NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Color Line Stadion
Referee: Jorgen Haugen, Norway
Aalesund
Match Timeline
Brann
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Marius Andresen
Aalesund
26'
M. Reed
Aalesund
🔄
27'
M. Andresen ↔ K. Nesso
Aalesund
🔄
43'
T. Pedersen ↔ D. Mbacke
Brann
🔄
46'
M. Hellan ↔ M. Haaland
Brann
🟨
53'
Kristian Eriksen
Brann
🟨
57'
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Brann
68'
N. Holm · Assist: J. Thorsteinsson
Brann
🔄
69'
J. Thorsteinsson ↔ R. Matondo
Brann
🔄
69'
N. Wassberg ↔ B. Finne
Brann
🔄
74'
E. Osenbroch ↔ D. Johannsson
Aalesund
🔄
74'
M. Christensen ↔ H. Melland
Aalesund
🔄
83'
J. Soltvedt ↔ J. Torsvik
Brann
🔄
87'
M. Reed ↔ E. Myrlid
Aalesund
🟨
90+7'
Noah Jean Holm
Brann
90'
H. Melland
Aalesund

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
87.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aalesund Win 24.4%
Draw 14%
Brann Win 61.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aalesund1.54
Brann2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aalesund Aalesund
WWDLW
24 GF / 29 GA
Brann Brann
WLDWL
31 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2.38
1.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
10
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
10
4.63
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aalesund Aalesund 15 matches
Brann Brann 13 matches
Aalesund Statistic Brann
4 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 5
24 Goals For 31
29 Goals Against 19
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.38
1.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
10 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
4.63 Shots On Goal 5.67
13 Total Shots 14.44
3.63 Corners 7
43.4% Ball Possession 58.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Brann's more proactive style and Aalesund's more cautious structure. Brann seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Brann. Brann carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 13 points while Aalesund sit 15 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aalesund expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Brann in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Brann having the stronger overall control.

Aalesund Analysis

With 6 points from 8 games and a place of 15, Aalesund still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 10:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Lonebu (5 goals), H. Melland (2 goals), Emil Engqvist (1 goals), with creative support from J. Orsahl (2 assists), H. Melland (1 assists), Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with P. Ngongo, M. Kristensen, J. Seehusen unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Brann Analysis

Brann sit 6 with 13 points after 9 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 21:13 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Kristall Máni Ingason (4 goals), B. Finne (3 goals), J. Soltvedt (3 goals), with creative support from U. Mathisen (3 assists), B. Finne (2 assists), K. Eriksen (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with N. Castro, S. Magnusson, N. Boakye unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Aalesund won 2 times, Brann won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:37 from Aalesund's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
Predicted formations: Aalesund 5-3-2 / Brann 4-3-3
Missing players: Aalesund 5, Brann 9
H2H summary: Aalesund wins 2, draws 4, Brann wins 8
Stats
Aalesund Aalesund
Brann Brann
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
10
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 7
17 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 3
42% Ball Possession 58%
25 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots off Goal 4
10 Blocked Shots 4
16 Shots insidebox 9
9 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
329 Total passes 459
241 Passes accurate 356
2.37 expected_goals 1.09
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Aalesund
Formation
Brann
K. Klaesson
K. Klaesson
M. Andresen
M. Andresen
S. Haram
S. Haram
A. Kjelsen
A. Kjelsen
O. Gudmundsson
O. Gudmundsson
U. Charles
U. Charles
M. Christensen
M. Christensen
E. Hagen
E. Hagen
E. Osenbroch
E. Osenbroch
K. Lonebu
K. Lonebu
M. Reed
M. Reed
S. Nilsen
S. Nilsen
M. Hellan
M. Hellan
T. Pedersen
T. Pedersen
V. Dragsnes
V. Dragsnes
J. Soltvedt
J. Soltvedt
N. Wassberg
N. Wassberg
K. Eriksen
K. Eriksen
K. M. Ingason
K. M. Ingason
J. Thorsteinsson
🎯
J. Thorsteinsson
U. Mathisen
U. Mathisen
N. Holm
N. Holm
Aalesund 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
K. Klaesson
G
2
M. Andresen
↓ 27' 🟨 21'
D
4
S. Haram
D
5
A. Kjelsen
3
O. Gudmundsson
D
14
U. Charles
D
21
M. Christensen
↓ 74'
18
E. Hagen
M
15
E. Osenbroch
↓ 74'
M
39
K. Lonebu
F
27
M. Reed
⚽ 26' ↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
26
T. Larsen
G
11
D. Johannsson
↑ 74'
M
22
E. Engqvist
D
8
H. Melland
⚽ 90' ↑ 74'
M
20
I. Djantou
F
7
K. Nesso
↑ 27'
M
6
H. Hammer
16
J. Orsahl
17
E. Myrlid
↑ 87'
F
Brann 4-1-3-2
Starting XI
12
S. Nilsen
G
2
M. Hellan
↓ 46'
D
23
T. Pedersen
↓ 43'
D
20
V. Dragsnes
D
17
J. Soltvedt
↓ 83'
D
25
N. Wassberg
↓ 69' 🟨 57'
M
16
K. Eriksen
🟨 53'
M
10
K. M. Ingason
M
7
J. Thorsteinsson
🎯 68' ↓ 69'
M
14
U. Mathisen
F
29
N. Holm
⚽ 68' 🟨 90+7'
F
Substitutes
26
R. Matondo
↑ 69'
M
43
R. Holten
D
6
D. Mbacke
↑ 43'
D
11
B. Finne
↑ 69'
F
8
F. Myhre
M
32
M. Haaland
↑ 46'
M
15
J. Torsvik
↑ 83'
D
Last matches: Aalesund
29.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Tromso
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Rosenborg
3
2
W
03.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Sandefjord
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
21.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Start
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Lillestrom
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
6
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Molde
1
4
L
22.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
15.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Sirius
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
hodd
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
0
2
L
Last matches: Brann
29.05.26
Eli
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
24.05.26
Eli
Brann
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
16.05.26
Eli
Brann
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
02.05.26
Eli
Brann
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
29.04.26
Eli
Brann
Tromso
5
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Brann
Rosenborg
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Brann
Viking
2
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Brann
Sandefjord
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eli
Brann
Ham-Kam
5
1
W
22.03.26
Eli
Brann
Tromso
1
2
L
15.03.26
Eli
Brann
Kristiansund BK
2
3
L
26.02.26
UEF
Brann
Bologna
0
1
L
20.02.26
Fri
Brann
Sotra
2
2
D
19.02.26
UEF
Brann
Bologna
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Brann
ODD Ballklubb
6
1
W
29.01.26
UEF
Brann
Sturm Graz
0
1
L
22.01.26
UEF
Brann
FC Midtjylland
3
3
D
16.01.26
Fri
Brann
Slavia Praha
1
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Brann
FC Copenhagen
1
1
D
11.12.25
UEF
Brann
Fenerbahçe
0
4
L
H2H: Aalesund vs Brann
20.05.26
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
2
1
W
22.04.26
H2H
Brann
Aalesund
2
1
L
20.08.23
H2H
Brann
Aalesund
5
1
L
07.06.23
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
3
3
D
04.06.23
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
1
3
L
09.02.23
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
0
3
L
19.03.22
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
0
2
L
28.11.20
H2H
Brann
Aalesund
3
1
L
24.06.20
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
2
2
D
21.02.20
H2H
Brann
Aalesund
1
3
W
06.08.17
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
3
3
D
28.05.17
H2H
Brann
Aalesund
1
1
D
22.07.16
H2H
Brann
Aalesund
6
0
L
03.04.16
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
1
2
L
Last matches: Aalesund
29.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
26.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
15.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Lillestrom
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
6
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
hodd
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
0
2
L
H2H at home: Aalesund
20.05.26
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
2
1
W
07.06.23
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
3
3
D
04.06.23
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
1
3
L
09.02.23
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
0
3
L
19.03.22
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
0
2
L
24.06.20
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
2
2
D
06.08.17
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
3
3
D
03.04.16
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
1
2
L
Last matches: Brann
24.05.26
Eli
Brann
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
29.04.26
Eli
Brann
Tromso
5
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Brann
Rosenborg
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Brann
Viking
2
3
L
06.04.26
Eli
Brann
Ham-Kam
5
1
W
15.03.26
Eli
Brann
Kristiansund BK
2
3
L
26.02.26
UEF
Brann
Bologna
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
Brann
Sturm Graz
0
1
L
16.01.26
Fri
Brann
Slavia Praha
1
2
L
27.11.25
UEF
Brann
PAOK
1
1
D
06.11.25
UEF
Brann
Bologna
0
0
D
25.09.25
UEF
Brann
Lille
1
2
L
27.08.25
UEF
Brann
AEK Larnaca
4
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Brann
BK Hacken
2
0
W
30.07.25
UEF
Brann
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
H2H away: Brann
20.05.26
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
2
1
L
07.06.23
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
3
3
D
04.06.23
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
1
3
W
09.02.23
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
0
3
W
19.03.22
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
0
2
W
24.06.20
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
2
2
D
06.08.17
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
3
3
D
03.04.16
H2H
Aalesund
Brann
1
2
W

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 29:10 19 27
W W W W W
2 13 7 4 2 18:14 4 25
D D L W D
3 11 7 2 2 28:11 17 23
D W W W L
4 11 6 1 4 17:11 6 19
L L W L W
5 11 6 1 4 18:13 5 19
W L W L W
6 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
D W L W D
7 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
W W L W L
8 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
L D L W W
9 11 4 2 5 13:17 -4 14
W L W L D
10 11 4 2 5 15:20 -5 14
W D W L L
11
Brann Away
12 4 1 7 24:20 4 13
L L L W W
12 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
D W L L D
13 11 2 5 4 15:20 -5 11
D D W W L
14 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
L L W L L
15 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
D L L W L
16 12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7
L W L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Aalesund 5 missing
-
P. Ngongo
Missing Fixture Surgery
OUT
-
M. Kristensen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Seehusen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
U. Syversen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
P. Aukland
Missing Fixture Knock
OUT
Brann 9 missing
-
N. Castro
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
S. Magnusson
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. Boakye
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Gudmundsson
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Opsahl
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
M. Dyngeland
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. De Roeve
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
F. Knudsen
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Sorensen
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT