KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
49.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
3K Win 49.5%
Draw 7.2%
Equity Bank Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3K1.32
Equity Bank1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
3K 3K
WWDLW
55 GF / 23 GA
Equity Bank Equity Bank
WLDWL
48 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.45
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
14
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

3K 3K 33 matches
Equity Bank Equity Bank 33 matches
3K Statistic Equity Bank
21 Wins 18
5 Draws 10
7 Losses 5
55 Goals For 48
23 Goals Against 26
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
14 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 8
15 Clean Sheets 15
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. 3K come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Equity Bank. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Equity Bank having the stronger overall control.

3K Analysis

3K approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 68 points after 33 outings. The return of 21 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 55:23, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 13 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Equity Bank Analysis

Equity Bank approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 64 points after 33 outings. The return of 18 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 48:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, 3K won 0 times, Equity Bank won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from 3K's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
H2H summary: 3K wins 0, draws 1, Equity Bank wins 1
Last matches: 3K
13.06.26
Sup
3K
Migori Youth
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
3K
Talanta
3
2
W
27.05.26
Sup
3K
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
16.05.26
Sup
3K
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
3K
MCF
2
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
3K
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
26.04.26
Sup
3K
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
3K
Naivas
2
1
W
03.04.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
3
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
3K
Nzoia Sugar
3
1
W
25.03.26
Sup
3K
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
3K
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
3K
Soy United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Sup
3K
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
3K
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
Last matches: Equity Bank
13.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
2
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Migori Youth
1
2
L
01.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Soy United
1
0
W
27.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Fortune Sacco
4
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
09.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MOFA
0
0
D
12.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
1
1
D
03.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
25.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MCF
3
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
14.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Naivas
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
0
0
D
H2H: 3K vs Equity Bank
23.05.26
H2H
3K
Equity Bank
0
0
D
07.12.25
H2H
Equity Bank
3K
2
1
L
Last matches: 3K
13.06.26
Sup
3K
Migori Youth
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
3K
Talanta
3
2
W
10.05.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
3K
MCF
2
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
3K
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
3K
Nzoia Sugar
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
3K
Soy United
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
3K
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
3K
Naivas
1
2
L
13.12.25
Sup
3K
Vihiga United FC
4
2
W
04.12.25
Sup
3K
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
W
23.11.25
Sup
3K
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
3K
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
02.11.25
Sup
3K
Mwatate United
1
1
D
26.10.25
Sup
3K
Mombasa Elite
2
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
3K
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
H2H at home: 3K
23.05.26
H2H
3K
Equity Bank
0
0
D
Last matches: Equity Bank
07.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Migori Youth
1
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Fortune Sacco
4
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
1
1
D
25.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MCF
3
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Naivas
1
1
D
24.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
0
0
D
11.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MOFA
1
1
D
07.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Soy United
1
2
L
12.12.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
0
2
L
03.12.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
22.11.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
09.11.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
28.10.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
2
2
D
28.09.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
H2H away: Equity Bank
23.05.26
H2H
3K
Equity Bank
0
0
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2
3K Home
38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation