KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
3K Win 49.5%
Draw 4.9%
Fortune Sacco Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
3K1.35
Fortune Sacco1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
3K 3K
WWDLW
51 GF / 21 GA
Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco
WLDWL
51 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.65
0.68
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
12
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

3K 3K 31 matches
Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco 31 matches
3K Statistic Fortune Sacco
19 Wins 15
5 Draws 9
7 Losses 7
51 Goals For 51
21 Goals Against 28
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
0.68 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
12 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 9
15 Clean Sheets 13
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fortune Sacco having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fortune Sacco. 3K come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

3K Analysis

3K come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 62 points after 31 matches. The return of 19 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 51:21, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Fortune Sacco Analysis

Fortune Sacco sit 6 with 54 points after 31 league matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 51:28 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, 3K won 1 times, Fortune Sacco won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from 3K's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: 3K wins 1, draws 0, Fortune Sacco wins 3
Last matches: 3K
13.06.26
Sup
3K
Migori Youth
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
3K
Talanta
3
2
W
27.05.26
Sup
3K
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
23.05.26
Sup
3K
Equity Bank
0
0
D
16.05.26
Sup
3K
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
3K
MCF
2
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
3K
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
26.04.26
Sup
3K
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
3K
Naivas
2
1
W
03.04.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
3
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
3K
Nzoia Sugar
3
1
W
25.03.26
Sup
3K
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
3K
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
3K
Soy United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Sup
3K
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
3K
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
Last matches: Fortune Sacco
13.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MCF
3
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
1
3
L
27.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
0
4
L
22.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Talanta
3
4
L
17.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
1
0
W
06.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Soy United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
1
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
3
3
D
22.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kabati Youth FC
9
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nairobi City Stars
2
3
L
15.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MOFA
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
2
W
H2H: 3K vs Fortune Sacco
10.05.26
H2H
3K
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
18.01.26
H2H
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
0
L
08.06.25
H2H
3K
Fortune Sacco
1
2
L
06.10.24
H2H
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
0
L
Last matches: 3K
13.06.26
Sup
3K
Migori Youth
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
3K
Talanta
3
2
W
23.05.26
Sup
3K
Equity Bank
0
0
D
06.05.26
Sup
3K
MCF
2
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
3K
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
3K
Nzoia Sugar
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
3K
Soy United
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
3K
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
3K
Naivas
1
2
L
13.12.25
Sup
3K
Vihiga United FC
4
2
W
04.12.25
Sup
3K
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
W
23.11.25
Sup
3K
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
3K
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
02.11.25
Sup
3K
Mwatate United
1
1
D
26.10.25
Sup
3K
Mombasa Elite
2
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
3K
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
H2H at home: 3K
10.05.26
H2H
3K
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
08.06.25
H2H
3K
Fortune Sacco
1
2
L
Last matches: Fortune Sacco
13.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MCF
3
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
1
3
L
22.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Talanta
3
4
L
06.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Soy United
1
1
D
25.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
28.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
3
3
D
07.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kabati Youth FC
9
0
W
21.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nairobi City Stars
2
3
L
01.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
2
W
10.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kisumu All Stars
1
2
L
12.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
3
1
W
04.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
0
1
L
30.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
15.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MOFA
1
2
L
02.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Gucha Stars
3
2
W
25.10.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
1
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
H2H away: Fortune Sacco
10.05.26
H2H
3K
Fortune Sacco
2
1
L
08.06.25
H2H
3K
Fortune Sacco
1
2
W

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2
3K Home
38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation