AC Milan
Match Timeline
Parma
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Parma Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.45
Parma0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan
WWDLW
46 GF / 22 GA
Parma
WLDWL
23 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
0.82
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
14
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
11
4.69
Shots on Goal
3.29
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Milan
29 matches
Parma
28 matches
| AC Milan | Statistic | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 8 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 3 | Losses | 11 |
| 46 | Goals For | 23 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.82 |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.69 | Shots On Goal | 3.29 |
| 13.66 | Total Shots | 11.75 |
| 4.93 | Corners | 4.04 |
| 53.6% | Ball Possession | 44.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 8 times, Parma won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:26 from AC Milan's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-5-2 / Parma 3-5-2
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 8, draws 3, Parma wins 4
Stats
AC Milan
Parma
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
10
10
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
9
9
Blocked Shots
3
3
Lineups
AC Milan
Formation
Parma
M. Maignan
F. Tomori
K. De Winter
D. Bartesaghi
A. Saelemaekers
R. Loftus-Cheek
L. Modric
A. Rabiot
P. Estupinan
R. Leao
C. Pulisic
E. Corvi
E. Delprato
M. Troilo
L. Valenti
S. Britschgi
A. Bernabe
M. Keita
C. Ordonez
E. Valeri
M. Pellegrino
G. Strefezza
AC Milan
3-5-2
Starting XI
16
M. Maignan
G
23
F. Tomori
D
↓ 86'
5
K. De Winter
D
33
D. Bartesaghi
D
56
A. Saelemaekers
M
🟨 32'
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
M
↓ 11'
14
L. Modric
M
12
A. Rabiot
M
2
P. Estupinan
M
↓ 62'
10
R. Leao
F
🟨 52'
11
C. Pulisic
F
↓ 62'
Substitutes
1
P. Terracciano
G
37
M. Pittarella
G
4
S. Ricci
M
46
M. Gabbia
D
9
N. Fullkrug
F
↑ 62'
18
C. Nkunku
F
↑ 86'
19
Y. Fofana
M
24
Z. Athekame
D
↑ 86'
27
D. Odogu
D
30
A. Jashari
M
↑ 11'
31
S. Pavlovic
D
↑ 62'
Parma
3-5-2
Starting XI
40
E. Corvi
G
15
E. Delprato
D
37
M. Troilo
D
⚽ 80'
🟨 48'
5
L. Valenti
D
27
S. Britschgi
M
10
A. Bernabe
M
↓ 59'
16
M. Keita
M
24
C. Ordonez
M
↓ 59'
14
E. Valeri
M
🎯 80'
9
M. Pellegrino
F
↓ 90+3'
7
G. Strefezza
F
↓ 76'
Substitutes
66
F. Rinaldi
G
67
G. Casentini
G
8
N. Estevez
M
↑ 90+3'
17
J. Ondrejka
F
↑ 76'
21
G. Oristanio
M
22
O. Sorensen
M
↑ 59'
23
N. Elphege
F
25
B. Cremaschi
M
29
F. Carboni
D
41
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
M
↑ 59'
61
D. Drobnic
D
63
M. Mena
D
Last matches: AC Milan
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
1
D
18.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lecce
1
0
W
Last matches: Parma
09.08.26
Fri
Parma
Sampdoria
0
2
L
02.08.26
Fri
Parma
Iraklis 1908
1
1
D
30.07.26
Fri
Parma
Arezzo
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Parma
Sassuolo
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Parma
Trento
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Parma
Sassuolo
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Parma
Como
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Parma
AS Roma
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Parma
Inter
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Parma
Pisa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Parma
Udinese
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Parma
Napoli
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Parma
Lazio
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Parma
Cremonese
0
2
L
13.03.26
Ser
Parma
Torino
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ser
Parma
Fiorentina
0
0
D
27.02.26
Ser
Parma
Cagliari
1
1
D
15.02.26
Ser
Parma
Hellas Verona
2
1
W
08.02.26
Ser
Parma
Bologna
1
0
W
01.02.26
Ser
Parma
Juventus
1
4
L
H2H: AC Milan vs Parma
22.02.26
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
08.11.25
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
2
2
D
26.01.25
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
3
2
W
24.08.24
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
2
1
L
10.04.21
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
1
3
W
13.12.20
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
2
D
15.07.20
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
3
1
W
01.12.19
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
0
1
W
20.04.19
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
1
1
D
02.12.18
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
1
W
01.02.15
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
3
1
W
14.09.14
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
4
5
W
16.03.14
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
4
L
27.10.13
H2H
Parma
AC Milan
3
2
L
15.02.13
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
1
W
Last matches: AC Milan
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
18.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lecce
1
0
W
08.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
1
1
D
28.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
3
0
W
14.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
2
2
D
29.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
1
0
W
02.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
0
W
24.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
2
D
19.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
1
W
28.09.25
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
2
1
W
23.09.25
Cop
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
W
14.09.25
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
1
0
W
23.08.25
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
1
2
L
H2H at home: AC Milan
22.02.26
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
26.01.25
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
3
2
W
13.12.20
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
2
D
15.07.20
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
3
1
W
02.12.18
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
1
W
01.02.15
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
3
1
W
16.03.14
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
4
L
15.02.13
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
1
W
Last matches: Parma
25.07.26
Fri
Parma
Sassuolo
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Parma
Trento
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Parma
Como
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Parma
Inter
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Parma
Udinese
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Parma
Lazio
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Parma
Torino
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ser
Parma
Fiorentina
0
0
D
08.02.26
Ser
Parma
Bologna
1
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
Parma
Atalanta
0
4
L
14.01.26
Ser
Parma
Napoli
0
0
D
11.01.26
Ser
Parma
Lecce
2
1
W
03.01.26
Ser
Parma
Sassuolo
1
1
D
08.12.25
Ser
Parma
Pisa
1
0
W
04.12.25
Cop
Parma
Bologna
1
2
L
23.11.25
Ser
Parma
Hellas Verona
2
1
W
29.10.25
Ser
Parma
AS Roma
1
2
L
19.10.25
Ser
Parma
Genoa
0
0
D
21.09.25
Ser
Parma
Cremonese
0
0
D
13.09.25
Ser
Parma
Cagliari
0
2
L
H2H away: Parma
22.02.26
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
W
26.01.25
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
3
2
L
13.12.20
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
2
D
15.07.20
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
3
1
L
02.12.18
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
1
L
01.02.15
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
3
1
L
16.03.14
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
4
W
15.02.13
H2H
AC Milan
Parma
2
1
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
AC Milan
Home
|
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Parma
Away
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B