Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 8.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Oulu
17 matches
Gnistan
21 matches
| AC Oulu | Statistic | Gnistan |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 5 | Losses | 9 |
| 24 | Goals For | 28 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.07 | Shots On Goal | 3.6 |
| 5.6 | Total Shots | 10.47 |
| 2 | Corners | 3.2 |
| 21.8% | Ball Possession | 41.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gnistan. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Oulu expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Gnistan in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gnistan having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
AC Oulu arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 26 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 20:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Gnistan are currently 6 in the standings with 22 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 23:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Akinyemi (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, AC Oulu won 5 times, Gnistan won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from AC Oulu's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.
Lineups
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
SJK
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
AC Oulu
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
JIPPO
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
JäPS
Gnistan
Ilves
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38:22 | 16 | 43 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 39 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Gnistan
Away
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 29:21 | 8 | 33 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 |
AC Oulu
Home
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 33 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 30 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 25 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 18 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18:42 | -24 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15:43 | -28 | 11 |
W
W
L
L
D
|