Accrington ST
Match Timeline
Bury
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
66.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
73.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Accrington ST Win 45%
Draw 21.4%
Bury Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Accrington ST1
Bury1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Accrington ST
WWDLW
4 GF / 0 GA
Bury
WLDWL
6 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
3
0
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
0
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Accrington ST
3 matches
Bury
2 matches
| Accrington ST | Statistic | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 0 |
| 4 | Goals For | 6 |
| 0 | Goals Against | 1 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 3 |
| 0 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.5 |
| 0 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Accrington ST won 1 times, Bury won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:12 from Accrington ST's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.6%)
Predicted formations: Accrington ST 3-4-1-2 / Bury -
H2H summary: Accrington ST wins 1, draws 1, Bury wins 5
Last matches: Accrington ST
22.08.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Exeter City
0
2
L
15.08.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Colchester
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Accrington ST
Sheffield Wednesday
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Accrington ST
Chorley
3
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Accrington ST
Bradford
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Accrington ST
Blackburn
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Oldham
0
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Crawley Town
3
3
D
18.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Swindon Town
2
2
D
14.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Colchester
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Fleetwood Town
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Gillingham
0
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Crewe
2
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
0
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Chesterfield
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Notts County
0
4
L
14.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Barrow
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Cambridge United
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Bromley
1
2
L
24.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Barnet
0
1
L
Last matches: Bury
01.08.26
Fri
Bury
Radcliffe
3
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Bury
Wigan Athletic U21
4
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Bury
Chorley
2
1
W
04.10.25
FA
Bury
Runcorn Linnets
0
7
L
16.09.25
FA
Bury
Wythenshawe Town
2
1
W
06.09.25
FA
Bury
Wythenshawe Town
3
1
W
19.08.25
FA
Bury
Stalybridge Celtic
0
2
L
16.08.25
FA
Bury
Stalybridge Celtic
1
1
D
02.08.25
FA
Bury
South Liverpool
6
0
W
H2H: Accrington ST vs Bury
28.07.26
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
1
0
W
08.02.20
H2H
Bury
Accrington ST
0
0
D
10.08.19
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
0
D
08.01.19
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
2
4
L
01.09.15
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
1
2
L
27.01.15
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
1
L
30.08.14
H2H
Bury
Accrington ST
2
1
L
18.02.14
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
0
D
17.08.13
H2H
Bury
Accrington ST
3
0
L
Last matches: Accrington ST
15.08.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Colchester
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Accrington ST
Sheffield Wednesday
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fri
Accrington ST
Bradford
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Accrington ST
Blackburn
0
0
D
25.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Crawley Town
3
3
D
11.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Fleetwood Town
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Crewe
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Chesterfield
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Notts County
0
4
L
07.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Cambridge United
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Barnet
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Shrewsbury
0
2
L
05.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Salford City
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Cheltenham
3
1
W
17.01.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Milton Keynes Dons
0
2
L
29.12.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Barrow
2
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Bromley
0
1
L
06.12.25
FA
Accrington ST
Mansfield Town
1
1
D
29.11.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Oldham
1
0
W
H2H at home: Accrington ST
28.07.26
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
1
0
W
10.08.19
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
0
D
08.01.19
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
2
4
L
01.09.15
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
1
2
L
27.01.15
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
1
L
18.02.14
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
0
D
Last matches: Bury
11.07.26
Fri
Bury
Chorley
2
1
W
04.10.25
FA
Bury
Runcorn Linnets
0
7
L
16.09.25
FA
Bury
Wythenshawe Town
2
1
W
16.08.25
FA
Bury
Stalybridge Celtic
1
1
D
H2H away: Bury
28.07.26
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
1
0
L
10.08.19
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
0
D
08.01.19
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
2
4
W
01.09.15
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
1
2
W
27.01.15
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
1
W
18.02.14
H2H
Accrington ST
Bury
0
0
D