BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
ABC
Match Timeline
Nacional AM
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
34'
Wallyson
ABC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.9%
-
BTTS Yes
50%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
ABC Win 55.9%
Draw 9.3%
Nacional AM Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
ABC1.28
Nacional AM0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
ABC ABC
WWDLW
27 GF / 11 GA
Nacional AM Nacional AM
WLDWL
20 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.18
0.65
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
7
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ABC ABC 17 matches
Nacional AM Nacional AM 17 matches
ABC Statistic Nacional AM
11 Wins 8
4 Draws 5
2 Losses 4
27 Goals For 20
11 Goals Against 14
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
0.65 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
7 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nacional AM. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nacional AM having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. ABC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

ABC Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, ABC arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 23 points after 10 matches. The return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 15:6 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Nacional AM Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Nacional AM arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 20 points after 10 matches. The return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 15:9 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, ABC won 2 times, Nacional AM won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from ABC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
H2H summary: ABC wins 2, draws 0, Nacional AM wins 0
Last matches: ABC
08.08.26
Ser
ABC
Nacional AM
2
1
W
26.07.26
Ser
ABC
Luverdense
4
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
ABC
Luverdense
0
0
D
12.07.26
Ser
ABC
Águia de Marabá
3
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
ABC
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
0
3
L
Last matches: Nacional AM
08.08.26
Ser
Nacional AM
ABC
1
2
L
25.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Iguatu
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Iguatu
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Araguaína
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Araguaína
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
GAS
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
2
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
GAS
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
1
0
W
H2H: ABC vs Nacional AM
16.08.26
H2H
ABC
Nacional AM
1
0
W
08.08.26
H2H
Nacional AM
ABC
1
2
W
Last matches: ABC
26.07.26
Ser
ABC
Luverdense
4
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
ABC
Águia de Marabá
3
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
H2H at home: ABC
16.08.26
H2H
ABC
Nacional AM
1
0
W
Last matches: Nacional AM
25.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Iguatu
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Araguaína
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
GAS
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
2
4
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
1
0
W
H2H away: Nacional AM
16.08.26
H2H
ABC
Nacional AM
1
0
L

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
ABC Home
10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)