Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
70.2%
|
1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.94 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71.9%
|
1.47 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.20 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
ADT
Alianza Atletico
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
ADT
22 matches
Alianza Atletico
22 matches
| ADT | Statistic | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 9 |
| 25 | Goals For | 26 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.81 | Shots On Goal | 4.81 |
| 12.67 | Total Shots | 13.29 |
| 3.81 | Corners | 3.19 |
| 54% | Ball Possession | 45.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alianza Atletico. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with ADT expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Alianza Atletico in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alianza Atletico having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 20 points from 17 games and a place of 10, ADT still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 22:21, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Jonathan Bauman (3 goals), Jordan Guivin (3 goals), Joao Rojas (2 goals), with creative support from Carlos Cabello (3 assists), Joao Rojas (2 assists), John Narváez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Alianza Atletico sit 8 with 21 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 20:18, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Cristian Penilla (4 goals), Valentín Robaldo (2 goals), Jorge del Castillo (2 goals), with creative support from Cristian Penilla (2 assists), Hernan Lupú (2 assists), Valentín Robaldo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, ADT won 3 times, Alianza Atletico won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from ADT's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.9 goals per game.
ADT
5
3
10
2
5
2
Lineups
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
Sport Boys
ADT
Universitario
ADT
Cusco
ADT
Sporting Cristal
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
UCV Moquegua
ADT
Atletico Grau
ADT
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
ADT
FC Cajamarca
ADT
Alianza Lima
ADT
Cienciano
ADT
FBC Melgar
ADT
Sport Huancayo
ADT
Juan Pablo II College
ADT
Alianza Atletico
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
Sport Boys
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
ADT
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
Universitario
ADT
Cusco
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Atletico Grau
ADT
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
ADT
Alianza Lima
ADT
FBC Melgar
ADT
Juan Pablo II College
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
Sport Boys
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Alianza Atletico
Away
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 |
ADT
Home
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
L
D
L
L
L
|