Aalesund vs Start Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
75.3%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.44 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.52 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.10 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.40 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Aalesund
Start
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aalesund
26 matches
Start
27 matches
| Aalesund | Statistic | Start |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 9 | Draws | 5 |
| 11 | Losses | 16 |
| 45 | Goals For | 31 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 2.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.04 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.78 | Shots On Goal | 3.61 |
| 15.11 | Total Shots | 13.17 |
| 4.94 | Corners | 3.94 |
| 43.2% | Ball Possession | 42.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Start. Start arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aalesund expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Start in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Start having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Aalesund approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 15 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats with a 27:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mathias Christensen (6 goals), Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (5 goals), Kristian Lonebu (3 goals), with creative support from Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (3 assists), Uba Charles (3 assists), Mathias Christensen (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Start approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 10 points from 17 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 16:38, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Jesper Cornelius (4 goals), Tom Strannegård (2 goals), Hakon Lorentzen (2 goals), with creative support from Tom Strannegård (3 assists), Hakon Lorentzen (3 assists), Erlend Segberg (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Aalesund won 7 times, Start won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:17 from Aalesund's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49:15 | 34 | 47 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 51:20 | 31 | 47 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 30 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 37:31 | 6 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 25 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27:41 | -14 | 23 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 33:42 | -9 | 22 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22:34 | -12 | 22 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 19 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Aalesund
Home
|
20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31:45 | -14 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
| 16 |
Start
Away
|
20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:41 | -19 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|