AC Milan
Match Timeline
Atalanta
AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atalanta Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.56
Atalanta1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan
WWDLW
49 GF / 31 GA
Atalanta
WLDWL
47 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
1.96
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
14
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
14
5.12
Shots on Goal
5.83
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Milan
25 matches
Atalanta
24 matches
| AC Milan | Statistic | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 14 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 5 | Losses | 7 |
| 49 | Goals For | 47 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.96 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.12 | Shots On Goal | 5.83 |
| 13.44 | Total Shots | 14.92 |
| 4.28 | Corners | 5.96 |
| 55.3% | Ball Possession | 51.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 4 times, Atalanta won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from AC Milan's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-4-2-1 / Atalanta 4-3-3
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 4, draws 4, Atalanta wins 7
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89:22 | 67 | 94 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
AC Milan
Home
|
38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76:49 | 27 | 75 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54:31 | 23 | 71 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 |
Atalanta
Away
|
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72:42 | 30 | 69 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54:32 | 22 | 68 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 63 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49:39 | 10 | 61 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61:46 | 15 | 60 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 53 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 53 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 49 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 45 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38:51 | -13 | 38 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32:54 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37:53 | -16 | 37 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42:68 | -26 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:54 | -25 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44:69 | -25 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43:75 | -32 | 30 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32:81 | -49 | 17 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion - Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation - Serie B