Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
80.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
96.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
78.3%
|
- |
Adelaide United
Macarthur
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Adelaide United
24 matches
Macarthur
24 matches
| Adelaide United | Statistic | Macarthur |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 41 | Goals For | 32 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.25 |
| 14.25 | Total Shots | 13.96 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 5.54 |
| 52.2% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Adelaide United's more proactive style and Macarthur's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Macarthur arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Macarthur. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Adelaide United expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Macarthur in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Macarthur having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Adelaide United come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 37 points from 24 matches. The record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 41:34 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Jovanovic (9 goals), E. Alagich (4 goals), J. Yull (4 goals), with creative support from J. Yull (5 assists), Y. Dukuly (5 assists), E. Alagich (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with C. Goodwin, D. Pierias, J. Najdovski unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Macarthur sit 7 with 31 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 32:41 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Harrison Sawyer (6 goals), L. Vickery (5 goals), M. Duke (4 goals), with creative support from C. Talbot (5 assists), M. Duke (3 assists), R. Duran (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Ji Dong-Won, H. Politidis, K. Popovic, L. Brattan unavailable.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Adelaide United won 5 times, Macarthur won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:28 from Adelaide United's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.
Adelaide United
11
1
4
5
4
5
Lineups
Adelaide United
Auckland
Adelaide United
Auckland
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
Auckland
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
Adelaide United
Sydney
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
Macarthur
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
Perth Glory
Macarthur
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
Auckland
Macarthur
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
Perth Glory
Macarthur
Adelaide United
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Macarthur
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Sydney
Macarthur
Auckland
Macarthur
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Macarthur
Brisbane Roar
Macarthur
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
Perth Glory
Adelaide United
Auckland
Adelaide United
Auckland
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
Macarthur
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
Sydney
Macarthur
Perth Glory
Macarthur
Auckland
Macarthur
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
Adelaide United
Macarthur
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
Sydney
Macarthur
Brisbane Roar
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Adelaide United
Home
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Macarthur
Away
|
26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|