Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
92.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
77%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
AC Milan
Cagliari
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Milan
41 matches
Cagliari
40 matches
| AC Milan | Statistic | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 11 |
| 10 | Draws | 12 |
| 9 | Losses | 17 |
| 57 | Goals For | 44 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 4.46 | Shots On Goal | 3.35 |
| 13.61 | Total Shots | 10.6 |
| 4.56 | Corners | 3.75 |
| 53.2% | Ball Possession | 45.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around AC Milan's more proactive style and Cagliari's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Milan expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Cagliari in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cagliari having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cagliari. AC Milan arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 70 points compared to Cagliari in 16 on 40, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
AC Milan arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 70 points after 37 matches. The record of 20 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 52:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Leao (9 goals), C. Pulisic (8 goals), C. Nkunku (7 goals), with creative support from C. Pulisic (4 assists), A. Rabiot (4 assists), S. Ricci (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Cagliari sit 16 with 40 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 38:52, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Sebastiano Esposito (7 goals), Gennaro Borrelli (4 goals), Semih Kılıçsoy (4 goals), with creative support from Sebastiano Esposito (5 assists), G. Gaetano (4 assists), M. Palestra (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 10 times, Cagliari won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:11 from AC Milan's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
AC Milan
3
10
11
8
2
7
Lineups
AC Milan
Genoa
AC Milan
Atalanta
AC Milan
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Juventus
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
Udinese
AC Milan
Napoli
AC Milan
Torino
AC Milan
Lazio
AC Milan
Inter
AC Milan
Cremonese
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan
Como
AC Milan
Pisa
AC Milan
Bologna
AC Milan
AS Roma
AC Milan
Lecce
AC Milan
Como
AC Milan
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Genoa
Cagliari
Sampdoria
Cagliari
Torino
Cagliari
Udinese
Cagliari
Bologna
Cagliari
Atalanta
Cagliari
Inter
Cagliari
Cremonese
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Napoli
Cagliari
Pisa
Cagliari
Como
Cagliari
Parma
Cagliari
Lazio
Cagliari
Lecce
Cagliari
AS Roma
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Cagliari
Juventus
Cagliari
Genoa
Cagliari
Cremonese
AC Milan
Atalanta
AC Milan
Juventus
AC Milan
Udinese
AC Milan
Torino
AC Milan
Inter
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan
Como
AC Milan
Lecce
AC Milan
Genoa
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Lazio
AC Milan
AS Roma
AC Milan
Pisa
AC Milan
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Napoli
AC Milan
Lecce
AC Milan
Bologna
AC Milan
Cremonese
AC Milan
Bari
Cagliari
Sampdoria
Cagliari
Bologna
Cagliari
Inter
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Pisa
Cagliari
Parma
Cagliari
AS Roma
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Cagliari
Genoa
Cagliari
Cremonese
Cagliari
Torino
Cagliari
Atalanta
Cagliari
Napoli
Cagliari
Juventus
Cagliari
Como
Cagliari
Lazio
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
Cagliari
Udinese
Cagliari
Lecce
Cagliari
Napoli
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
AC Milan
Home
|
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
Cagliari
Away
|
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|