BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
ABC
Match Timeline
America-RN
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
Wellington Carvalho
ABC
67'
Wellington
America-RN

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 31.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
49.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
31.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
ABC Win 48.5%
Draw 6.1%
America-RN Win 45.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
ABC1.09
America-RN1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
ABC ABC
WWDLW
11 GF / 5 GA
America-RN America-RN
WLDWL
11 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.38
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ABC ABC 7 matches
America-RN America-RN 8 matches
ABC Statistic America-RN
5 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
1 Losses 1
11 Goals For 11
5 Goals Against 3
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.38
2 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward America-RN. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. ABC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward America-RN having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

ABC Analysis

ABC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 16 points after 7 matches. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 11:5, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Igor Bahia (2 goals), Joao Pedro (2 goals), Luiz Fernando (2 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

America-RN Analysis

Placed 2 with 14 points from 7 outings, America-RN continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 10:2 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alisson Taddei (2 goals), Matheus Regis (2 goals), Cassiano (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ABC won 3 times, America-RN won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from ABC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
H2H summary: ABC wins 3, draws 8, America-RN wins 4
Last matches: ABC
04.07.26
Ser
ABC
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
0
3
L
Last matches: America-RN
04.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
4
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
29.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
30.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
1
0
W
10.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
2
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Horizonte
2
0
W
H2H: ABC vs America-RN
24.05.26
H2H
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
22.04.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
2
W
07.04.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
3
W
21.03.26
H2H
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
18.03.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
24.01.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
0
D
29.03.25
H2H
ABC
America-RN
0
1
L
22.03.25
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
25.01.25
H2H
ABC
America-RN
1
0
W
20.03.24
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
0
L
17.03.24
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
0
D
03.03.24
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
0
D
17.05.23
H2H
ABC
America-RN
0
0
D
10.05.23
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
0
L
20.04.23
H2H
ABC
America-RN
0
3
L
Last matches: ABC
28.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
H2H at home: ABC
24.05.26
H2H
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
21.03.26
H2H
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
29.03.25
H2H
ABC
America-RN
0
1
L
25.01.25
H2H
ABC
America-RN
1
0
W
17.05.23
H2H
ABC
America-RN
0
0
D
20.04.23
H2H
ABC
America-RN
0
3
L
Last matches: America-RN
04.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
4
1
W
20.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
30.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
17.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
1
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Treze
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz RN
2
1
W
11.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
0
1
L
25.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Ferroviario
0
1
L
09.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
2
L
04.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
2
1
W
19.04.25
Ser
America-RN
Horizonte
0
0
D
H2H away: America-RN
24.05.26
H2H
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
21.03.26
H2H
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
29.03.25
H2H
ABC
America-RN
0
1
W
25.01.25
H2H
ABC
America-RN
1
0
L
17.05.23
H2H
ABC
America-RN
0
0
D
20.04.23
H2H
ABC
America-RN
0
3
W

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
ABC Home
10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)