ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
La Quema Stadium
Acassuso
Match Timeline
San Miguel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
I. Ramirez · Assist: J. Ferrero
San Miguel
🟨
18'
R. Etcheverri
Acassuso
🟨
24'
T. Rodriguez
Acassuso
🟨
32'
I. Ramirez
San Miguel
🟨
38'
D. Adin
San Miguel
🟨
45'
N. Acosta
Acassuso
🟨
45+1'
A. Ruiz
Acassuso
🔄
46'
A. Gonzalez ↔ J. Raccio
Acassuso
🔄
46'
N. Acosta ↔ V. Serrano
Acassuso
🔄
57'
D. Juarez ↔ T. Diaz
San Miguel
🔄
57'
L. Brochero ↔ M. Oses
San Miguel
🔄
61'
D. De Stefano ↔ L. Romero
Acassuso
🔄
71'
I. Ramirez ↔ L. Desabato
San Miguel
🔄
74'
A. Hermoso ↔ R. Reynoso
Acassuso
🔄
74'
A. Ruiz ↔ J. Ponce
Acassuso
🔄
81'
J. Ferrero ↔ F. Aguirre
San Miguel
🔄
81'
M. Serra ↔ F. Almeida
San Miguel
🟨
85'
L. Desabato
San Miguel
🟥
90+2'
J. Raccio
Acassuso
🟨
90+5'
K. Dubini
Acassuso
90'
R. Etcheverri
San Miguel

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Acassuso Win 53%
Draw 23.4%
San Miguel Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Acassuso0.93
San Miguel0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Acassuso Acassuso
WWDLW
14 GF / 20 GA
San Miguel San Miguel
WLDWL
14 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.74
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
3
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Acassuso Acassuso 19 matches
San Miguel San Miguel 18 matches
Acassuso Statistic San Miguel
6 Wins 4
3 Draws 9
10 Losses 5
14 Goals For 14
20 Goals Against 22
0.74 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
3 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward San Miguel. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Miguel having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Acassuso Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Acassuso have collected 18 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 11:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on R. Reynoso (3 goals), A. Hermoso (2 goals), L. Romero (2 goals), with creative support from L. Romero (3 assists), A. Ruiz (2 assists), A. Hermoso (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Miguel Analysis

From their first 16 matches, San Miguel have collected 20 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 12:17 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Nasta (4 goals), D. Juarez (2 goals), F. Almeida (2 goals), with creative support from B. Nasta (2 assists), D. Juarez (1 assists), F. Almeida (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Acassuso won 4 times, San Miguel won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from Acassuso's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.6%)
H2H summary: Acassuso wins 4, draws 6, San Miguel wins 4

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 5 6 34:25 9 53
D W W W L
2 27 14 7 6 43:25 18 49
W D D W W
3 27 12 9 6 34:21 13 45
L W W W D
4 27 12 8 7 23:16 7 44
W W L W W
5 27 11 10 6 38:25 13 43
L W W D W
6 27 12 7 8 32:24 8 43
W L W L W
7 27 9 11 7 23:23 0 38
W D L L L
8 27 9 9 9 25:24 1 36
D L W L D
9 27 9 8 10 25:29 -4 35
W D D W L
10 26 8 10 8 20:15 5 34
D L L L L
11 27 6 12 9 27:35 -8 30
D L D W W
12 27 7 8 12 25:29 -4 29
D W W L L
13 27 6 11 10 19:27 -8 29
D D W D D
14 27 6 11 10 21:30 -9 29
L L L W L
15 27 5 13 9 15:24 -9 28
D L W D L
16 27 6 9 12 22:33 -11 27
L W D L L
17 26 5 11 10 16:24 -8 26
L L D L D
18 27 5 8 14 19:32 -13 23
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation