Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
61.1%
|
1.44 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.40 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.46 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
3.20 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Aalesund
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aalesund
29 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF
32 matches
| Aalesund | Statistic | Sarpsborg 08 FF |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 13 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 11 |
| 50 | Goals For | 46 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 2.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.1 | Shots On Goal | 4.38 |
| 15.62 | Total Shots | 12.9 |
| 5.05 | Corners | 5.19 |
| 43.7% | Ball Possession | 45.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aalesund expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Sarpsborg 08 FF in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarpsborg 08 FF having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sarpsborg 08 FF. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Aalesund approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 21 points from 21 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 33:46 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Christensen (8 goals), E. Osenbroch (5 goals), K. Lonebu (5 goals), with creative support from E. Osenbroch (4 assists), U. Charles (4 assists), M. Christensen (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9 with 25 points after 21 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 24:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Karlsbakk (6 goals), S. Sørli (3 goals), A. Nibe (3 goals), with creative support from S. Sørli (4 assists), C. Niyukuri (4 assists), S. Christiansen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Aalesund won 2 times, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:21 from Aalesund's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.1 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 36 | 53 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 36 | 53 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 39 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 12 | 36 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 39:34 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Away
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 25 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 24 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Aalesund
Home
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | -13 | 21 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 15 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22:43 | -21 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | -22 | 16 |
L
W
L
W
L
|