Accrington ST vs Cheltenham Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Accrington ST
Cheltenham
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Accrington ST
13 matches
Cheltenham
10 matches
| Accrington ST | Statistic | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 6 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 16 | Goals For | 19 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.9 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.75 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 13.5 | Total Shots | 9.75 |
| 4 | Corners | 4.38 |
| 46.6% | Ball Possession | 43.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cheltenham's more proactive style and Accrington ST's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cheltenham. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Accrington ST expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Cheltenham in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cheltenham having the stronger overall control. Cheltenham carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 12 points while Accrington ST sit 21 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Accrington ST approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 6 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 10:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Caton (3 goals), J. Woods (1 goals), D. Matthews (1 goals), with creative support from J. Woods (1 assists), T. Walton (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Cheltenham arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 12 points after 7 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 14:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. McCann (4 goals), A. Weimann (3 goals), R. Broom (2 goals), with creative support from A. Weimann (1 assists), P. Sweeney (1 assists), J. Shipley (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Accrington ST won 4 times, Cheltenham won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Accrington ST's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
Cheltenham
Away
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 |
Accrington ST
Home
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|