DENMARK 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Riisvangen
Referee: J. Bogelund
Aarhus Fremad
Match Timeline
HB Koge
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
L. Callo
Aarhus Fremad
🟨
39'
E. Semovski
HB Koge
🟨
39'
M. Kirchheiner
Aarhus Fremad
🟨
43'
A. Pisani
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
62'
V. Sorensen ↔ M. Salah
HB Koge
🔄
69'
C. Jensen Tue ↔ L. Achton
HB Koge
🔄
77'
M. Kaastrup ↔ K. Lunding
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
77'
L. Riisgaard ↔ E. Egerton
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
77'
M. Kirchheiner ↔ M. Ryberg
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
77'
E. Semovski ↔ B. Alkhoudari
HB Koge
🟨
84'
M. Jakobsen
HB Koge
🔄
86'
A. Pisani ↔ B. Rolland
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
87'
K. Andersen ↔ A. Holvad
Aarhus Fremad

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aarhus Fremad Win 52.8%
Draw 15.7%
HB Koge Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aarhus Fremad1.56
HB Koge1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad
WWDLW
42 GF / 35 GA
HB Koge HB Koge
WLDWL
38 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
15
BTTS Yes
18
14
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 28 matches
HB Koge HB Koge 28 matches
Aarhus Fremad Statistic HB Koge
9 Wins 10
9 Draws 6
10 Losses 12
42 Goals For 38
35 Goals Against 46
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
15 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Aarhus Fremad's more proactive style and HB Koge's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward HB Koge. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. HB Koge look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HB Koge having the stronger overall control.

Aarhus Fremad Analysis

Aarhus Fremad come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 36 points after 28 matches. With 9 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats plus a goal balance of 42:35, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Andersen (12 goals), M. Kaastrup (6 goals), M. Kubel (6 goals), with creative support from M. Kubel (7 assists), M. Agnarsson (6 assists), M. Kaastrup (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

HB Koge Analysis

HB Koge come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 36 points after 28 matches. The return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats, together with goals at 38:46, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Gothler (9 goals), C. Jensen Tue (6 goals), T. Thomsen (6 goals), with creative support from T. Thomsen (3 assists), G. Larsen (3 assists), S. Larsen (3 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Aarhus Fremad won 1 times, HB Koge won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Aarhus Fremad's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: Aarhus Fremad - / HB Koge 3-4-3
H2H summary: Aarhus Fremad wins 1, draws 2, HB Koge wins 2

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10 22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round