WORLD FRIENDLIES CLUBS
--.--.---- --:--
Accrington ST
Match Timeline
Bury
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
56'
C. Caton
Accrington ST

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.58
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.4%
1.17
BTTS Yes
75%
1.58
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.53
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.9%
1.53
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Accrington ST Win 45%
Draw 21.4%
Bury Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Accrington ST1
Bury1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Accrington ST Accrington ST
WWDLW
4 GF / 0 GA
Bury Bury
WLDWL
6 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
3
0
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
0
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Accrington ST Accrington ST 3 matches
Bury Bury 2 matches
Accrington ST Statistic Bury
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
4 Goals For 6
0 Goals Against 1
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 3
0 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
0 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Accrington ST won 0 times, Bury won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:12 from Accrington ST's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.6%)
Predicted formations: Accrington ST 3-4-1-2 / Bury -
H2H summary: Accrington ST wins 0, draws 1, Bury wins 5
Last matches: Accrington ST
25.07.26
Fri
Accrington ST
Chorley
3
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Accrington ST
Bradford
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Accrington ST
Blackburn
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Oldham
0
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Crawley Town
3
3
D
18.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Swindon Town
2
2
D
14.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Colchester
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Fleetwood Town
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Gillingham
0
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Crewe
2
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
0
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Chesterfield
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Notts County
0
4
L
14.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Barrow
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Cambridge United
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Bromley
1
2
L
24.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Barnet
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Shrewsbury
0
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Tranmere
1
0
W
11.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Grimsby
0
1
L
Last matches: Bury
21.07.26
Fri
Bury
Wigan Athletic U21
4
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Bury
Chorley
2
1
W
04.10.25
FA
Bury
Runcorn Linnets
0
7
L
16.09.25
FA
Bury
Wythenshawe Town
2
1
W
06.09.25
FA
Bury
Wythenshawe Town
3
1
W
19.08.25
FA
Bury
Stalybridge Celtic
0
2
L
16.08.25
FA
Bury
Stalybridge Celtic
1
1
D
02.08.25
FA
Bury
South Liverpool
6
0
W
H2H: Accrington ST vs Bury
08.02.20
H2H
Bury
Accrington ST
0
0
D
10.08.19
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
0
D
08.01.19
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
2
4
L
01.09.15
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
1
2
L
27.01.15
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
1
L
30.08.14
H2H
Bury
Accrington ST
2
1
L
18.02.14
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
0
D
17.08.13
H2H
Bury
Accrington ST
3
0
L
Last matches: Accrington ST
17.07.26
Fri
Accrington ST
Bradford
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Accrington ST
Blackburn
0
0
D
25.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Crawley Town
3
3
D
11.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Fleetwood Town
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Crewe
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Chesterfield
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Notts County
0
4
L
07.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Cambridge United
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Barnet
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Shrewsbury
0
2
L
05.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Salford City
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Cheltenham
3
1
W
17.01.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Milton Keynes Dons
0
2
L
29.12.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Barrow
2
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Bromley
0
1
L
06.12.25
FA
Accrington ST
Mansfield Town
1
1
D
29.11.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Oldham
1
0
W
15.11.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
3
1
W
28.10.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Tranmere
1
1
D
H2H at home: Accrington ST
10.08.19
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
0
D
08.01.19
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
2
4
L
01.09.15
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
1
2
L
27.01.15
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
1
L
18.02.14
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
0
D
Last matches: Bury
11.07.26
Fri
Bury
Chorley
2
1
W
04.10.25
FA
Bury
Runcorn Linnets
0
7
L
16.09.25
FA
Bury
Wythenshawe Town
2
1
W
16.08.25
FA
Bury
Stalybridge Celtic
1
1
D
H2H away: Bury
10.08.19
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
0
D
08.01.19
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
2
4
W
01.09.15
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
1
2
W
27.01.15
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
1
W
18.02.14
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.51
Draw 4.27
Home 1.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.25 1.38
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 2.75 1.68
Over 3.0 1.91
Over 3.25 2.15
Over 3.5 2.37
Over 3.75 2.76
Under 2.25 2.69
Under 2.5 2.26
Under 2.75 2.04
Under 3.0 1.81
Under 3.25 1.61
Under 3.5 1.48
Under 3.75 1.36
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 4.33
Home 1.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.40
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.60
Under 2.5 2.30
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 4.25
Home 1.58
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.58
Draw 2.45
Home 2.07
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 2.74
Home 1.93
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.13
Over 1.75 1.16
Over 2.0 1.21
Over 2.25 1.40
Over 2.5 1.56
Over 2.75 1.70
Over 3.0 1.90
Over 3.25 2.17
Over 3.5 2.43
Over 3.75 2.88
Over 4.0 3.72
Over 4.5 4.40
Over 5.5 8.00
Under 0.5 14.90
Under 1.0 9.50
Under 1.5 4.60
Under 1.75 4.10
Under 2.0 3.58
Under 2.25 2.71
Under 2.5 2.25
Under 2.75 2.01
Under 3.0 1.73
Under 3.25 1.55
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 3.75 1.32
Under 4.0 1.20
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.07