FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Raatin stadion
Referee: D. Antamo
AC Oulu
Match Timeline
Turku PS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Theodoros Tsirigotis
Turku PS
🟨
45+1'
Oscar Haggstrom
Turku PS
🔄
46'
O. Haggstrom ↔ N. Talo
Turku PS
🔄
46'
P. Juvanteny ↔ C. Azongnitode
Turku PS
🔄
56'
T. Zaal ↔ T. Vakiparta
Turku PS
59'
R. Karjalainen
AC Oulu
🟨
66'
Julius Paananen
AC Oulu
🔄
68'
M. Konkkola ↔ L. Ivanovic
Turku PS
🔄
72'
L. Ghezali ↔ S. Silander
AC Oulu
🔄
72'
J. Paananen ↔ J. Makelainen
AC Oulu
🟨
78'
Tomi Vakiparta
Turku PS
🔄
80'
E. Vauhkonen ↔ M. Kauppila
Turku PS
🔄
83'
J. Korkko ↔ A. Kone
AC Oulu
🟨
88'
Tuomas Kaukua
AC Oulu
🟨
90+3'
Sami Sipola
AC Oulu
🟨
90+1'
Tuomas Kaukua
AC Oulu
🟥
90+1'
Tuomas Kaukua
AC Oulu
🔄
90+3'
E. Kallio ↔ A. Lietsa
AC Oulu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AC Oulu Win 66.1%
Draw 10.2%
Turku PS Win 23.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Oulu1.43
Turku PS1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WWDLW
16 GF / 10 GA
Turku PS Turku PS
WLDWL
13 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
5
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
3
1.86
Shots on Goal
2.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Oulu AC Oulu 9 matches
Turku PS Turku PS 11 matches
AC Oulu Statistic Turku PS
5 Wins 5
1 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
16 Goals For 13
10 Goals Against 10
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
5 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 1
1.86 Shots On Goal 2.5
6.71 Total Shots 6.33
2.57 Corners 3.83
26.9% Ball Possession 24%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Turku PS. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. AC Oulu have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Oulu expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Turku PS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control.

AC Oulu Analysis

With 12 points from 7 games and a place of 2, AC Oulu still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 12:7 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Karjalainen (5 goals), J. Korkko (3 goals), E. Kallio (1 goals), with creative support from E. Kallio (2 assists), R. Karjalainen (1 assists), L. Ghezali (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Turku PS Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 12 points from 6 games, Turku PS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 9:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Muzaci (3 goals), T. Tsirigotis (3 goals), M. Konkkola (1 goals), with creative support from E. Turkki (4 assists), T. Tsirigotis (1 assists), L. Ivanovic (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, AC Oulu won 2 times, Turku PS won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:15 from AC Oulu's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.8%)
Predicted formations: AC Oulu 4-4-2 / Turku PS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AC Oulu wins 2, draws 4, Turku PS wins 8

Lineups

AC Oulu
Formation
Turku PS
M. Santos
M. Santos
S. Sipola
S. Sipola
M. Pitkanen
M. Pitkanen
J. Pirinen
J. Pirinen
T. Kaukua
T. Kaukua
L. Ghezali
L. Ghezali
I. Mendolin
I. Mendolin
J. Paananen
J. Paananen
E. Kallio
E. Kallio
R. Karjalainen
R. Karjalainen
J. Korkko
J. Korkko
E. Henriksson
E. Henriksson
T. Karkulowski
T. Karkulowski
P. Juvanteny
P. Juvanteny
M. Hradecky
M. Hradecky
O. Haggstrom
O. Haggstrom
T. Zaal
T. Zaal
L. Ikonen
L. Ikonen
A. Muzaci
A. Muzaci
M. Konkkola
M. Konkkola
E. Vauhkonen
E. Vauhkonen
T. Tsirigotis
T. Tsirigotis
AC Oulu 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
M. Santos
G
2
S. Sipola
🟨 90+3'
D
5
M. Pitkanen
D
66
J. Pirinen
D
22
T. Kaukua
🟨 88' 🟨 90+1' 🟥 90+1'
M
11
L. Ghezali
↓ 72'
M
21
I. Mendolin
M
6
J. Paananen
↓ 72' 🟨 66'
M
27
E. Kallio
↓ 90+3'
M
7
R. Karjalainen
⚽ 59'
M
26
J. Korkko
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
99
N. Schulz
G
16
O. Kemppainen
D
29
S. Silander
↑ 72'
D
30
J. Makelainen
↑ 72'
M
8
M. Ojala
M
3
A. Lietsa
↑ 90+3'
D
18
A. Cassama
D
20
K. Jatta
F
32
A. Kone
↑ 83'
F
Turku PS 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Henriksson
G
77
T. Karkulowski
D
6
P. Juvanteny
↓ 46'
14
M. Hradecky
D
2
O. Haggstrom
↓ 46' 🟨 45+1'
D
22
T. Zaal
↓ 56'
M
26
L. Ikonen
M
29
A. Muzaci
M
10
M. Konkkola
↓ 68'
M
11
E. Vauhkonen
↓ 80'
M
13
T. Tsirigotis
🟨 22'
F
Substitutes
35
D. Lauri
G
4
A. Sairinen
D
8
A. Coulibaly
M
41
S. Anini
9
L. Ivanovic
↑ 68'
F
20
M. Kauppila
↑ 80'
M
24
N. Talo
↑ 46'
D
15
C. Azongnitode
↑ 46'
D
28
T. Vakiparta
↑ 56' 🟨 78'
M
Last matches: AC Oulu
18.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
0
0
D
31.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
2
1
W
23.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
SJK
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Ilves
0
1
L
02.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
0
W
25.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Lahti
1
2
L
22.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
VPS
1
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Gnistan
5
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
AC Oulu
JIPPO
1
1
D
Last matches: Turku PS
17.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
0
1
L
30.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
08.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Gnistan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
W
10.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
PK-35
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
EIF
0
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
SJK
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Turku PS
Haka
1
2
L
H2H: AC Oulu vs Turku PS
16.05.26
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
1
0
W
14.09.19
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
0
D
13.07.19
H2H
Turku PS
AC Oulu
1
0
L
25.05.19
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
1
L
01.09.17
H2H
Turku PS
AC Oulu
2
0
L
08.07.17
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
0
D
13.05.17
H2H
Turku PS
AC Oulu
0
1
W
15.10.16
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
1
L
06.08.16
H2H
Turku PS
AC Oulu
3
1
L
05.06.16
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
1
L
29.08.15
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
1
1
D
27.06.15
H2H
Turku PS
AC Oulu
1
0
L
09.05.15
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
0
D
19.03.14
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
4
L
Last matches: AC Oulu
18.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
2
1
W
31.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
2
1
W
02.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
VPS
1
0
W
18.01.26
Fri
AC Oulu
JIPPO
1
1
D
H2H at home: AC Oulu
16.05.26
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
1
0
W
14.09.19
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
0
D
25.05.19
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
1
L
08.07.17
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
0
D
15.10.16
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
1
L
05.06.16
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
1
L
29.08.15
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
1
1
D
09.05.15
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
0
D
19.03.14
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
4
L
Last matches: Turku PS
13.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
0
1
L
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
EIF
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
SJK
1
1
D
H2H away: Turku PS
16.05.26
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
1
0
L
14.09.19
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
0
D
25.05.19
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
1
W
08.07.17
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
0
D
15.10.16
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
1
W
05.06.16
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
1
W
29.08.15
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
1
1
D
09.05.15
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
0
D
19.03.14
H2H
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
4
W

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 5 1 20:11 9 26
D D D W W
2 12 8 1 3 18:9 9 25
W D W W W
3 13 6 6 1 19:12 7 24
W D D W W
4 12 5 4 3 21:13 8 19
D W W L D
5 11 5 2 4 17:15 2 17
W W W L W
6 11 4 5 2 11:9 2 17
W D L W D
7 11 4 3 4 12:11 1 15
L L W L L
8 12 4 3 5 19:21 -2 15
W W L W L
9 11 3 2 6 14:14 0 11
L L W L D
10 11 2 3 6 12:18 -6 9
L W L L L
11 12 1 4 7 10:27 -17 7
L L L W L
12 11 0 4 7 6:19 -13 4
L L L L D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)