KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
3K Win 54.2%
Draw 3.8%
Migori Youth Win 42%
Expected Goals (xG)
3K1.27
Migori Youth1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
3K 3K
WWDLW
58 GF / 25 GA
Migori Youth Migori Youth
WLDWL
56 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.51
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
15
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

3K 3K 36 matches
Migori Youth Migori Youth 37 matches
3K Statistic Migori Youth
22 Wins 25
7 Draws 5
7 Losses 7
58 Goals For 56
25 Goals Against 28
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
15 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 21
14 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 8
17 Clean Sheets 17
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Migori Youth having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Migori Youth. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

3K Analysis

3K arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 76 points after 37 matches. Their overall return of 23 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 61:25 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 14 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Migori Youth Analysis

Placed 1 with 80 points from 37 outings, Migori Youth continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 25 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 56:28 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, 3K won 1 times, Migori Youth won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from 3K's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
H2H summary: 3K wins 1, draws 2, Migori Youth wins 1
Last matches: 3K
01.06.26
Sup
3K
Talanta
3
2
W
27.05.26
Sup
3K
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
23.05.26
Sup
3K
Equity Bank
0
0
D
16.05.26
Sup
3K
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
3K
MCF
2
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
3K
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
26.04.26
Sup
3K
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
3K
Naivas
2
1
W
03.04.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
3
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
3K
Nzoia Sugar
3
1
W
25.03.26
Sup
3K
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
3K
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
3K
Soy United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Sup
3K
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
3K
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
Last matches: Migori Youth
07.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Equity Bank
2
1
W
01.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
27.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
2
1
W
23.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
4
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
1
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
0
1
L
23.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
3
2
W
08.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
4
0
W
H2H: 3K vs Migori Youth
13.06.26
H2H
3K
Migori Youth
1
1
D
29.10.25
H2H
Migori Youth
3K
1
1
D
04.05.25
H2H
3K
Migori Youth
2
1
W
15.12.24
H2H
Migori Youth
3K
1
0
L
Last matches: 3K
01.06.26
Sup
3K
Talanta
3
2
W
23.05.26
Sup
3K
Equity Bank
0
0
D
10.05.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
3K
MCF
2
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
3K
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
3K
Nzoia Sugar
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
3K
Soy United
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
3K
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
3K
Naivas
1
2
L
13.12.25
Sup
3K
Vihiga United FC
4
2
W
04.12.25
Sup
3K
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
W
23.11.25
Sup
3K
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
3K
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
02.11.25
Sup
3K
Mwatate United
1
1
D
26.10.25
Sup
3K
Mombasa Elite
2
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
3K
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
H2H at home: 3K
13.06.26
H2H
3K
Migori Youth
1
1
D
04.05.25
H2H
3K
Migori Youth
2
1
W
Last matches: Migori Youth
01.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
03.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
18.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
0
1
L
08.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
01.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
0
0
D
17.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
4
2
W
22.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
17.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
07.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
3
L
30.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
15.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
2
0
W
02.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Equity Bank
2
3
L
25.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
1
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
1
0
W
H2H away: Migori Youth
13.06.26
H2H
3K
Migori Youth
1
1
D
04.05.25
H2H
3K
Migori Youth
2
1
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2
3K Home
38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation