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12.10.2026 00:30
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Referee: Sebastian Zunino
Talleres Cordoba
Match Timeline
Independiente
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Nahuel Banegas
Independiente
🔄
70'
Valentin Depietri ↔ Diego Valoyes
Talleres Cordoba
🔄
70'
Matías Abaldo ↔ Josias Palais
Independiente
🔄
70'
Chimy Ávila ↔ Iván Morales
Independiente
🔄
71'
Federico Fattori ↔ Lautaro Fabián Ortiz
Talleres Cordoba
🟨
75'
Santiago Gabriel Montiel
Independiente
🔄
82'
Giovanni Baroni ↔ Franco Cristaldo
Talleres Cordoba
🔄
82'
Luciano Cabral ↔ Lautaro Millán
Independiente
🔄
83'
Gabriel Baez ↔ Alexandro Maidana
Talleres Cordoba
🔄
88'
Rick Lima ↔ Emiliano Miguel Chiavassa
Talleres Cordoba
🔄
90+3'
Mateo Pérez Curci ↔ Leonardo Godoy
Independiente
🔄
90+3'
Santiago Arias ↔ Felipe Tempone
Independiente
VAR
90+1'
Nahuel Banegas
Independiente

Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds 3.57
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.43
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.6%
3.57 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.95 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.43 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.26 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Talleres Cordoba Win 33.3%
Draw 13.1%
Independiente Win 53.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Talleres Cordoba1.13
Independiente1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba
WWDLW
30 GF / 35 GA
Independiente Independiente
WLDWL
42 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
13
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
13
4.54
Shots on Goal
3.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 30 matches
Independiente Independiente 31 matches
Talleres Cordoba Statistic Independiente
10 Wins 13
7 Draws 8
13 Losses 10
30 Goals For 42
35 Goals Against 41
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
13 BTTS Yes 17
20 Over 1.5 24
14 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 6
4.54 Shots On Goal 3.96
13.07 Total Shots 12.89
4.64 Corners 5.75
53.9% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Talleres Cordoba expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Independiente in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Independiente. Talleres Cordoba have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Talleres Cordoba Analysis

With 26 points from 16 games and a place of 4, Talleres Cordoba still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 17:13, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Martínez (6 goals), Rick (3 goals), V. Depietri (3 goals), with creative support from D. Ortegoza (3 assists), F. Cristaldo (2 assists), M. Catalán (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Independiente Analysis

Independiente come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 24 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 24:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gabriel Ávalos (4 goals), S. Montiel (3 goals), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (3 goals), with creative support from S. Montiel (4 assists), M. Abaldo (3 assists), Gabriel Ávalos (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Talleres Cordoba won 5 times, Independiente won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:23 from Talleres Cordoba's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Talleres Cordoba 4-2-3-1 / Independiente 4-3-3
H2H summary: Talleres Cordoba wins 5, draws 3, Independiente wins 7

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
D W L W L
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D W W W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D W D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L L W L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W L W D W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
D W W W L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W L L D W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L L L W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
D W W W L
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W W D W L
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D L D W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
D D L L D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D D D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D W D D D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L D D L D
Knockout Phase