ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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La Quema Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.4%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Acassuso Win 52.4%
Draw 13.6%
San Telmo Win 33.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Acassuso0.88
San Telmo0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Acassuso Acassuso
WWDLW
17 GF / 26 GA
San Telmo San Telmo
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.77
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
5
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Acassuso Acassuso 22 matches
San Telmo San Telmo 20 matches
Acassuso Statistic San Telmo
6 Wins 4
4 Draws 8
12 Losses 8
17 Goals For 16
26 Goals Against 21
0.77 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
5 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 8
13 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward San Telmo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Telmo having the stronger overall control.

Acassuso Analysis

Acassuso sit 16 with 19 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats with a 13:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Telmo Analysis

San Telmo are currently 13 in the standings with 20 points from 19 matches. The record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 15:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Acassuso won 7 times, San Telmo won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:14 from Acassuso's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
H2H summary: Acassuso wins 7, draws 1, San Telmo wins 4
Last matches: Acassuso
12.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Racing Cordoba
2
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Miguel
0
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
Central Norte
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Defensores De Belgrano
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Atletico Mitre
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
22.04.26
Cop
Acassuso
Gimnasia L.P.
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
All Boys
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Los Andes
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Midland
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Godoy Cruz
0
2
L
29.03.26
Cop
Acassuso
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
Colon Santa Fe
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Telmo
3
2
W
Last matches: San Telmo
11.07.26
Pri
San Telmo
Chaco For Ever
1
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
San Telmo
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
20.06.26
Pri
San Telmo
Racing Cordoba
2
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
San Telmo
Central Norte
0
0
D
07.06.26
Pri
San Telmo
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Defensores De Belgrano
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Atletico Mitre
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
All Boys
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Los Andes
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Godoy Cruz
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Deportivo Moron
0
1
L
29.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
Quilmes
0
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
Colon Santa Fe
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
San Miguel
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
Acassuso
2
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
San Telmo
Chaco For Ever
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
San Telmo
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
2
L
H2H: Acassuso vs San Telmo
01.03.26
H2H
San Telmo
Acassuso
2
3
W
16.05.20
H2H
San Telmo
Acassuso
0
0
D
07.12.19
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
0
1
L
10.04.19
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
0
2
L
27.10.18
H2H
San Telmo
Acassuso
0
2
W
18.03.18
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
1
0
W
30.10.17
H2H
San Telmo
Acassuso
0
1
W
21.05.17
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
0
0
D
04.11.16
H2H
San Telmo
Acassuso
3
0
L
02.02.13
H2H
San Telmo
Acassuso
4
0
L
21.08.12
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
1
0
W
10.02.12
H2H
San Telmo
Acassuso
1
2
W
27.08.11
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
2
1
W
Last matches: Acassuso
20.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Miguel
0
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
Central Norte
2
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Defensores De Belgrano
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
22.04.26
Cop
Acassuso
Gimnasia L.P.
0
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Los Andes
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
0
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Acassuso
Racing Cordoba
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Acassuso
Chaco For Ever
2
0
W
H2H at home: Acassuso
07.12.19
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
0
1
L
10.04.19
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
0
2
L
18.03.18
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
1
0
W
21.05.17
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
0
0
D
21.08.12
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
1
0
W
27.08.11
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
2
1
W
Last matches: San Telmo
05.07.26
Pri
San Telmo
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
San Telmo
Central Norte
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Defensores De Belgrano
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Los Andes
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Deportivo Moron
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
San Miguel
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
San Telmo
Chaco For Ever
2
2
D
H2H away: San Telmo
07.12.19
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
0
1
W
10.04.19
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
0
2
W
18.03.18
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
1
0
L
21.05.17
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
0
0
D
21.08.12
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
1
0
L
27.08.11
H2H
Acassuso
San Telmo
2
1
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 4 4 23:14 9 40
W W W W W
2 20 9 8 3 27:15 12 35
W W L W D
3 20 10 5 5 29:19 10 35
D L L W W
4 20 8 8 4 19:8 11 32
W L L W D
5 20 7 9 4 19:16 3 30
L W L L D
6 20 8 6 6 18:16 2 30
W D W W D
7 20 8 6 6 15:13 2 30
D W W W L
8 20 7 8 5 27:22 5 29
D L W D D
9 20 7 7 6 20:17 3 28
W L L L W
10 20 5 10 5 17:21 -4 25
L D W D D
11 20 6 6 8 20:24 -4 24
W D L W D
12 20 5 8 7 14:18 -4 23
L W L L D
13 20 4 9 7 13:20 -7 21
D D W L D
14 20 4 8 8 16:21 -5 20
L L W D D
15 20 5 4 11 15:23 -8 19
L D L L W
16 20 4 7 9 12:21 -9 19
L D W D L
17 20 3 9 8 19:27 -8 18
L D L L L
18 20 3 7 10 17:26 -9 16
W D W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation