FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Raatin stadion
Referee: Oliver Reitala, Finland
AC Oulu
Match Timeline
KuPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
R. Karjalainen
AC Oulu
🟨
20'
Juha Pirinen
AC Oulu
🟨
52'
Clinton Antwi
KuPS
🔄
57'
G. Engvall ↔ J. Luyeye-Lutumba
KuPS
🔄
57'
C. Antwi ↔ S. Heiskanen
KuPS
🟨
61'
Bob Nii Armah
KuPS
🟨
68'
Brahima Magassa
KuPS
71'
L. Ghezali
AC Oulu
🔄
72'
V. R. Gasc ↔ A. Heinonen
KuPS
🔄
72'
S. Savolainen ↔ T. Hamalainen
KuPS
🔄
77'
E. Kallio ↔ M. Ojala
AC Oulu
🔄
87'
O. Kemppainen ↔ S. Sipola
AC Oulu
🟥
88'
Bob Nii Armah
KuPS
🔄
90'
L. Ghezali ↔ A. Lietsa
AC Oulu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AC Oulu Win 37.6%
Draw 21.7%
KuPS Win 40.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Oulu1.45
KuPS1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WWDLW
14 GF / 9 GA
KuPS KuPS
WLDWL
12 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
5
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
2
2.6
Shots on Goal
5.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Oulu AC Oulu 7 matches
KuPS KuPS 8 matches
AC Oulu Statistic KuPS
4 Wins 5
1 Draws 3
2 Losses 0
14 Goals For 12
9 Goals Against 5
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
5 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 1
2.6 Shots On Goal 5.4
9.4 Total Shots 11.6
3.6 Corners 4.4
37.6% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KuPS. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Oulu expected to line up in 4-4-2 and KuPS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KuPS having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

AC Oulu Analysis

AC Oulu come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 9 points after 5 matches. The return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 10:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Karjalainen (4 goals), J. Korkko (3 goals), E. Kallio (1 goals), with creative support from E. Kallio (2 assists), R. Karjalainen (1 assists), T. Kaukua (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

KuPS Analysis

KuPS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 11 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 9:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (4 goals), B. Armah (2 goals), O. Ruoppi (2 goals), with creative support from O. Ruoppi (3 assists), J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (1 assists), P. Pennanen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Oulu won 4 times, KuPS won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:31 from AC Oulu's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.3%)
Predicted formations: AC Oulu 4-4-2 / KuPS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AC Oulu wins 4, draws 1, KuPS wins 10

Lineups

AC Oulu
Formation
KuPS
M. Santos
M. Santos
O. Kemppainen
O. Kemppainen
M. Pitkanen
M. Pitkanen
J. Pirinen
J. Pirinen
T. Kaukua
T. Kaukua
J. Paananen
J. Paananen
I. Mendolin
I. Mendolin
L. Ghezali
L. Ghezali
R. Karjalainen
R. Karjalainen
E. Kallio
E. Kallio
J. Korkko
J. Korkko
J. Kreidl
J. Kreidl
S. Savolainen
S. Savolainen
B. Magassa
B. Magassa
K. Adams
K. Adams
C. Antwi
C. Antwi
V. R. Gasc
V. R. Gasc
P. Pennanen
P. Pennanen
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
O. Ruoppi
O. Ruoppi
B. Armah
B. Armah
G. Engvall
G. Engvall
AC Oulu 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
M. Santos
G
16
O. Kemppainen
↓ 87'
D
5
M. Pitkanen
D
66
J. Pirinen
🟨 20'
D
22
T. Kaukua
M
6
J. Paananen
M
21
I. Mendolin
M
11
L. Ghezali
⚽ 71' ↓ 90'
M
7
R. Karjalainen
⚽ 4'
M
27
E. Kallio
↓ 77'
M
26
J. Korkko
F
Substitutes
99
N. Schulz
G
14
N. Jokelainen
M
29
S. Silander
D
8
M. Ojala
↑ 77'
M
2
S. Sipola
↑ 87'
D
3
A. Lietsa
↑ 90'
D
18
A. Cassama
D
20
K. Jatta
F
32
A. Kone
F
KuPS 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Kreidl
G
6
S. Savolainen
↓ 72'
D
28
B. Magassa
🟨 68'
D
4
K. Adams
D
25
C. Antwi
↓ 57' 🟨 52'
D
10
V. R. Gasc
↓ 72'
M
8
P. Pennanen
M
11
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
F
34
O. Ruoppi
M
24
B. Armah
🟨 61' 🟥 88'
D
9
G. Engvall
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
12
H. Riihimaki
G
17
A. Heinonen
↑ 72'
M
33
T. Hamalainen
↑ 72'
D
21
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
↑ 57'
F
3
S. Heiskanen
↑ 57'
M
23
A. Lotjonen
D
13
N. Kujasalo
M
2
K. Ward
D
20
S. Soumahoro
M
Last matches: AC Oulu
27.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Lahti
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
VPS
1
5
L
18.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
0
0
D
31.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
2
1
W
23.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
SJK
1
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Turku PS
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Ilves
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Lahti
1
2
L
22.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
VPS
1
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Gnistan
5
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
AC Oulu
JIPPO
1
1
D
Last matches: KuPS
07.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
4
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
4
3
W
17.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Turku PS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
08.05.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
26.04.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
W
18.04.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fri
KuPS
JIPPO
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
KuPS
Mariehamn
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
2
L
H2H: AC Oulu vs KuPS
02.05.26
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
0
W
22.04.26
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
L
28.02.26
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
5
0
W
05.12.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
1
2
W
04.07.25
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
2
D
12.04.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
1
0
L
25.03.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
2
0
L
22.02.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
2
1
L
28.06.24
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
1
0
W
08.06.24
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
4
1
L
24.02.24
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
1
L
19.01.24
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
5
2
L
16.12.23
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
5
0
L
07.06.23
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
1
0
L
09.05.23
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
0
2
L
Last matches: AC Oulu
27.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Lahti
1
1
D
18.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
2
1
W
31.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
2
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Turku PS
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
VPS
1
0
W
18.01.26
Fri
AC Oulu
JIPPO
1
1
D
H2H at home: AC Oulu
02.05.26
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
0
W
28.02.26
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
5
0
W
04.07.25
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
2
D
28.06.24
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
1
0
W
09.05.23
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
0
2
L
Last matches: KuPS
07.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Turku PS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
1
1
D
16.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
1
D
04.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
26.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
KuPS
Crystal Palace
2
2
D
27.11.25
UEF
KuPS
Jagiellonia
0
1
L
23.10.25
UEF
KuPS
Breidablik
0
0
D
21.08.25
UEF
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
0
4
L
06.08.25
UEF
KuPS
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
29.07.25
UEF
KuPS
Kairat Almaty
0
3
L
15.07.25
UEF
KuPS
Milsami Orhei
0
0
D
H2H away: KuPS
02.05.26
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
0
L
28.02.26
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
5
0
L
04.07.25
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
2
D
28.06.24
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
1
0
L
09.05.23
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
0
2
W

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Away
15 8 6 1 27:15 12 30
W W W D D
2 15 8 6 1 23:12 11 30
W D D D D
3 14 8 2 4 20:15 5 26
D L W D W
4 14 6 6 2 21:11 10 24
W D W W D
5 14 6 4 4 25:17 8 22
L W D W W
6 14 5 4 5 19:18 1 19
L D D W W
7 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L W D L L
8 14 4 4 6 16:15 1 16
W D D L L
9 15 4 4 7 25:29 -4 16
L D L W W
10 14 3 5 6 18:22 -4 14
W D D L W
11 15 2 5 8 15:32 -17 11
W L D L L
12 14 0 4 10 6:29 -23 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)