AC Milan
Match Timeline
Napoli
AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Napoli Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.67
Napoli1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan
WWDLW
46 GF / 27 GA
Napoli
WLDWL
32 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
13
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
14
5.04
Shots on Goal
5.27
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Milan
23 matches
Napoli
22 matches
| AC Milan | Statistic | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 10 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 4 | Losses | 7 |
| 46 | Goals For | 32 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5.04 | Shots On Goal | 5.27 |
| 13.48 | Total Shots | 16.68 |
| 4.48 | Corners | 6.32 |
| 56.2% | Ball Possession | 60% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 6 times, Napoli won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from AC Milan's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-4-2-1 / Napoli 4-3-3
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 6, draws 2, Napoli wins 7
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89:22 | 67 | 94 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
AC Milan
Home
|
38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76:49 | 27 | 75 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54:31 | 23 | 71 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72:42 | 30 | 69 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54:32 | 22 | 68 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 63 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49:39 | 10 | 61 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61:46 | 15 | 60 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 53 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 |
Napoli
Away
|
38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 53 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 49 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 45 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38:51 | -13 | 38 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32:54 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37:53 | -16 | 37 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42:68 | -26 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:54 | -25 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44:69 | -25 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43:75 | -32 | 30 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32:81 | -49 | 17 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion - Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation - Serie B