BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
ABC
Match Timeline
Luverdense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Igor Bahia
ABC
24'
Wallyson
ABC
33'
Douglas
Luverdense
74'
Brunao
ABC
77'
Brunao
ABC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.43
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.5%
1.43
BTTS No
55%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
1.66
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.19
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20
Correct Score 2-0
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
ABC Win 69.5%
Draw 5.2%
Luverdense Win 25.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
ABC1.16
Luverdense0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
ABC ABC
WWDLW
21 GF / 9 GA
Luverdense Luverdense
WLDWL
15 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
5
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ABC ABC 15 matches
Luverdense Luverdense 15 matches
ABC Statistic Luverdense
9 Wins 6
4 Draws 6
2 Losses 3
21 Goals For 15
9 Goals Against 12
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
5 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 0-0, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. ABC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. ABC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 23 points compared to Luverdense in 2 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Luverdense. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Luverdense having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

ABC Analysis

ABC enter this tie with a season profile built on 23 points from 10 matches, placing them 1 in their league. With 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 15:6, they bring very strong form with results showing strong momentum into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Luverdense Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Luverdense arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 15 points after 10 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with goals at 11:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, ABC won 0 times, Luverdense won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:8 from ABC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
H2H summary: ABC wins 0, draws 3, Luverdense wins 4
Last matches: ABC
18.07.26
Ser
ABC
Luverdense
0
0
D
12.07.26
Ser
ABC
Águia de Marabá
3
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
ABC
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
0
3
L
Last matches: Luverdense
18.07.26
Ser
Luverdense
ABC
0
0
D
12.07.26
Ser
Luverdense
Guaporé
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Luverdense
Guaporé
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Luverdense
Inhumas
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Brasiliense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Aparecidense
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Primavera MG
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Gama
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Gama
0
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Primavera MG
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Aparecidense
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Brasiliense
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Inhumas
2
1
W
09.08.25
Ser
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
0
3
L
02.08.25
Ser
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Goiânia
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Goianésia
1
1
D
12.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Mixto
0
0
D
H2H: ABC vs Luverdense
18.07.26
H2H
Luverdense
ABC
0
0
D
03.11.17
H2H
ABC
Luverdense
0
1
L
16.07.17
H2H
Luverdense
ABC
1
0
L
01.09.15
H2H
Luverdense
ABC
1
1
D
24.05.15
H2H
ABC
Luverdense
1
1
D
19.10.14
H2H
ABC
Luverdense
0
1
L
16.07.14
H2H
Luverdense
ABC
3
1
L
Last matches: ABC
12.07.26
Ser
ABC
Águia de Marabá
3
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
H2H at home: ABC
03.11.17
H2H
ABC
Luverdense
0
1
L
24.05.15
H2H
ABC
Luverdense
1
1
D
19.10.14
H2H
ABC
Luverdense
0
1
L
Last matches: Luverdense
12.07.26
Ser
Luverdense
Guaporé
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Brasiliense
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Primavera MG
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Gama
0
4
L
18.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Aparecidense
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Inhumas
2
1
W
09.08.25
Ser
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
0
3
L
19.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Goianésia
1
1
D
05.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Luverdense
Porto Velho
0
0
D
31.05.25
Ser
Luverdense
Aparecidense
1
4
L
18.05.25
Ser
Luverdense
Capital Brasilia
0
2
L
03.05.25
Ser
Luverdense
Mixto
1
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Luverdense
Goiânia
1
0
W
H2H away: Luverdense
03.11.17
H2H
ABC
Luverdense
0
1
W
24.05.15
H2H
ABC
Luverdense
1
1
D
19.10.14
H2H
ABC
Luverdense
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.18
Draw 3.74
Home 1.43
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.28
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 1.75 1.45
Over 2.0 1.61
Over 2.25 1.88
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 2.75 2.45
Over 3.0 3.07
Under 1.25 3.31
Under 1.5 2.86
Under 1.75 2.54
Under 2.0 2.22
Under 2.25 1.87
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 2.75 1.49
Under 3.0 1.32
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 3.40
Home 1.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 2.10
Home 2.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.50
Home 1.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.15
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.30
Draw 3.74
Home 1.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.45
Draw 2.01
Home 2.02
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.55
Draw 2.50
Home 1.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.0 1.06
Over 1.25 1.19
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.57
Over 2.25 1.85
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 2.75 2.42
Over 3.0 3.05
Over 3.25 3.42
Over 3.5 3.80
Over 4.0 6.95
Over 4.5 7.50
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 7.90
Under 1.0 6.35
Under 1.25 3.76
Under 1.5 2.83
Under 1.75 2.49
Under 2.0 2.14
Under 2.25 1.83
Under 2.5 1.63
Under 2.75 1.44
Under 3.0 1.28
Under 3.25 1.23
Under 3.5 1.19
Under 4.0 1.04
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 3.60
Home 1.41
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.41
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.35
Under 1.5 2.55
Under 2.5 1.48
Under 3.5 1.15

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
ABC Home
10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)