FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
31.08.2026 16:00
Raatin stadion
Referee: M. Roth
AC Oulu
Match Timeline
SJK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
33'
Jaakko Moisio ↔ Leon Vesterbacka
SJK
🟨
52'
Gospel Chibueze Junior Onuoha
SJK
🟨
60'
Kelwin Souza do Nascimento
SJK
🔄
64'
Niklas Jokelainen ↔ Lamine Ghezali
AC Oulu
🔄
64'
Roope Riski ↔ Camilo Triana
AC Oulu
🔄
70'
Kelwin Souza do Nascimento ↔ Apostolos Vellios
SJK
🔄
89'
Amidou Traore ↔ Caio Araújo
SJK

AC Oulu vs SJK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
81.2%
1.36
BTTS Yes
75%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.73
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.37
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
AC Oulu Win 50.7%
Draw 30.4%
SJK Win 18.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Oulu1.32
SJK1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WWDLW
29 GF / 28 GA
SJK SJK
WLDWL
31 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
11
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
14
1.9
Shots on Goal
1.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Oulu AC Oulu 23 matches
SJK SJK 26 matches
AC Oulu Statistic SJK
11 Wins 6
4 Draws 8
8 Losses 12
29 Goals For 31
28 Goals Against 37
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
11 BTTS Yes 15
14 Over 1.5 21
9 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 9
1.9 Shots On Goal 1.55
5.05 Total Shots 3.8
1.95 Corners 1.65
19.2% Ball Possession 17.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. AC Oulu arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 33 points compared to SJK in 10 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. SJK arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Oulu expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and SJK in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SJK having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors SJK.

AC Oulu Analysis

AC Oulu are currently 6 in the standings with 33 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 25:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Kallio (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

SJK Analysis

SJK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 18 points from 21 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 25:33, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Mastokangas (1 goals), with creative support from J. Streng (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Oulu won 7 times, SJK won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:20 from AC Oulu's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.2%)
Predicted formations: AC Oulu 4-2-3-1 / SJK 4-4-2
H2H summary: AC Oulu wins 7, draws 3, SJK wins 5

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10
SJK Away
22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)