AUSTRALIA A-LEAGUE
19.04.2026 05:30
Coopers Stadium
Referee: A. Kersey
Adelaide United
Match Timeline
Macarthur
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
M. Duke · Assist: C. Talbot
Macarthur
🔄
14'
C. Ikonomidis ↔ O. Randazzo
Macarthur
🔄
46'
L. Jovanovic ↔ Anselmo
Adelaide United
🔄
46'
R. Kitto ↔ B. Burkitt
Adelaide United
🟨
47'
Dean Bosnjak
Macarthur
🟨
62'
Mitchell Duke
Macarthur
🔄
62'
R. White ↔ A. Riak
Adelaide United
63'
Anselmo · Assist: J. Barnett
Adelaide United
🔄
66'
D. Bosnjak ↔ B. Oliveira
Macarthur
🔄
66'
L. Vickery ↔ H. Oliveira
Macarthur
🔄
70'
M. Duke ↔ H. Sawyer
Macarthur
🔄
71'
C. Talbot ↔ W. Scott
Macarthur
75'
P. Kikianis
Adelaide United
🔄
78'
J. Muniz ↔ L. Duzel
Adelaide United
🟨
83'
Anthony Caceres
Macarthur
🔄
86'
↔ A. Ayoubi
Adelaide United
89'
Anselmo · Assist: Y. Dukuly
Adelaide United

Adelaide United vs Macarthur Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 96.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
96.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Adelaide United Win 45.7%
Draw 19.7%
Macarthur Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Adelaide United1.71
Macarthur1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Adelaide United Adelaide United
WWDLW
41 GF / 34 GA
Macarthur Macarthur
WLDWL
32 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
19
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
12
5.5
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Adelaide United Adelaide United 24 matches
Macarthur Macarthur 24 matches
Adelaide United Statistic Macarthur
10 Wins 8
7 Draws 7
7 Losses 9
41 Goals For 32
34 Goals Against 41
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
19 BTTS Yes 15
22 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 7
5.5 Shots On Goal 4.25
14.25 Total Shots 13.96
5.33 Corners 5.54
52.2% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Adelaide United's more proactive style and Macarthur's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Macarthur arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Macarthur. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Adelaide United expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Macarthur in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Macarthur having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Adelaide United Analysis

Adelaide United come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 37 points from 24 matches. The record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 41:34 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Jovanovic (9 goals), E. Alagich (4 goals), J. Yull (4 goals), with creative support from J. Yull (5 assists), Y. Dukuly (5 assists), E. Alagich (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with C. Goodwin, D. Pierias, J. Najdovski unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Macarthur Analysis

Macarthur sit 7 with 31 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 32:41 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Harrison Sawyer (6 goals), L. Vickery (5 goals), M. Duke (4 goals), with creative support from C. Talbot (5 assists), M. Duke (3 assists), R. Duran (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Ji Dong-Won, H. Politidis, K. Popovic, L. Brattan unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Adelaide United won 5 times, Macarthur won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:28 from Adelaide United's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)
Predicted formations: Adelaide United 4-1-4-1 / Macarthur 5-4-1
Missing players: Adelaide United 3, Macarthur 3
H2H summary: Adelaide United wins 5, draws 2, Macarthur wins 7

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2 26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3 26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4 26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5 26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6 26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7 26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8 26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9 26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10 26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11 26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12 26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)