DENMARK › 1. DIVISION
09.05.2026 12:00
Hybel Arena Horsens
Referee: N. Andersen
AC Horsens
Match Timeline
Hillerød
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
39'
J. Madsen · Assist: A. Justinussen
AC Horsens
⚽
48'
K. Kirkegaard · Assist: V. Palsson
AC Horsens
🔄
50'
N. Schmidt ↔ P. Kallsberg
Hillerød
🔄
51'
B. Kucukylidiz ↔ T. Arndal
Hillerød
🔄
59'
A. Herdonsson ↔ F. Brandhof
AC Horsens
🔄
59'
Y. Ouorou ↔ I. Milicevic
AC Horsens
🔄
65'
H. Sulemana ↔ M. Julo
Hillerød
🔄
65'
C. Allen ↔ S. Jalaei
Hillerød
🔄
67'
K. Kirkegaard ↔ A. Saine
AC Horsens
⚽
71'
J. Madsen · Assist: I. Milicevic
AC Horsens
🔄
78'
M. Mouritz ↔ S. Opoku
Hillerød
🔄
80'
J. Madsen ↔ A. Moro
AC Horsens
🔄
81'
O. Kolskogen ↔ S. Hausner
AC Horsens
⚽
90'
I. Milicevic
AC Horsens

AC Horsens vs Hillerød Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AC Horsens Win 30.9%
Draw 21.9%
Hillerød Win 47.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Horsens1.21
Hillerød1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Horsens AC Horsens
WWDLW
34 GF / 26 GA
Hillerød Hillerød
WLDWL
39 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.39
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
11
BTTS Yes
19
12
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Horsens AC Horsens 28 matches
Hillerød Hillerød 28 matches
AC Horsens Statistic Hillerød
12 Wins 12
8 Draws 10
8 Losses 6
34 Goals For 39
26 Goals Against 34
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
11 BTTS Yes 19
15 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 8
14 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hillerød. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hillerød having the stronger overall control.

AC Horsens Analysis

AC Horsens come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 44 points after 28 matches. The return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 34:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Kirkegaard (6 goals), S. Pingel (5 goals), R. Baturina (4 goals), with creative support from K. Kirkegaard (6 assists), P. Olsen (3 assists), S. Pingel (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Hillerød Analysis

Placed 2 with 46 points from 28 outings, Hillerød continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 39:34 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Justinussen (11 goals), M. Mouritz (4 goals), P. Kallsberg (4 goals), with creative support from T. Arndal (4 assists), A. Justinussen (3 assists), M. Mouritz (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, AC Horsens won 4 times, Hillerød won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from AC Horsens's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.1%)
H2H summary: AC Horsens wins 4, draws 2, Hillerød wins 4

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10 22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round