28.07.2026 18:30
Accrington ST
Match Timeline
Bury
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
56'
C. Caton
Accrington ST

Accrington ST vs Bury Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.4%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Accrington ST Win 45%
Draw 21.4%
Bury Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Accrington ST1
Bury1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Accrington ST Accrington ST
WWDLW
4 GF / 0 GA
Bury Bury
WLDWL
6 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
3
0
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
0
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Accrington ST Accrington ST 3 matches
Bury Bury 2 matches
Accrington ST Statistic Bury
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
4 Goals For 6
0 Goals Against 1
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 3
0 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
0 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Accrington ST won 1 times, Bury won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:12 from Accrington ST's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.6%)
Predicted formations: Accrington ST 3-4-1-2 / Bury -
H2H summary: Accrington ST wins 1, draws 1, Bury wins 5