FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
16.05.2026 16:00
Raatin stadion
Referee: Dennis Antamo, Finland
AC Oulu
Match Timeline
Turku PS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Theodoros Tsirigotis
Turku PS
🟨
45+1'
Oscar Haggstrom
Turku PS
🔄
46'
O. Haggstrom ↔ N. Talo
Turku PS
🔄
46'
P. Juvanteny ↔ C. Azongnitode
Turku PS
🔄
56'
T. Zaal ↔ T. Vakiparta
Turku PS
⚽
59'
R. Karjalainen
AC Oulu
🟨
66'
Julius Paananen
AC Oulu
🔄
68'
M. Konkkola ↔ L. Ivanovic
Turku PS
🔄
72'
L. Ghezali ↔ S. Silander
AC Oulu
🔄
72'
J. Paananen ↔ J. Makelainen
AC Oulu
🟨
78'
Tomi Vakiparta
Turku PS
🔄
80'
E. Vauhkonen ↔ M. Kauppila
Turku PS
🔄
83'
J. Korkko ↔ A. Kone
AC Oulu
🟨
88'
Tuomas Kaukua
AC Oulu
🟨
90+3'
Sami Sipola
AC Oulu
🟨
90+1'
Tuomas Kaukua
AC Oulu
🟥
90+1'
Tuomas Kaukua
AC Oulu
🔄
90+3'
E. Kallio ↔ A. Lietsa
AC Oulu

AC Oulu vs Turku PS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AC Oulu Win 66.1%
Draw 10.2%
Turku PS Win 23.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Oulu1.43
Turku PS1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WWDLW
16 GF / 10 GA
Turku PS Turku PS
WLDWL
13 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
5
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
3
3
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Oulu AC Oulu 9 matches
Turku PS Turku PS 11 matches
AC Oulu Statistic Turku PS
5 Wins 5
1 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
16 Goals For 13
10 Goals Against 10
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
5 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 1
3 Shots On Goal 3
8.86 Total Shots 8
2.86 Corners 4.83
33.7% Ball Possession 34.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Turku PS. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. AC Oulu have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Oulu expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Turku PS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control.

AC Oulu Analysis

With 12 points from 7 games and a place of 2, AC Oulu still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 12:7 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Karjalainen (5 goals), J. Korkko (3 goals), E. Kallio (1 goals), with creative support from E. Kallio (2 assists), R. Karjalainen (1 assists), L. Ghezali (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Turku PS Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 12 points from 6 games, Turku PS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 9:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Muzaci (3 goals), T. Tsirigotis (3 goals), M. Konkkola (1 goals), with creative support from E. Turkki (4 assists), T. Tsirigotis (1 assists), L. Ivanovic (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Oulu won 2 times, Turku PS won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:18 from AC Oulu's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.8%)
Predicted formations: AC Oulu 4-4-2 / Turku PS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AC Oulu wins 2, draws 4, Turku PS wins 9

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
W D D L L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W W L W D
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D D W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W D D W
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
L L L D W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L W L W
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
D L W W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L D D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W W W L L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W D D D L
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D D L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
L W L W W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs