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ITALY › SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
AC Milan
FT
1 - 0
Lecce
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: L. Zufferli
AC Milan
Match Timeline
Lecce
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Koni De Winter
AC Milan
🔄
54'
R. Sottil ↔ L. Banda
Lecce
🔄
68'
N. Stulic ↔ Tete Morente
Lecce
🔄
72'
C. Pulisic ↔ N. Fullkrug
AC Milan
🔄
73'
S. Ricci ↔ R. Loftus-Cheek
AC Milan
⚽
76'
N. Fullkrug · Assist: A. Saelemaekers
AC Milan
🔄
80'
A. Saelemaekers ↔ Z. Athekame
AC Milan
🟨
84'
Ylber Ramadani
Lecce
🔄
84'
A. Gallo ↔ K. Ndri
Lecce
🔄
85'
Y. Ramadani ↔ Y. Maleh
Lecce
🔄
87'
A. Jashari ↔ L. Modric
AC Milan
🔄
87'
R. Leao ↔ C. Nkunku
AC Milan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lecce Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.51
Lecce0.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan AC Milan
WWDLW
38 GF / 19 GA
Lecce Lecce
WLDWL
15 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
0.68
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
11
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
8
4.79
Shots on Goal
2.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Milan AC Milan 24 matches
Lecce Lecce 22 matches
AC Milan Statistic Lecce
14 Wins 5
7 Draws 5
3 Losses 12
38 Goals For 15
19 Goals Against 31
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
11 BTTS Yes 7
17 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 11
4.79 Shots On Goal 2.45
14.5 Total Shots 9.36
5.21 Corners 4.59
53.2% Ball Possession 42.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 11 times, Lecce won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:13 from AC Milan's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-5-2 / Lecce 4-3-3
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 11, draws 4, Lecce wins 0
Stats
AC Milan AC Milan
Lecce Lecce
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
0
10 Corner Kicks 2
9 Fouls 11
6 Offsides 0
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Goal 0
8 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 0
16 Shots insidebox 2
4 Shots outsidebox 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 5
691 Total passes 311
633 Passes accurate 235
3.40 expected_goals 0.17
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

AC Milan
Formation
Lecce
M. Maignan
M. Maignan
F. Tomori
F. Tomori
M. Gabbia
M. Gabbia
K. De Winter
K. De Winter
A. Saelemaekers
🎯 ↓
A. Saelemaekers
S. Ricci
↓
S. Ricci
A. Jashari
↓
A. Jashari
A. Rabiot
A. Rabiot
P. Estupinan
P. Estupinan
C. Pulisic
↓
C. Pulisic
R. Leao
↓
R. Leao
W. Falcone
W. Falcone
J. Siebert
J. Siebert
Tiago Gabriel
Tiago Gabriel
C. Ndaba
C. Ndaba
A. Gallo
↓
A. Gallo
O. Gandelman
O. Gandelman
Y. Ramadani
↓
Y. Ramadani
L. Coulibaly
L. Coulibaly
S. Pierotti
S. Pierotti
N. Stulic
↓
N. Stulic
R. Sottil
↓
R. Sottil
AC Milan 3-5-2
Starting XI
16
M. Maignan
G
23
F. Tomori
D
46
M. Gabbia
D
5
K. De Winter
🟨 21'
D
56
A. Saelemaekers
🎯 76' ↓ 80'
M
4
S. Ricci
↓ 73'
M
30
A. Jashari
↓ 87'
M
12
A. Rabiot
M
2
P. Estupinan
M
11
C. Pulisic
↓ 72'
F
10
R. Leao
↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
1
P. Terracciano
G
96
L. Torriani
G
24
Z. Athekame
↑ 80'
D
33
D. Bartesaghi
D
27
D. Odogu
D
31
S. Pavlovic
D
19
Y. Fofana
M
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
↑ 73'
M
14
L. Modric
↑ 87'
M
9
N. Fullkrug
⚽ 76' ↑ 72'
F
18
C. Nkunku
↑ 87'
F
Lecce 4-3-3
Starting XI
30
W. Falcone
G
5
J. Siebert
D
44
Tiago Gabriel
D
3
C. Ndaba
D
25
A. Gallo
↓ 84'
D
16
O. Gandelman
M
20
Y. Ramadani
↓ 85' 🟨 84'
M
29
L. Coulibaly
M
50
S. Pierotti
F
9
N. Stulic
↓ 68'
F
23
R. Sottil
↓ 54'
F
Substitutes
1
C. Fruchtl
G
32
J. Samooja
G
6
A. Sala
M
7
Tete Morente
↑ 68'
F
8
S. Fofana
M
11
K. Ndri
↑ 84'
F
13
M. Perez
D
14
T. J. Helgason
M
18
G. Jean
D
19
L. Banda
↑ 54'
M
21
C. Kouassi
D
36
F. Marchwinski
M
77
M. Kaba
M
79
O. Ngom
M
93
Y. Maleh
↑ 85'
M
Last matches: AC Milan
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
1
D
Last matches: Lecce
09.08.26
Fri
Lecce
SS Monopoli
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Bistrica
5
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Istra 1961
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Lecce
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0
1
L
19.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Szombathelyi Haladas
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Genoa
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
01.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
20.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Bologna
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Atalanta
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
1
2
L
08.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Como
1
3
L
21.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
16.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Cagliari
2
0
W
08.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Udinese
2
1
W
H2H: AC Milan vs Lecce
18.01.26
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
1
0
W
23.09.25
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
W
29.08.25
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
0
2
W
08.03.25
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
2
3
W
27.09.24
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
W
06.04.24
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
W
11.11.23
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
2
2
D
23.04.23
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
2
0
W
14.01.23
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
2
2
D
22.06.20
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
1
4
W
20.10.19
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
2
2
D
11.03.12
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
2
0
W
23.10.11
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
3
4
W
16.01.11
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
1
1
D
29.08.10
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
4
0
W
Last matches: AC Milan
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
08.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
1
1
D
28.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
3
0
W
14.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
2
2
D
29.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
1
0
W
02.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
0
W
24.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
2
D
19.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
1
W
28.09.25
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
2
1
W
23.09.25
Cop
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
W
14.09.25
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
1
0
W
23.08.25
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
1
2
L
H2H at home: AC Milan
18.01.26
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
1
0
W
23.09.25
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
W
27.09.24
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
W
06.04.24
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
W
23.04.23
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
2
0
W
20.10.19
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
2
2
D
11.03.12
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
2
0
W
29.08.10
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
4
0
W
Last matches: Lecce
19.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Szombathelyi Haladas
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
3
2
W
01.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Bologna
0
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
1
2
L
28.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Como
1
3
L
16.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Cagliari
2
0
W
01.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Torino
0
1
L
14.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
1
L
03.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Juventus
1
1
D
07.12.25
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
0
2
L
23.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Lazio
0
2
L
02.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
0
W
25.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Udinese
2
3
L
04.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Parma
1
0
W
23.09.25
Cop
Lecce
AC Milan
0
3
L
14.09.25
Ser
Lecce
Atalanta
1
4
L
23.08.25
Ser
Lecce
Genoa
0
0
D
H2H away: Lecce
18.01.26
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
1
0
L
23.09.25
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
L
27.09.24
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
L
06.04.24
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
L
23.04.23
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
2
0
L
20.10.19
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
2
2
D
11.03.12
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
2
0
L
29.08.10
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
4
0
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2
Napoli
38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3
AS Roma
38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4
Como
38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5
AC Milan Home
38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6
Juventus
38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7
Atalanta
38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8
Bologna
38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio
38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10
Udinese
38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11
Sassuolo
38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12
Torino
38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma
38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14
Cagliari
38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15
Fiorentina
38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16
Genoa
38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17
Lecce Away
38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18
Cremonese
38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19
Hellas Verona
38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20
Pisa
38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B