KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
3K Win 71.9%
Draw 4%
Talanta Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
3K1.33
Talanta1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
3K 3K
WWDLW
55 GF / 23 GA
Talanta Talanta
WLDWL
44 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.26
0.66
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
14
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

3K 3K 35 matches
Talanta Talanta 35 matches
3K Statistic Talanta
21 Wins 15
7 Draws 9
7 Losses 11
55 Goals For 44
23 Goals Against 34
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
0.66 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
14 BTTS Yes 14
25 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 15
4 Over 3.5 7
17 Clean Sheets 16
7 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Talanta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Talanta having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Talanta look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

3K Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 70 points from 35 games, 3K bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 21 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 55:23, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Talanta Analysis

So far, Talanta have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 54 points from 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 44:34 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, 3K won 1 times, Talanta won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from 3K's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
H2H summary: 3K wins 1, draws 1, Talanta wins 0
Last matches: 3K
27.05.26
Sup
3K
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
23.05.26
Sup
3K
Equity Bank
0
0
D
16.05.26
Sup
3K
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
3K
MCF
2
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
3K
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
26.04.26
Sup
3K
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
3K
Naivas
2
1
W
03.04.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
3
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
3K
Nzoia Sugar
3
1
W
25.03.26
Sup
3K
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
3K
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
3K
Soy United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Sup
3K
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
3K
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
11.01.26
Sup
3K
Naivas
1
2
L
Last matches: Talanta
27.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
22.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
4
3
W
17.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
3
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
Talanta
MOFA
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Naivas
1
4
L
19.04.26
Sup
Talanta
MCF
0
0
D
11.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Mwatate United
2
1
W
03.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
23.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Migori Youth
1
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
08.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Soy United
0
0
D
28.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Kisumu All Stars
5
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
31.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
0
D
18.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Mwatate United
1
2
L
09.01.26
Sup
Talanta
MCF
2
1
W
H2H: 3K vs Talanta
01.06.26
H2H
3K
Talanta
3
2
W
11.10.25
H2H
Talanta
3K
0
0
D
Last matches: 3K
23.05.26
Sup
3K
Equity Bank
0
0
D
10.05.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
3K
MCF
2
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
3K
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
3K
Nzoia Sugar
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
3K
Soy United
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
3K
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
3K
Naivas
1
2
L
13.12.25
Sup
3K
Vihiga United FC
4
2
W
04.12.25
Sup
3K
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
W
23.11.25
Sup
3K
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
3K
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
02.11.25
Sup
3K
Mwatate United
1
1
D
26.10.25
Sup
3K
Mombasa Elite
2
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
3K
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
H2H at home: 3K
01.06.26
H2H
3K
Talanta
3
2
W
Last matches: Talanta
17.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
Talanta
MOFA
3
3
D
19.04.26
Sup
Talanta
MCF
0
0
D
03.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
2
L
23.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Migori Youth
1
3
L
08.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Soy United
0
0
D
22.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Mwatate United
1
2
L
20.12.25
Sup
Talanta
Naivas
0
1
L
17.12.25
Sup
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
1
3
L
07.12.25
Sup
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
30.11.25
Sup
Talanta
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
16.11.25
Sup
Talanta
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
04.11.25
Sup
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
26.10.25
Sup
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
28.09.25
Sup
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
H2H away: Talanta
01.06.26
H2H
3K
Talanta
3
2
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 5 7 54:27 27 77
W W W L W
2
3K Home
36 22 7 7 58:25 33 73
W D D W W
3 36 23 3 10 49:31 18 72
L D W W L
4 36 20 11 5 53:26 27 71
W W D D W
5 36 16 14 6 50:29 21 62
D D L W L
6 36 17 9 10 45:27 18 60
W W W W D
7 36 16 9 11 57:41 16 57
L L L W L
8 36 15 9 12 46:37 9 54
L W W W W
9 36 15 8 13 31:30 1 53
D D L L D
10 36 13 9 14 30:27 3 48
L D W L D
11 36 11 14 11 36:35 1 47
W L L L D
12 36 12 6 18 29:49 -20 42
W L L W D
13 36 11 8 17 32:38 -6 41
W L W L D
14 36 9 12 15 31:36 -5 39
L D D L L
15 36 9 9 18 21:45 -24 36
L D W D D
16 36 9 8 19 29:50 -21 35
W W L L D
17 36 8 8 20 22:47 -25 32
L D W L L
18 36 8 10 18 22:38 -16 31
W L D W L
19 36 9 8 19 28:53 -25 29
L W L W W
20 36 6 7 23 27:59 -32 25
L L L L D