DENMARK 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Riisvangen
Referee: F. Iriskic
Aarhus Fremad
Match Timeline
Aalborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
M. Kirchheiner
Aarhus Fremad
44'
L. Riisgaard
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
46'
A. Hapnes ↔ V. Moller
Aalborg
🔄
46'
M. Kaasa ↔ A. Jasson
Aalborg
🟨
51'
M. Kirchheiner
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
61'
L. Riisgaard ↔ K. Lunding
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
62'
M. Kirchheiner ↔ M. Ryberg
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
66'
M. Kallesoe ↔ K. John
Aalborg
🔄
67'
J. Adedeji ↔ W. Thomsen
Aalborg
🔄
69'
E. Egerton ↔ K. Andersen
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
69'
S. Baekgard ↔ C. Nygaard
Aarhus Fremad
70'
C. Nygaard · Assist: K. Andersen
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
77'
N. Arnorsson ↔ M. Nielsen
Aalborg
80'
M. Kirchheiner · Assist: M. Kaastrup
Aarhus Fremad
82'
K. Lunding · Assist: M. Kaastrup
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
85'
F. Grube ↔ Y. Abdullahi
Aarhus Fremad
🟨
90+3'
F. Borsting
Aalborg
90'
Y. Abdullahi
Aarhus Fremad

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aarhus Fremad Win 39.7%
Draw 20.3%
Aalborg Win 40%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aarhus Fremad1.46
Aalborg1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad
WWDLW
45 GF / 35 GA
Aalborg Aalborg
WLDWL
49 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
15
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 30 matches
Aalborg Aalborg 30 matches
Aarhus Fremad Statistic Aalborg
10 Wins 11
10 Draws 10
10 Losses 9
45 Goals For 49
35 Goals Against 42
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
15 BTTS Yes 18
21 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aalborg having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aalborg. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Aarhus Fremad Analysis

Aarhus Fremad come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 40 points after 30 matches. With 10 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats plus a goal balance of 45:35, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Andersen (12 goals), M. Kubel (7 goals), M. Kaastrup (6 goals), with creative support from M. Kubel (7 assists), M. Agnarsson (7 assists), K. Andersen (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Aalborg Analysis

Aalborg arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 43 points after 30 matches. The record of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 49:42 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Helenius (10 goals), K. Hansen (9 goals), K. John (7 goals), with creative support from M. Nielsen (6 assists), K. John (5 assists), V. Moller (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Aarhus Fremad won 3 times, Aalborg won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Aarhus Fremad's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
H2H summary: Aarhus Fremad wins 3, draws 0, Aalborg wins 2

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10 22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round