ITALY SERIE A
18.10.2026 16:00

AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atalanta Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.34
Atalanta1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan AC Milan
WWDLW
12 GF / 10 GA
Atalanta Atalanta
WLDWL
13 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
5
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
5
3.33
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Milan AC Milan 7 matches
Atalanta Atalanta 9 matches
AC Milan Statistic Atalanta
3 Wins 6
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
12 Goals For 13
10 Goals Against 7
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
5 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 1
3.33 Shots On Goal 4
12.67 Total Shots 9.8
2.33 Corners 3
56% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 4 times, Atalanta won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from AC Milan's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-4-2-1 / Atalanta 4-3-3
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 4, draws 4, Atalanta wins 7

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:1 9 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 8:3 5 9
W W W
3 3 2 1 0 7:3 4 7
W W D
4 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
D W W
5 3 2 1 0 4:1 3 7
D W W
6 2 2 0 0 2:0 2 6
W W
7 3 2 0 1 6:3 3 6
W W L
8 3 2 0 1 4:3 1 6
L W W
9 2 1 1 0 4:3 1 4
W D
10 3 1 1 1 5:5 0 4
D W L
11 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
L W
12 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
L W
13 3 1 0 2 5:5 0 3
L L W
14 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
W L L
15 3 0 1 2 2:4 -2 1
D L L
16 3 0 1 2 1:4 -3 1
D L L
17 3 0 1 2 4:8 -4 1
D L L
18 3 0 0 3 2:7 -5 0
L L L
19 3 0 0 3 1:7 -6 0
L L L
20 3 0 0 3 1:9 -8 0
L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation