GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
05.09.2026 18:00
Allwyn Arena
Referee: Alexandros Tsakalidis, Greece
AEK Athens FC
Match Timeline
Aris Thessalonikis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
B. Varga · Assist: L. Majer
AEK Athens FC
🟨
27'
Lovro Majer
AEK Athens FC
🟨
40'
Lazaros Rota
AEK Athens FC
🔄
46'
M. Garcia ↔ C. Kouame
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
46'
G. Gianniotas ↔ S. Palacios
Aris Thessalonikis
62'
B. Varga · Assist: M. Gacinovic
AEK Athens FC
🔄
64'
T. Dele-Bashiru ↔ M. Hongla
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
64'
T. Kadewere ↔ R. Mir
Aris Thessalonikis
67'
R. Marin · Assist: L. Majer
AEK Athens FC
🔄
68'
M. Gacinovic ↔ A. Koita
AEK Athens FC
🔄
68'
L. Jovic ↔ Zini
AEK Athens FC
VAR
72'
Barnabás Varga
AEK Athens FC
75'
A. Koita · Assist: M. Vitalis
AEK Athens FC
🔄
80'
B. Varga ↔ P. Mantalos
AEK Athens FC
🔄
80'
R. Marin ↔ K. Arriaga
AEK Athens FC
VAR
82'
Petros Mantalos
AEK Athens FC
🔄
83'
L. Majer ↔ O. Zubkov
AEK Athens FC
🔄
83'
B. Garre ↔ O. Boussaid
Aris Thessalonikis
90'
Zini · Assist: P. Mantalos
AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.3%
Odds 1.20
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.3%
1.20
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.93
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
AEK Athens FC Win 48.7%
Draw 10.8%
Aris Thessalonikis Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
AEK Athens FC2.31
Aris Thessalonikis1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
WWDLW
24 GF / 7 GA
Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis
WLDWL
10 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
2.5
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
5
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
4
6
Shots on Goal
8.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 11 matches
Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 4 matches
AEK Athens FC Statistic Aris Thessalonikis
7 Wins 3
3 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
24 Goals For 10
7 Goals Against 10
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 2.5
5 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 4
8 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 0
6 Shots On Goal 8.5
15.75 Total Shots 18
3.75 Corners 6.5
54.8% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AEK Athens FC won 9 times, Aris Thessalonikis won 0 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:9 from AEK Athens FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
Predicted formations: AEK Athens FC 4-4-2 / Aris Thessalonikis 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AEK Athens FC wins 9, draws 6, Aris Thessalonikis wins 0

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 7:1 6 9
W W W
2 3 2 1 0 10:1 9 7
W D W
3 3 2 1 0 3:1 2 7
D W W
4 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
5 3 2 0 1 5:8 -3 6
L W W
6 3 2 0 1 5:2 3 6
W L W
7 3 2 0 1 7:4 3 6
L W W
8 3 1 1 1 3:5 -2 4
W D L
9 3 0 2 1 2:4 -2 2
D D L
10 3 0 1 2 2:4 -2 1
D L L
11 3 0 1 2 3:6 -3 1
D L L
12 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
L D
13 3 0 0 3 1:6 -5 0
L L L
14 3 0 0 3 0:8 -8 0
L L L
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Super League (Relegation Group)