AC Milan
Match Timeline
Parma
AC Milan vs Parma Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Parma Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.45
Parma0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan
WWDLW
46 GF / 22 GA
Parma
WLDWL
23 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
0.82
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
14
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
11
4.69
Shots on Goal
3.29
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Milan
29 matches
Parma
28 matches
| AC Milan | Statistic | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 8 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 3 | Losses | 11 |
| 46 | Goals For | 23 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.82 |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.69 | Shots On Goal | 3.29 |
| 13.66 | Total Shots | 11.75 |
| 4.93 | Corners | 4.04 |
| 53.6% | Ball Possession | 44.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 8 times, Parma won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:26 from AC Milan's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-5-2 / Parma 3-5-2
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 8, draws 3, Parma wins 4
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
AC Milan
Home
|
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Parma
Away
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B