Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
AC Milan
Atalanta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Milan
39 matches
Atalanta
51 matches
| AC Milan | Statistic | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 21 |
| 10 | Draws | 16 |
| 8 | Losses | 14 |
| 53 | Goals For | 73 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 39 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.31 | Shots On Goal | 4.63 |
| 13.59 | Total Shots | 14.84 |
| 4.64 | Corners | 5.39 |
| 53.5% | Ball Possession | 54% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atalanta. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. AC Milan have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Milan expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Atalanta in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atalanta having the stronger overall control.
With 67 points from 35 games and a place of 3, AC Milan still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 19 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 48:29, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Leao (9 goals), C. Pulisic (8 goals), A. Rabiot (6 goals), with creative support from A. Rabiot (4 assists), R. Leao (3 assists), C. Pulisic (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Atalanta are currently 7 in the standings with 55 points from 35 matches. The record of 14 wins, 13 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 47:32 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Scamacca (10 goals), N. Krstovic (10 goals), C. De Ketelaere (3 goals), with creative support from C. De Ketelaere (5 assists), N. Zalewski (5 assists), N. Krstovic (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 4 times, Atalanta won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from AC Milan's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
AC Milan
9
5
8
2
3
2
Lineups
AC Milan
Cagliari
AC Milan
Genoa
AC Milan
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Juventus
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
Udinese
AC Milan
Napoli
AC Milan
Torino
AC Milan
Lazio
AC Milan
Inter
AC Milan
Cremonese
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan
Como
AC Milan
Pisa
AC Milan
Bologna
AC Milan
AS Roma
AC Milan
Lecce
AC Milan
Como
AC Milan
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Genoa
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Bologna
Atalanta
Genoa
Atalanta
Cagliari
Atalanta
Lazio
Atalanta
AS Roma
Atalanta
Juventus
Atalanta
Lecce
Atalanta
Hellas Verona
Atalanta
Bayern München
Atalanta
Inter
Atalanta
Bayern München
Atalanta
Udinese
Atalanta
Lazio
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Napoli
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Lazio
Atalanta
Cremonese
AC Milan
Cagliari
AC Milan
Juventus
AC Milan
Udinese
AC Milan
Torino
AC Milan
Inter
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan
Como
AC Milan
Lecce
AC Milan
Genoa
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Lazio
AC Milan
AS Roma
AC Milan
Pisa
AC Milan
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Napoli
AC Milan
Lecce
AC Milan
Bologna
AC Milan
Cremonese
AC Milan
Bari
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Cagliari
Atalanta
AS Roma
Atalanta
Lecce
Atalanta
Bayern München
Atalanta
Inter
Atalanta
Lazio
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Lazio
Atalanta
Como
Atalanta
Union St. Gilloise
Atalanta
Pisa
Atalanta
Bologna
Atalanta
Genoa
Atalanta
Hellas Verona
Atalanta
Eintracht Frankfurt
Atalanta
Napoli
Atalanta
Marseille
Atalanta
Udinese
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
AC Milan
Home
|
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 |
Atalanta
Away
|
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|