04.09.2026 21:15
Referee: L. Villarroel
ABB
Match Timeline
Universitario de Vinto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
L. Figueroa · Assist: A. Bejarano
ABB
🟨
28'
Joel Calicho
Universitario de Vinto
🟨
42'
Felipe Pasadore
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
46'
A. Guillermo ↔ J. Rojas
ABB
🟨
53'
Jairo Rojas
ABB
🔄
61'
B. Calderon ↔ O. Blanco
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
67'
M. Gomez ↔ R. Llano
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
70'
R. Perozo ↔ O. Preciado
ABB
🔄
80'
J. Lazarte ↔ M. Cuadiay Fernandez
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
80'
F. Pasadore ↔ D. Saavedra
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
80'
Esdras Mendoza ↔ L. Cabrera Suarez
Universitario de Vinto
VAR
84'
Denilson Valda
ABB
87'
J. F. Fajardo
ABB
🔄
88'
Z. La Fuente ↔ F. Zamora
ABB
🔄
88'
L. Figueroa ↔ E. Paniagua
ABB
🟨
90+3'
Alejandro Bejarano
ABB

ABB vs Universitario de Vinto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.5%
Odds 1.87
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.5%
1.87
BTTS Yes
71%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.58
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
1.41
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
ABB Win 83.5%
Draw 8.3%
Universitario de Vinto Win 8.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
ABB1.79
Universitario de Vinto1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
ABB ABB
WWDLW
30 GF / 41 GA
Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto
WLDWL
32 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.52
2.16
Average Goals Conceded
2.1
16
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
13
2.35
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ABB ABB 19 matches
Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 21 matches
ABB Statistic Universitario de Vinto
6 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
11 Losses 13
30 Goals For 32
41 Goals Against 44
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
2.16 Avg Goals Conceded 2.1
16 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 13
12 Over 3.5 8
0 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 5
2.35 Shots On Goal 3.88
6.71 Total Shots 9.76
2.35 Corners 3.29
20.6% Ball Possession 32.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Universitario de Vinto arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universitario de Vinto. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with ABB expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Universitario de Vinto in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universitario de Vinto having the stronger overall control.

ABB Analysis

ABB sit 12 with 17 points after 16 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 26:33 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Universitario de Vinto Analysis

With 14 points from 17 games and a place of 16, Universitario de Vinto still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 11 defeats with a 22:35 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Mendoza (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, ABB won 1 times, Universitario de Vinto won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:10 from ABB's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.8%)
Predicted formations: ABB 4-1-4-1 / Universitario de Vinto 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: ABB wins 1, draws 1, Universitario de Vinto wins 3

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 6 1 47:13 34 45
W W W D D
2 20 14 3 3 54:22 32 45
W W W W W
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
5 20 9 3 8 36:27 9 30
W L L D W
6 20 7 9 4 31:27 4 30
L W W D D
7 20 8 5 7 32:39 -7 29
W L D L D
8 20 6 9 5 30:22 8 27
D W L D D
9 20 8 3 9 30:28 2 27
L W W L W
10 20 7 4 9 27:35 -8 25
L L L W L
11 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L L W D L
12
ABB Home
20 6 2 12 31:45 -14 20
L L W L D
13 20 6 2 12 21:40 -19 20
W L L L L
14 20 5 3 12 26:39 -13 18
D W L W L
15 20 4 4 12 15:39 -24 16
L L L W D
16 20 2 8 10 21:37 -16 14
L L L D D