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GREECE › SUPER LEAGUE 1
10.10.2026 16:30
Allwyn Arena
Referee: Georgios Kokkinos, Greece
AEK Athens FC
Match Timeline
OFI
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Lazaros Rota
AEK Athens FC
🟨
34'
Taxiarchis Fountas
OFI
🟨
36'
Aitor Cantalapiedra
OFI
⚽
41'
F. Relvas · Assist: L. Majer
AEK Athens FC
🔄
62'
K. Kairinen ↔ Zini
AEK Athens FC
🟨
66'
Aitor Cantalapiedra
OFI
🟥
66'
Aitor Cantalapiedra
OFI
🔄
67'
D. Kutesa ↔ Joao Mario
AEK Athens FC
🔄
71'
T. Fountas ↔ T. Nuss
OFI
🔄
72'
A. Bouchalakis ↔ I. Apostolakis
OFI
🔄
78'
K. Kodro ↔ A. Chatzigiovanis
OFI
🔄
79'
K. Kostoulas ↔ B. Gonzalez
OFI
⚽
83'
H. Moukoudi · Assist: R. Marin
AEK Athens FC
🟨
86'
Lovro Majer
AEK Athens FC
🔄
87'
L. Rota ↔ M. Georgiev
AEK Athens FC
🔄
88'
L. Jovic ↔ M. Gacinovic
AEK Athens FC
🔄
88'
L. Majer ↔ M. Vitalis
AEK Athens FC
🔄
90+1'
A. Androutsos ↔ Z. Karachalios
OFI
⚽
90'
M. Gacinovic
AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC vs OFI Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68%
Odds 1.26
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.54
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68%
1.26 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.54 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.6%
1.44 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.73 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
AEK Athens FC Win 68%
Draw 7.7%
OFI Win 24.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
AEK Athens FC1.79
OFI1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
WWDLW
33 GF / 9 GA
OFI OFI
WLDWL
18 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
1.64
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
7
BTTS Yes
4
10
Over 2.5
6
5.38
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 15 matches
OFI OFI 11 matches
AEK Athens FC Statistic OFI
10 Wins 6
4 Draws 1
1 Losses 4
33 Goals For 18
9 Goals Against 13
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
7 BTTS Yes 4
12 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 1
5.38 Shots On Goal 4
16.75 Total Shots 7.88
4.25 Corners 3
56.3% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AEK Athens FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and OFI in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward OFI having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward OFI. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

AEK Athens FC Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 11 points from 5 games, AEK Athens FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 13:3 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Varga (3 goals), L. Jović (2 goals), R. Marin (1 goals), with creative support from L. Majer (2 assists), R. Marin (1 assists), M. Gaćinović (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

OFI Analysis

OFI approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 10 points after 5 outings. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:4, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Kodro (2 goals), N. Athanasiou (1 goals), A. Bouchalakis (1 goals), with creative support from N. Athanasiou (2 assists), A. Bouchalakis (1 assists), K. Krizmanić (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AEK Athens FC won 10 times, OFI won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:13 from AEK Athens FC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: AEK Athens FC 4-4-2 / OFI 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: AEK Athens FC wins 10, draws 2, OFI wins 3

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 0 1 12:3 9 15
L W W W W
2 6 4 2 0 16:3 13 14
W W D W D
3 6 4 1 1 5:2 3 13
W W L D W
4 6 4 0 2 13:8 5 12
L W W L W
5 6 3 1 2 8:12 -4 10
W D L L W
6
OFI Away
6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
L D W W L
7 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
W D D W D
8 6 3 0 3 8:9 -1 9
L L L W W
9 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
W W D L L
10 6 2 1 3 9:9 0 7
W L W D L
11 6 1 2 3 6:10 -4 5
W D D L L
12 6 0 2 4 5:9 -4 2
L L D D L
13 6 0 1 5 0:11 -11 1
L L D L L
14 6 0 2 4 6:12 -6
L L L D D
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Super League (Relegation Group)