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23.09.2026 20:00
Estadio Union Tarma
Referee: Junior Rivera
ADT
Match Timeline
Cienciano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Orlando Nunez
ADT
🟨
39'
Santiago Arias
Cienciano
🟨
40'
Aldair Rodríguez
ADT
⚽
44'
Kevin Becerra · Assist: Neri Bandiera
Cienciano
VAR
44'
Neri Bandiera
Cienciano
🟨
45+4'
Gerson Barreto
Cienciano
🔄
53'
Angel Ojeda ↔ Jair Reyes
ADT
🔄
54'
Jonathan Bauman ↔ Jhojan Garcilazo
ADT
🟨
57'
Claudio Nuñez
Cienciano
🟨
60'
Horacio Benincasa
ADT
⚽
67'
John Narváez · Assist: Joao Rojas
ADT
🔄
72'
Santiago Arias ↔ Matias Succar
Cienciano
🔄
80'
Marcos Martinich ↔ Sebastian Cavero
Cienciano
🔄
83'
Neri Bandiera ↔ Ray Sandoval
Cienciano
🔄
86'
Joao Rojas ↔ Omar Vidal Ramírez Lozano
ADT
🟨
88'
Sebastian Cavero
Cienciano
⚽
90'
John Narváez · Assist: Alejandro Ramos
ADT
🔄
90+5'
Aldair Rodríguez ↔ Jerry Navarro
ADT
🔄
90+5'
Juan lucumi ↔ José Rugel
ADT

ADT vs Cienciano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
ADT Win 12.9%
Draw 7.8%
Cienciano Win 79.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
ADT1.21
Cienciano1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
ADT ADT
WWDLW
28 GF / 43 GA
Cienciano Cienciano
WLDWL
45 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
14
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
16
4.42
Shots on Goal
5.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ADT ADT 27 matches
Cienciano Cienciano 26 matches
ADT Statistic Cienciano
5 Wins 12
7 Draws 5
15 Losses 9
28 Goals For 45
43 Goals Against 38
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
14 BTTS Yes 17
20 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 6
4.42 Shots On Goal 5.64
12.69 Total Shots 15.68
4.38 Corners 5.24
53.4% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Cienciano's more proactive style and ADT's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cienciano. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with ADT expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Cienciano in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cienciano having the stronger overall control. Cienciano carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 40 points while ADT sit 17 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

ADT Analysis

ADT approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 22 points from 24 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 27:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jonathan Bauman (4 goals), Jordan Guivin (3 goals), Joao Rojas (2 goals), with creative support from C. Cabello (4 assists), Joao Rojas (2 assists), John Narváez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cienciano Analysis

With 40 points from 25 games and a place of 5, Cienciano still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 44:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Garcés (5 goals), Alejandro Hohberg (5 goals), M. Succar (3 goals), with creative support from C. Garcés (2 assists), Alejandro Hohberg (2 assists), C. Souza (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, ADT won 3 times, Cienciano won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from ADT's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: ADT 3-4-3 / Cienciano 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: ADT wins 3, draws 5, Cienciano wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 17 8 3 46:19 27 59
W W L D L
2 28 14 8 6 45:33 12 50
D L W D W
3 28 14 6 8 39:25 14 48
L W L W W
4 28 13 8 7 47:31 16 47
D D W W L
5 29 14 3 12 42:42 0 45
L L W L W
6 28 13 5 10 48:40 8 44
W D L W L
7 28 12 7 9 43:36 7 43
W W L W W
8 28 12 7 9 36:45 -9 43
D D L L L
9 28 12 5 11 49:40 9 41
W W W W L
10 29 12 5 12 40:45 -5 41
W W W W W
11 28 10 8 10 30:29 1 38
L D W L W
12 28 9 8 11 43:53 -10 35
D W W D W
13 28 9 6 13 26:31 -5 33
D L W L W
14 28 7 10 11 36:39 -3 31
D L L D L
15 28 7 7 14 41:52 -11 28
D L W L W
16
ADT Home
28 6 8 14 29:42 -13 26
D W L L L
17 28 6 7 15 24:43 -19 25
L L L L L
18 28 4 8 16 32:51 -19 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2