Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 8.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Oulu
17 matches
Gnistan
21 matches
| AC Oulu | Statistic | Gnistan |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 5 | Losses | 9 |
| 24 | Goals For | 28 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 1.64 | Shots On Goal | 0.86 |
| 4.93 | Total Shots | 2.71 |
| 2 | Corners | 1.07 |
| 19.9% | Ball Possession | 14.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gnistan. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Oulu expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Gnistan in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gnistan having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Placed 4 with 26 points from 14 outings, AC Oulu continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 20:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
So far, Gnistan have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 19 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 19:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Akinyemi (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, AC Oulu won 5 times, Gnistan won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from AC Oulu's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
SJK
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
JIPPO
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Gnistan
PK-35
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
JäPS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
JIPPO
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
JäPS
Gnistan
Ilves
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 30 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 27 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
AC Oulu
Home
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Gnistan
Away
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 14 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8:33 | -25 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|