SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Pittodrie Stadium
Referee: D. Nicolson
Aberdeen
Match Timeline
Dundee Utd
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Iurie Iovu
Dundee Utd
19'
S. Armstrong · Assist: T. Olusanya
Aberdeen
🟨
27'
Emmanuel Agyei
Dundee Utd
🔄
46'
D. Naamo ↔ J. Eskesen
Dundee Utd
🔄
46'
K. Keresztes ↔ M. Watters
Dundee Utd
🔄
57'
N. Farrugia ↔ I. Dolcek
Dundee Utd
🟨
62'
Dennis Geiger
Aberdeen
🟨
63'
Ivan Dolček
Dundee Utd
🔄
66'
D. Geiger ↔ G. Shinnie
Aberdeen
🔄
66'
E. Gyamfi ↔ M. Frame
Aberdeen
🟨
73'
Ryan Strain
Dundee Utd
🔄
75'
J. Milne ↔ N. Devlin
Aberdeen
🔄
75'
S. Armstrong ↔ L. Cameron
Aberdeen
🔄
79'
Z. Sapsford ↔ J. Russell
Dundee Utd
🔄
79'
V. Sevelj ↔ P. Camara
Dundee Utd
🔄
82'
A. Afeez ↔ A. Palaversa
Aberdeen
🟨
84'
Emmanuel Agyei
Dundee Utd
🟥
84'
Emmanuel Agyei
Dundee Utd
88'
T. Olusanya
Aberdeen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aberdeen Win 57.3%
Draw 6.7%
Dundee Utd Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aberdeen1.19
Dundee Utd1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aberdeen Aberdeen
WWDLW
41 GF / 69 GA
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd
WLDWL
54 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
16
BTTS Yes
22
17
Over 2.5
21
3.37
Shots on Goal
4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aberdeen Aberdeen 43 matches
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 39 matches
Aberdeen Statistic Dundee Utd
10 Wins 12
10 Draws 15
23 Losses 12
41 Goals For 54
69 Goals Against 61
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
16 BTTS Yes 22
31 Over 1.5 34
17 Over 2.5 21
11 Over 3.5 15
10 Clean Sheets 8
20 Failed To Score 11
3.37 Shots On Goal 4.36
11.16 Total Shots 12.79
4.53 Corners 4.31
45.8% Ball Possession 39.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dundee Utd. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aberdeen expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Dundee Utd in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundee Utd having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Aberdeen Analysis

Aberdeen come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 37 points from 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 18 losses, while the 36:50 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kevin Nisbet (9 goals), J. Karlsson (5 goals), Marko Lazetić (4 goals), with creative support from Stuart Armstrong (5 assists), Topi Keskinen (3 assists), Kevin Nisbet (1 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dundee Utd Analysis

Dundee Utd come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 43 points after 35 matches. With 10 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats plus a goal balance of 48:57, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Fatah (8 goals), Zachary Sapsford (8 goals), I. Dolcek (5 goals), with creative support from W. Ferry (6 assists), L. Stephenson (5 assists), A. Fatah (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses supports the view of a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aberdeen won 5 times, Dundee Utd won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:18 from Aberdeen's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Aberdeen 3-4-1-2 / Dundee Utd 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Aberdeen wins 5, draws 4, Dundee Utd wins 6
Stats
Aberdeen Aberdeen
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 2
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
395 Total passes 370
279 Passes accurate 263
1.78 expected_goals 0.46
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Aberdeen
Formation
Dundee Utd
D. Mitov
D. Mitov
J. Milne
J. Milne
L. Morrison
L. Morrison
M. Knoester
M. Knoester
G. Molloy
G. Molloy
D. Geiger
D. Geiger
A. Afeez
A. Afeez
E. Gyamfi
E. Gyamfi
S. Armstrong
S. Armstrong
T. Olusanya
🎯
T. Olusanya
K. Nisbet
K. Nisbet
D. Richards
D. Richards
I. Iovu
I. Iovu
R. Graham
R. Graham
K. Keresztes
K. Keresztes
R. Strain
R. Strain
V. Sevelj
V. Sevelj
E. Agyei
E. Agyei
W. Ferry
W. Ferry
N. Farrugia
N. Farrugia
D. Naamo
D. Naamo
Z. Sapsford
Z. Sapsford
Aberdeen 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
D. Mitov
G
22
J. Milne
↓ 75'
D
23
L. Morrison
D
5
M. Knoester
D
21
G. Molloy
D
8
D. Geiger
↓ 66' 🟨 62'
M
32
A. Afeez
↓ 82'
M
77
E. Gyamfi
↓ 66'
16
S. Armstrong
⚽ 19' ↓ 75'
M
20
T. Olusanya
⚽ 88' 🎯 19'
F
15
K. Nisbet
F
Substitutes
13
N. Suman
G
2
N. Devlin
↑ 75'
D
18
A. Palaversa
↑ 82'
M
25
L. Cameron
↑ 75'
M
14
K. Bilalovic
M
4
G. Shinnie
↑ 66'
M
42
E. Bwomono
D
81
T. Keskinen
F
3
M. Frame
↑ 66'
D
Dundee Utd 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
25
D. Richards
G
4
I. Iovu
🟨 6'
D
6
R. Graham
D
23
K. Keresztes
↓ 46'
D
2
R. Strain
🟨 73'
M
5
V. Sevelj
↓ 79'
M
12
E. Agyei
🟨 27' 🟨 84' 🟥 84'
M
11
W. Ferry
M
20
N. Farrugia
↓ 57'
F
22
D. Naamo
↓ 46'
F
9
Z. Sapsford
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
31
R. Adams
G
77
J. Russell
↑ 79'
F
14
C. Sibbald
M
8
P. Camara
↑ 79'
M
10
J. Eskesen
↑ 46'
M
19
I. Dolcek
↑ 57' 🟨 63'
F
36
M. Watters
↑ 46'
F
37
S. Cleall-Harding
D
34
O. Stirton
D
Last matches: Aberdeen
11.07.26
Fri
Aberdeen
Linfield
2
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Aberdeen
Ross County
3
6
L
04.07.26
Fri
Aberdeen
Twente
0
1
L
27.06.26
Fri
Aberdeen
Cove Rangers
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee
2
3
L
12.05.26
Pre
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
0
2
L
01.05.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Livingston
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Hibernian
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pre
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Rangers
1
4
L
14.03.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Falkirk
1
1
D
04.03.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Celtic
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
24.02.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee
2
3
L
15.02.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Motherwell
0
2
L
31.01.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
0
3
L
24.01.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Livingston
6
2
W
11.01.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Rangers
0
2
L
Last matches: Dundee Utd
25.07.26
Fri
Dundee Utd
Salford City
2
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Livingston
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
0
3
L
26.04.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Dundee
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Livingston
3
2
W
04.04.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Rangers
2
4
L
22.03.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Celtic
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
2
D
03.03.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
0
2
L
24.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Falkirk
3
2
W
04.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
10.01.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Celtic
0
4
L
03.01.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Dundee
0
1
L
30.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Livingston
3
1
W
27.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
1
1
D
H2H: Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd
09.05.26
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
24.02.26
H2H
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
0
0
D
27.12.25
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
23.09.25
H2H
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
2
0
L
17.05.25
H2H
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
2
1
L
02.03.25
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
2
2
D
29.12.24
H2H
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
1
0
L
26.10.24
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
1
0
W
04.03.23
H2H
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
1
3
W
12.11.22
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
1
0
W
08.10.22
H2H
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
4
0
L
26.02.22
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
20.11.21
H2H
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
1
0
L
01.08.21
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
25.04.21
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
0
3
L
Last matches: Aberdeen
07.07.26
Fri
Aberdeen
Ross County
3
6
L
12.05.26
Pre
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Hibernian
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Falkirk
1
1
D
04.03.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Celtic
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee
2
3
L
24.01.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Livingston
6
2
W
11.01.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Rangers
0
2
L
27.12.25
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
14.12.25
Pre
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Aberdeen
Strasbourg
0
1
L
03.12.25
Pre
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
3
3
D
27.11.25
UEF
Aberdeen
FC Noah
1
1
D
23.11.25
Pre
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Aberdeen
Motherwell
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pre
Aberdeen
Hibernian
1
2
L
05.10.25
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee
4
0
W
02.10.25
UEF
Aberdeen
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
3
L
13.09.25
Pre
Aberdeen
Livingston
0
0
D
H2H at home: Aberdeen
09.05.26
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
27.12.25
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
02.03.25
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
2
2
D
26.10.24
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
1
0
W
12.11.22
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
1
0
W
26.02.22
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
01.08.21
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
25.04.21
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
0
3
L
Last matches: Dundee Utd
25.07.26
Fri
Dundee Utd
Salford City
2
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
0
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Rangers
2
4
L
15.03.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Falkirk
3
2
W
04.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
2
3
L
10.01.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Celtic
0
4
L
30.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Livingston
3
1
W
27.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
1
1
D
06.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
0
2
L
29.11.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
29.10.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
0
2
L
18.10.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Rangers
2
2
D
13.09.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
3
3
D
31.08.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Dundee Utd
Rapid Vienna
2
2
D
03.08.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Falkirk
2
2
D
H2H away: Dundee Utd
09.05.26
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
2
0
L
27.12.25
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
02.03.25
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
2
2
D
26.10.24
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
1
0
L
12.11.22
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
1
0
L
26.02.22
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
01.08.21
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
2
0
L
25.04.21
H2H
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
0
3
W

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round