ICELAND 1. DEILD
--.--.---- --:--
GeoSalmo vollurinn

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ægir Win 12.5%
Draw 12.5%
Grindavik Win 75%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ægir1.33
Grindavik1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ægir Ægir
WWDLW
24 GF / 68 GA
Grindavik Grindavik
WLDWL
24 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.14
3.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
13
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ægir Ægir 21 matches
Grindavik Grindavik 21 matches
Ægir Statistic Grindavik
2 Wins 5
2 Draws 9
17 Losses 7
24 Goals For 24
68 Goals Against 34
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
3.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
13 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 13
16 Over 2.5 10
12 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Grindavik. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Grindavik having the stronger overall control. Ægir have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Grindavik carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 21 points while Ægir sit 12 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Ægir Analysis

With 8 points from 21 games and a place of 12, Ægir still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 24:68, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Grindavik Analysis

So far, Grindavik have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 21 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Ægir won 0 times, Grindavik won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:10 from Ægir's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (87.5%)
H2H summary: Ægir wins 0, draws 1, Grindavik wins 2