Adelaide United
Match Timeline
Wellington Phoenix
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Adelaide United Win 0%
Draw 0%
Wellington Phoenix Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Adelaide United1.86
Wellington Phoenix1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Adelaide United
WWDLW
33 GF / 28 GA
Wellington Phoenix
WLDWL
28 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
2.05
14
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
15
5
Shots on Goal
5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Adelaide United
19 matches
Wellington Phoenix
19 matches
| Adelaide United | Statistic | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 33 | Goals For | 28 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.05 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 12.68 | Total Shots | 12.42 |
| 5.11 | Corners | 4.74 |
| 52.3% | Ball Possession | 50.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Adelaide United won 5 times, Wellington Phoenix won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:21 from Adelaide United's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Adelaide United 4-1-4-1 / Wellington Phoenix 5-3-2
H2H summary: Adelaide United wins 5, draws 6, Wellington Phoenix wins 4
Stats
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
10
10
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
3
3
Lineups
Adelaide United
Formation
Wellington Phoenix
J. Smits
J. Barnett
B. Vriends
P. Kikianis
R. Kitto
E. Alagich
Y. Dukuly
J. Muniz
R. White
J. Yull
L. Jovanovic
J. Oluwayemi
M. Sheridan
M. James
B. Tuiloma
I. Hughes
C. Armiento
P. Retre
K. Nagasawa
R. Najjarine
C. Piper
I. Eze
Adelaide United
4-1-4-1
Starting XI
22
J. Smits
G
14
J. Barnett
D
↓ 81'
3
B. Vriends
D
4
P. Kikianis
D
7
R. Kitto
D
55
E. Alagich
M
19
Y. Dukuly
M
10
J. Muniz
M
↓ 90+1'
44
R. White
12
J. Yull
M
🎯 55'
9
L. Jovanovic
F
⚽ 55'
Substitutes
40
E. Cox
G
17
B. Folami
F
23
L. Duzel
M
42
A. Ayoubi
M
↑ 90+1'
52
S. Phillis
D
65
J. Garuccio
M
35
B. Burkitt
F
↑ 81'
Wellington Phoenix
5-3-2
Starting XI
1
J. Oluwayemi
G
🟨 83'
27
M. Sheridan
D
↓ 71'
4
M. James
D
⚽ 35'
28
B. Tuiloma
D
15
I. Hughes
D
11
C. Armiento
D
↓ 78'
8
P. Retre
M
25
K. Nagasawa
M
20
R. Najjarine
M
↓ 78'
3
C. Piper
F
🎯 35'
↓ 88'
🟨 83'
7
I. Eze
F
↓ 71'
Substitutes
30
A. Kelly-Heald
6
T. Payne
D
↑ 71'
10
N. Mileusnic
F
↑ 71'
16
S. Kartum
M
↑ 78'
29
L. Brooke-Smith
F
↑ 88'
12
D. Edwards
D
↑ 78'
18
L. Kelly-Heald
D
Last matches: Adelaide United
14.07.26
Fri
Adelaide United
The Cove
5
0
W
15.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
0
3
L
09.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
26.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
2
1
W
19.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
3
1
W
11.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
03.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
20.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
4
2
W
14.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
27.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
20.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
4
0
W
14.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Sydney
2
1
W
08.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
1
1
D
24.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
3
2
W
17.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
2
1
W
11.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
04.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
0
4
L
27.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
2
W
20.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
1
0
W
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
24.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
4
L
18.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0
2
L
05.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
21.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
14.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
0
W
01.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
0
1
L
21.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
0
5
L
13.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
06.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
2
2
D
23.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
2
0
W
11.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
2
D
03.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
29.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
5
L
21.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
3
1
W
14.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
3
L
06.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
3
L
29.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
H2H: Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix
06.03.26
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
11.01.26
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
2
D
29.11.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
L
18.04.25
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
11.01.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
2
W
03.03.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
3
2
L
04.01.24
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
05.05.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
0
W
17.03.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
17.12.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
3
1
L
09.10.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
12.02.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
01.01.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
4
0
W
07.05.21
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
25.04.21
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
L
Last matches: Adelaide United
15.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
0
3
L
19.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
3
1
W
03.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
20.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
4
0
W
08.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
1
1
D
17.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
2
1
W
04.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
0
4
L
27.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
2
W
07.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
0
1
L
21.11.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
4
1
W
07.11.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
17.10.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Sydney
2
1
W
H2H at home: Adelaide United
06.03.26
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
18.04.25
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
04.01.24
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
05.05.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
0
W
17.03.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
01.01.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
4
0
W
07.05.21
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
24.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
4
L
12.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0
2
L
05.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
21.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
13.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
23.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
2
0
W
03.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
29.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
5
L
06.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
3
L
02.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
18.10.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
2
D
H2H away: Wellington Phoenix
06.03.26
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
18.04.25
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
L
04.01.24
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
05.05.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
0
L
17.03.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
L
01.01.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
4
0
L
07.05.21
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
Standings
A-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Adelaide United
Home
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Wellington Phoenix
Away
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)