ITALY SERIE A
06.01.2027 17:30

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fiorentina Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.71
Fiorentina1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan AC Milan
WWDLW
12 GF / 10 GA
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WLDWL
20 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
2
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
5
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
7
3.33
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Milan AC Milan 7 matches
Fiorentina Fiorentina 10 matches
AC Milan Statistic Fiorentina
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
12 Goals For 20
10 Goals Against 17
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
5 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
3.33 Shots On Goal 5.25
12.67 Total Shots 15.5
2.33 Corners 4.5
56% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 8 times, Fiorentina won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from AC Milan's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-4-2-1 / Fiorentina 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 8, draws 3, Fiorentina wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:1 9 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 8:3 5 9
W W W
3 3 3 0 0 4:1 3 9
W W W
4 3 2 1 0 7:3 4 7
W W D
5 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
D W W
6 3 2 1 0 4:1 3 7
D W W
7 3 2 0 1 6:3 3 6
W W L
8 3 2 0 1 4:3 1 6
L W W
9 3 2 0 1 2:1 1 6
W L W
10 3 1 1 1 5:5 0 4
D W L
11 3 1 1 1 5:5 0 4
L W D
12 3 1 0 2 5:5 0 3
L L W
13 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
W L L
14 3 1 0 2 2:5 -3 3
L L W
15 3 0 1 2 2:4 -2 1
D L L
16 3 0 1 2 1:4 -3 1
D L L
17 3 0 1 2 4:8 -4 1
D L L
18 3 0 0 3 2:7 -5 0
L L L
19 3 0 0 3 1:7 -6 0
L L L
20 3 0 0 3 1:9 -8 0
L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation