DENMARK 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Hybel Arena Horsens
Referee: N. Andersen
AC Horsens
Match Timeline
Hillerød
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
J. Madsen · Assist: A. Justinussen
AC Horsens
48'
K. Kirkegaard · Assist: V. Palsson
AC Horsens
🔄
50'
N. Schmidt ↔ P. Kallsberg
Hillerød
🔄
51'
B. Kucukylidiz ↔ T. Arndal
Hillerød
🔄
59'
A. Herdonsson ↔ F. Brandhof
AC Horsens
🔄
59'
Y. Ouorou ↔ I. Milicevic
AC Horsens
🔄
65'
H. Sulemana ↔ M. Julo
Hillerød
🔄
65'
C. Allen ↔ S. Jalaei
Hillerød
🔄
67'
K. Kirkegaard ↔ A. Saine
AC Horsens
71'
J. Madsen · Assist: I. Milicevic
AC Horsens
🔄
78'
M. Mouritz ↔ S. Opoku
Hillerød
🔄
80'
J. Madsen ↔ A. Moro
AC Horsens
🔄
81'
O. Kolskogen ↔ S. Hausner
AC Horsens
90'
I. Milicevic
AC Horsens

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
AC Horsens Win 30.9%
Draw 21.9%
Hillerød Win 47.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Horsens1.21
Hillerød1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Horsens AC Horsens
WWDLW
34 GF / 26 GA
Hillerød Hillerød
WLDWL
39 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.39
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
11
BTTS Yes
19
12
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Horsens AC Horsens 28 matches
Hillerød Hillerød 28 matches
AC Horsens Statistic Hillerød
12 Wins 12
8 Draws 10
8 Losses 6
34 Goals For 39
26 Goals Against 34
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
11 BTTS Yes 19
15 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 8
14 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hillerød. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hillerød having the stronger overall control.

AC Horsens Analysis

AC Horsens come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 44 points after 28 matches. The return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 34:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Kirkegaard (6 goals), S. Pingel (5 goals), R. Baturina (4 goals), with creative support from K. Kirkegaard (6 assists), P. Olsen (3 assists), S. Pingel (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Hillerød Analysis

Placed 2 with 46 points from 28 outings, Hillerød continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 39:34 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Justinussen (11 goals), M. Mouritz (4 goals), P. Kallsberg (4 goals), with creative support from T. Arndal (4 assists), A. Justinussen (3 assists), M. Mouritz (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, AC Horsens won 4 times, Hillerød won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from AC Horsens's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.1%)
H2H summary: AC Horsens wins 4, draws 2, Hillerød wins 4

Lineups

AC Horsens
Formation
Hillerød
M. Delac
M. Delac
V. Palsson
🎯
V. Palsson
M. Kupijbida
M. Kupijbida
O. Kolskogen
O. Kolskogen
C. Tape
C. Tape
A. Herdonsson
A. Herdonsson
K. Lusavec
K. Lusavec
Y. Ouorou
Y. Ouorou
J. Madsen
⚽ 2
J. Madsen
K. Kirkegaard
K. Kirkegaard
A. Justinussen
🎯
A. Justinussen
A. Kappenberger
A. Kappenberger
C. Allen
C. Allen
J. Witt
J. Witt
W. Glindtvad
W. Glindtvad
S. Larsen
S. Larsen
M. Due Grandt
M. Due Grandt
N. Schmidt
N. Schmidt
M. Mouritz
M. Mouritz
B. Kucukylidiz
B. Kucukylidiz
F. Heiselberg
F. Heiselberg
H. Sulemana
H. Sulemana
AC Horsens 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Delac
26
V. Palsson
🎯 48'
35
M. Kupijbida
24
O. Kolskogen
↓ 81'
12
C. Tape
17
A. Herdonsson
↓ 59'
20
K. Lusavec
27
Y. Ouorou
↓ 59'
14
J. Madsen
⚽ 39' ⚽ 71' ↓ 80'
10
K. Kirkegaard
⚽ 48' ↓ 67'
15
A. Justinussen
🎯 39'
Substitutes
23
D. Smarsch
29
F. Brandhof
↑ 59'
5
A. Bruus
4
S. Hausner
↑ 81'
30
S. Doua
7
I. Milicevic
⚽ 90' 🎯 71' ↑ 59'
28
A. Saine
↑ 67'
16
A. Moro
↑ 80'
21
M. M. Samb
Hillerød 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Kappenberger
3
C. Allen
↓ 65'
7
J. Witt
25
W. Glindtvad
13
S. Larsen
6
M. Due Grandt
12
N. Schmidt
↓ 50'
11
M. Mouritz
↓ 78'
20
B. Kucukylidiz
↓ 51'
9
F. Heiselberg
80
H. Sulemana
↓ 65'
Substitutes
26
A. Dithmer
8
T. Arndal
↑ 51'
17
M. Julo
↑ 65'
10
P. Kallsberg
↑ 50'
21
K. Enghardt
4
G. Arndal-Lauritzen
16
H. Toftegaard
14
S. Opoku
↑ 78'
22
S. Jalaei
↑ 65'
Last matches: AC Horsens
18.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Vendsyssel FF
0
1
L
15.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Aarhus
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
FC Copenhagen
2
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Hobro
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
AC Horsens
FC Nordsjaelland
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Kolding IF
1
0
W
25.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
2
0
W
16.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
1
1
D
30.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
1
0
W
25.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
1
1
D
21.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
4
1
W
17.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Kolding IF
1
0
W
11.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hillerød
0
0
D
04.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
1
0
W
21.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
0
4
L
14.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Aarhus Fremad
0
0
D
09.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
1
3
L
28.02.26
1.
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
1
2
L
19.02.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Zbrojovka Brno
1
2
L
03.02.26
Fri
AC Horsens
FC Fredericia
0
3
L
Last matches: Hillerød
24.07.26
1.
Hillerød
Aalborg
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Hillerød
Lyngby
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Hillerød
Vejle
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Hillerød
Odense
0
2
L
31.05.26
1.
Hillerød
Hvidovre
2
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Hillerød
Kolding IF
0
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Hillerød
Esbjerg
1
1
D
03.05.26
1.
Hillerød
Lyngby
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Hillerød
Kolding IF
2
0
W
21.04.26
1.
Hillerød
Lyngby
1
3
L
17.04.26
1.
Hillerød
Esbjerg
0
0
D
11.04.26
1.
Hillerød
AC Horsens
0
0
D
03.04.26
1.
Hillerød
Hvidovre
1
1
D
21.03.26
1.
Hillerød
Aarhus Fremad
1
0
W
15.03.26
1.
Hillerød
Esbjerg
2
2
D
07.03.26
1.
Hillerød
B 93
0
1
L
27.02.26
1.
Hillerød
Aalborg
3
3
D
20.02.26
Fri
Hillerød
Lyngby
2
2
D
13.02.26
Fri
Hillerød
FC Helsingor
3
3
D
12.02.26
Fri
Hillerød
Naestved
2
5
L
H2H: AC Horsens vs Hillerød
09.05.26
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
4
0
W
11.04.26
H2H
Hillerød
AC Horsens
0
0
D
23.11.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
3
1
W
27.09.25
H2H
Hillerød
AC Horsens
2
1
L
25.10.24
H2H
Hillerød
AC Horsens
2
0
L
26.07.24
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
3
2
W
24.05.24
H2H
Hillerød
AC Horsens
2
0
L
05.04.24
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
1
0
W
27.10.23
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
1
3
L
29.09.23
H2H
Hillerød
AC Horsens
0
0
D
Last matches: AC Horsens
04.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Hobro
2
0
W
31.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Kolding IF
1
0
W
16.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
1
1
D
21.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
4
1
W
04.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
1
0
W
21.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
0
4
L
09.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
1
3
L
03.02.26
Fri
AC Horsens
FC Fredericia
0
3
L
30.11.25
1.
AC Horsens
Aalborg
0
0
D
23.11.25
1.
AC Horsens
Hillerød
3
1
W
31.10.25
1.
AC Horsens
HB Koge
2
3
L
03.10.25
1.
AC Horsens
Hobro
3
3
D
20.09.25
1.
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
1
0
W
31.08.25
1.
AC Horsens
B 93
1
2
L
09.08.25
1.
AC Horsens
Middelfart
2
0
W
25.07.25
1.
AC Horsens
Kolding IF
2
1
W
19.07.25
1.
AC Horsens
Aarhus Fremad
0
0
D
H2H at home: AC Horsens
09.05.26
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
4
0
W
23.11.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
3
1
W
26.07.24
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
3
2
W
05.04.24
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
1
0
W
27.10.23
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
1
3
L
Last matches: Hillerød
24.07.26
1.
Hillerød
Aalborg
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Hillerød
Vejle
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Hillerød
Odense
0
2
L
25.05.26
1.
Hillerød
Kolding IF
0
3
L
03.05.26
1.
Hillerød
Lyngby
2
1
W
17.04.26
1.
Hillerød
Esbjerg
0
0
D
03.04.26
1.
Hillerød
Hvidovre
1
1
D
15.03.26
1.
Hillerød
Esbjerg
2
2
D
27.02.26
1.
Hillerød
Aalborg
3
3
D
09.02.26
Fri
Hillerød
Brondby
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Hillerød
Helsingborg
1
2
L
02.02.26
Fri
Hillerød
Brondby
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Hillerød
Landskrona BoIS
1
3
L
23.11.25
1.
Hillerød
AC Horsens
1
3
L
07.11.25
1.
Hillerød
HB Koge
1
1
D
25.10.25
1.
Hillerød
Hobro
2
1
W
04.10.25
1.
Hillerød
Middelfart
2
1
W
20.09.25
1.
Hillerød
Hvidovre
1
3
L
29.08.25
1.
Hillerød
Kolding IF
0
0
D
19.08.25
1.
Hillerød
Lyngby
2
1
W
H2H away: Hillerød
09.05.26
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
4
0
L
23.11.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
3
1
L
26.07.24
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
3
2
L
05.04.24
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
1
0
L
27.10.23
H2H
AC Horsens
Hillerød
1
3
W

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10 22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round