AC Milan
Match Timeline
Fiorentina
AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fiorentina Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.53
Fiorentina1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan
WWDLW
20 GF / 14 GA
Fiorentina
WLDWL
20 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
7
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Milan
12 matches
Fiorentina
12 matches
| AC Milan | Statistic | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 4 |
| 20 | Goals For | 20 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 12.25 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 4.25 | Corners | 4.83 |
| 57% | Ball Possession | 56.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 8 times, Fiorentina won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from AC Milan's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-4-2-1 / Fiorentina 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 8, draws 3, Fiorentina wins 4
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89:22 | 67 | 94 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
AC Milan
Home
|
38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76:49 | 27 | 75 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54:31 | 23 | 71 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72:42 | 30 | 69 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54:32 | 22 | 68 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 63 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49:39 | 10 | 61 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Fiorentina
Away
|
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61:46 | 15 | 60 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 53 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 53 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 49 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 45 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38:51 | -13 | 38 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32:54 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37:53 | -16 | 37 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42:68 | -26 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:54 | -25 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44:69 | -25 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43:75 | -32 | 30 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32:81 | -49 | 17 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion - Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation - Serie B