Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Oulu
20 matches
HJK Helsinki
25 matches
| AC Oulu | Statistic | HJK Helsinki |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 12 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 6 | Losses | 8 |
| 26 | Goals For | 44 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 2.11 | Shots On Goal | 1.67 |
| 5.61 | Total Shots | 3.9 |
| 2.17 | Corners | 1.52 |
| 21.3% | Ball Possession | 20.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with HJK Helsinki's more proactive style and AC Oulu's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring HJK Helsinki. AC Oulu have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Oulu expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and HJK Helsinki in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HJK Helsinki having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
AC Oulu sit 6 with 27 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 21:21 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Kallio (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 3 place with 28 points from 17 games, HJK Helsinki bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 28:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Brooklyn Lyons-Foster (1 goals), M. Borchers (1 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Oulu won 5 times, HJK Helsinki won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:24 from AC Oulu's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Lineups
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
SJK
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
JIPPO
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 36:18 | 18 | 43 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 38 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 |
HJK Helsinki
Away
|
20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 |
AC Oulu
Home
|
20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 15 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11:41 | -30 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
L
|