16
A. Gnezda Cerin
M
10
S. Andino
↓ 79'
M
7
A. Tetteh
⚽ 62' ↓ 84'
20
V. Taborda
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
12
L. Chaves
G
70
K. Kotsaris
31
F. Djuricic
↑ 84'
M
52
T. Vilhena
M
4
P. Chirivella
M
19
K. Swiderski
F
27
G. Kotsiras
D
6
M. Siopis
↑ 74'
M
72
M. Pantovic
↑ 84'
M
9
A. Zaroury
↑ 73'
F
88
A. Jagusic
↑ 79'
M
Last matches: AEK Athens FC
18.07.26
Fri
AEK Athens FC
Groningen
2
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
AEK Athens FC
Vitesse
0
0
D
12.07.26
Fri
AEK Athens FC
De Graafschap
2
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
13.05.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
1
1
D
03.05.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
3
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
3
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
L
05.04.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Kifisia
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Celje
0
2
L
15.03.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Atromitos
2
2
D
12.03.26
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Celje
4
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Larisa
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Volos NFC
2
2
D
22.02.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Levadiakos
4
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
0
0
D
08.02.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Panserraikos
4
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
Last matches: Panathinaikos
23.07.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Paks
2
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
Panathinaikos
Rapid Vienna
1
4
L
11.07.26
Fri
Panathinaikos
Grasshoppers
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Panathinaikos
Ajax
3
1
W
01.07.26
Fri
Panathinaikos
Helmond Sport
4
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
2
D
13.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
L
03.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
L
05.04.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
PAOK
0
0
D
22.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Asteras Tripolis
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Real Betis
0
4
L
15.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Panetolikos
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Real Betis
1
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Levadiakos
4
1
W
04.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
OFI
4
1
W
01.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
3
1
W
26.02.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Plzen
1
1
D
22.02.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
OFI
2
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Plzen
2
2
D
Last matches: AEK Athens FC
17.05.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
3
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
3
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Kifisia
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Celje
0
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Larisa
1
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Levadiakos
4
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
4
0
W
21.12.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
OFI
2
1
W
18.12.25
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Universitatea Craiova
3
2
W
07.12.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Atromitos
4
1
W
23.11.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Aris Thessalonikis
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
02.11.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Panetolikos
1
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Aberdeen
6
0
W
19.10.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
0
2
L
28.09.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Volos NFC
1
0
W
31.08.25
Sup
AEK Athens FC
Asteras Tripolis
1
0
W
28.08.25
UEF
AEK Athens FC
Anderlecht
2
0
W
Last matches: Panathinaikos
23.07.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Paks
2
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
Panathinaikos
Rapid Vienna
1
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Panathinaikos
Ajax
3
1
W
01.07.26
Fri
Panathinaikos
Helmond Sport
4
0
W
13.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
L
05.04.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
PAOK
0
0
D
22.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Asteras Tripolis
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Real Betis
0
4
L
08.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Levadiakos
4
1
W
26.02.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Plzen
1
1
D
22.02.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
OFI
2
0
W
08.02.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Atromitos
0
0
D
22.01.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Ferencvarosi TC
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
0
4
L
21.12.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
PAOK
0
2
L
07.12.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
Larisa
2
2
D
23.11.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
Panserraikos
3
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Panathinaikos
Malmo FF
1
0
W
01.11.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
Volos NFC
0
1
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round