NORWAY ELITESERIEN
04.09.2026 17:00
Color Line Stadion
Referee: J. Haugen
Aalesund
Match Timeline
Start
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Mbacke Diop
Aalesund
20'
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Aalesund
24'
Mathias Christensen · Assist: Sander Erik Kartum
Aalesund
🟨
29'
Ólafur Gudmundsson
Aalesund
🔄
45'
Steve Mvoue ↔ Mikael Ugland
Start
🔄
59'
Sander Erik Kartum ↔ Endre Osenbroch
Aalesund
🔄
59'
Uba Charles Nwokoma ↔ Jakob Nyland Örsahl
Aalesund
🔄
62'
Eirik Schulze ↔ Hakon Lorentzen
Start
🔄
62'
Nikolaos Koutsakos ↔ Santino Samuyiwa
Start
🔄
71'
Isak Gabriel Skotheim ↔ Elias Heggland Myrlid
Aalesund
🔄
78'
Ousmane Diallo Toure ↔ nikola jojic
Start
🟨
84'
Deni Dashaev
Start

Aalesund vs Start Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.52
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75.3%
1.36
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.52
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.10
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Aalesund Win 49.4%
Draw 25.9%
Start Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aalesund1.85
Start1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aalesund Aalesund
WWDLW
45 GF / 56 GA
Start Start
WLDWL
31 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.15
2.15
Average Goals Conceded
2.04
20
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
16
4.78
Shots on Goal
3.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aalesund Aalesund 26 matches
Start Start 27 matches
Aalesund Statistic Start
6 Wins 6
9 Draws 5
11 Losses 16
45 Goals For 31
56 Goals Against 55
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
2.15 Avg Goals Conceded 2.04
20 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 16
13 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 8
4.78 Shots On Goal 3.61
15.11 Total Shots 13.17
4.94 Corners 3.94
43.2% Ball Possession 42.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Start. Start arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aalesund expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Start in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Start having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Aalesund Analysis

Aalesund approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 15 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats with a 27:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mathias Christensen (6 goals), Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (5 goals), Kristian Lonebu (3 goals), with creative support from Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (3 assists), Uba Charles (3 assists), Mathias Christensen (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Start Analysis

Start approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 10 points from 17 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 16:38, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Jesper Cornelius (4 goals), Tom Strannegård (2 goals), Hakon Lorentzen (2 goals), with creative support from Tom Strannegård (3 assists), Hakon Lorentzen (3 assists), Erlend Segberg (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Aalesund won 7 times, Start won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:17 from Aalesund's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (75.3%)
Predicted formations: Aalesund 5-3-2 / Start 3-5-2
Missing players: Aalesund 8, Start 3
H2H summary: Aalesund wins 7, draws 3, Start wins 3

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 2 2 49:15 34 47
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3 20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 19 5 5 9 16:24 -8 20
D D W L L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16
Start Away
20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen